Wyniki wyszukiwania - BazTech

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Foresight as an innovation shaping instrument

Olkiewicz Marcin

Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska

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2019

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z. 133

107--119

EN

This article seeks to present possibilities for the development of a country with the use of modern research tools. The aim of this paper is to demonstrate the importance of foresight in guiding innovation, which fosters entrepreneurship as well as improves the quality of life of the society. Therefore, the study put forward the hypothesis that the use of foresight as an instrument creating strategic knowledge allows for a more effective identification of significant areas as potentials for the security of the country's development. The analysis presented in this article contains data from the last eight years. The results of the studies show that in Poland there is a significant potential, which, if managed appropriately, might influence the development of enterprises, municipalities and the macro-region.

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Concept of uncertainty in relation to the foresight research

Magruk A.

Engineering Management in Production and Services

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2017

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Vol. 9, no. 1

46--55

EN

Uncertainty is one of the most important features of many areas of social and economic life, especially in the forward-looking context. On the one hand, the degree of uncertainty is associated with the objective essence of randomness of the phenomenon, and on the other, with the subjective perspective of a man. Futureoriented perception of human activities is laden with an incomplete specificity of the analysed phenomena, their volatility, and lack of continuity. A man is unable to determine, with complete certainty, the further course of these phenomena. According to the author of this article, in order to significantly reduce the uncertainty while making strategic decisions in a complex environment, we should focus our actions on the future through systemic research of foresight. This article attempts to answer the following research questions: 1) What is the relationship between foresight studies in the system perspective to studies of the uncertainty? 2) What classes of foresight methods enable the research of uncertainty in the process of system inquiry of the future? This study conducted deductive reasoning based on the results of the analysis methods and criticism of literature.

3

Creating trade plans of strategy development with foresight methodology

Markusik S., Cieśla M.

Logistics and Transport

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2012

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Vol. 14, No. 1

17-24

EN

Because structural innovation projects are burdened with high risk, there is a need for prior planning for rational investment decisions making, which can ensure the sustainable development of the industry. Finding the most probable development vision is one of the reasons why more and more successful and appreciable are studies connected with prediction of the future (known as: future studies), among which a method of foresight is also classified. The paper presents the problems associated with strategic planning based on foresight methodology, applied to searching for rational visions and scenarios for the development of transport systems.

4

Foresight jako narzędzie zrównoważonego rozwoju

Lulewicz-Sas A.

Ekonomia i Środowisko

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2012

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nr 1

95--106

PL

Celem artykułu jest analiza polskich doświadczeń dotyczących badań foresight w aspekcie zrównoważonego rozwoju, jak również próba pokazania foresightu jako narzędzia zrównoważonego rozwoju.

EN

Foresight studies are performed in Poland for nearly 10 years. The issue of the research undertaken in the framework of foresight is very diverse. One of the thematic areas of the foresight research is sustainable development. This article aims to analyze the Polish experience of foresight studies in terms of sustainable development, as well as it attempts to show foresight as a tool for sustainable development.

5

Foresight methods application for evaluating laser treatment of hot-work steels

Dobrzańska-Danikiewicz A. D., Jonda E., Labisz K.

Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering

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2010

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Vol. 43, nr 2

750--773

EN

Purpose: The purpose of this article is to evaluate the strategic growth perspectives of laser treatment of X40CrMoV5-1 and 32CrMoV12-28 hot-work alloy tool steels using NbC, TaC, TiC, VC and WC carbide powders. The criterion assumed for dividing the technologies into groups was the powder type; thus, five groups were selected to realised researches. Design/methodology/approach: As a part of the foresight-materials science researches, a dendrological matrix of technology value, a meteorological matrix of environment influence, and a matrix of strategies for technologies were elaborated, the strategic development tracks were determined, and materials science experiments were conducted using a scanning electron microscope, an optical microscope, a transmission electron microscope, a microhardness tester, a scratch tester, an X-ray diffractometer, an electron microprobe X-ray analyzer and a device for testing of heat fatigue and abrasive resistance. Also, technology roadmaps were prepared. Findings: The researches conducted demonstrated huge potential and attractiveness of the analyzed technologies, compared to others, and the promising properties improvement of the tested surface layers, as a result of laser surface treatment. Research limitations/implications: Researches concerning laser treatment of hot-work alloy tool steels constitute a part of a larger research project aimed at identifying, researching, and characterizing the priority innovative technologies in the field of materials surface engineering. Practical implications: The presented results of experimental materials science researches prove the significant positive impact of laser treatment on the structure and the properties of hot-work alloy tool steels, which justifies including them in the set of priority innovative technologies recommended for use in small and medium enterprises and in other business entities. Originality/value: The value of this article lies in the fact that it determines the value of laser treatment of hot-work alloy tool steels compared to other technologies and identifies the recommended strategic development tracks and technology roadmaps for them, taking into account the impact of such treatment on hardness, abrasion resistance, and coarseness of the tested surface layers.