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EN
This chapter presents a general approach to analyzing oil spills, which are frequently caused by critical infrastructure accidents. The definitions of critical infrastructure and complex system are given and the main sectors significant to the safety of industry operations are listed. The chapter underlines the importance of properly maintaining and monitoring shipping critical infrastructure to respond to potential accidents and ensuring the security of the people and goods transported. There are also presented different categories of oil spills, which can help responders to understand the scope of the problem and mitigate the effects of environmental damage if the oil discharges reach sensitive ecosystems or accumulate in large quantities. The application of useful mathematical models is described to support decision-making in oil spill response. The main factors affecting oil spill movement are listed, including the effects of hydro-meteorological conditions on predicting oil spill trajectory. Moreover, the development steps of constructing and verifying a proper probabilistic model for oil spill management are given. The chapter concludes by highlighting the need for further research in this area to improve our understanding of the complexity of the oil spill issue at the considered area
EN
The probabilistic general model of critical infrastructure accident consequences including three models of the process of the initiating events generated by a critical infrastructure accident, the process of the environment threats and the process of environment degradation is created and adopted to the maritime transport critical infrastructure understood as a ship network operating at the sea waters and then applied to accident consequences modeling, identification and to these consequences optimization and mitigation.
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