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Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

Kundzewicz Z. W., Piniewski M., Mezghani A., Okruszko T., Pińskwar I., Kardel I., Hov Ø., Szcześniak M., Szwed M., Benestad R. E, Marcinkowski P., Graczyk D., Dobler A., Førland E. J., O’Keefe J., Choryński A., Parding K. M., Haugen J. E.

Acta Geophysica

2018

Vol. 66, no. 6

1509--1523

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.

Analysis of possible climate change impacts on air pollution by sulfur species over Central-Eastern Europe

Juda-Rezler K., Reizer M., Trapp W.

Environment Protection Engineering

2011

Vol. 37, nr 2

109-121

High resolution, complex modelling system built with regional climate model (RegCM3), original emission model (EMIL) and air quality model CAMx was employed for analysing projected climate change impacts on concentrations and depositions of sulfur compounds (SOx) over Central and Eastern Europe. With employment of constant emission rates, results show a slight increase of SO2 concentrations in the future, as well as increase of SOx deposition in the mountains and decrease in central and eastern parts of Poland. Projections indicate also slight changes in a number of days and hours during the calendar year with SO2 levels exceeding European limit values. The biggest changes are evident in the vicinity of large point emission sources.