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Objectification of subjective estimation of abnormal cases danger in air traffic control

Arinicheva O., Dalinger Y., Malishevskii A., Sukhikh N., Khoroshavtsev Y.

Transport Problems

2018

T. 13, z. 1

5--18

In the article, the problems of objectification of the subjective danger estimation for abnormal cases in air traffic control are considered. An overview of currently existing approaches is given. In addition, the article presents the analysis of the statistical results of testing 252 air traffic controllers. This study reveals a subjective danger estimation inadequacy and its connection to air traffic controller’s potential extreme working capacity. A new approach to objectification of the subjunctive danger estimation for abnormal cases in air traffic control is proposed. The method combines the conditional probability collision computation and the method of expert estimations.