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On the non-parametric changepoint detection of flow regimes in cyclone Amphan

Reddem Venkat Shesu, Jampana Venkata, Muthalagu Ravichandran, Venkateswara Rao Bekkam, Eluri Pattabhi Rama Rao, Tummala Srinivasa Kumar

Oceanologia

2023

Vol. 65 (2)

310--317

The Bay of Bengal was witness to a severe cyclone named Amphan during the summer of the year 2020. The National Institute of Ocean Technology (NIOT), INDIA moorings BD08 and BD09 happened to be in the vicinity of the cyclone. The highly instrumented mooring recorded near-surface meteorological parameters like wind speed, sea surface temperature, and near-surface pressure. This article explores the possibility of using a non-parametric algorithm to identify different flow regimes using a one-month long time-series data of the near-surface parameters. The changes in the structure of the time series signal were statistically segmented using an unconstrained non-parametric algorithm. The non-parametric changepoint method was applied to time series of near-surface winds, sea surface temperature, sea level pressure, air temperature and salinity and the segmentations are consistent with visual observations. Identifying different data segments and their simple parameterization is a crucial component and relating them to different flow regimes is useful for the development of parametrization schemes in weather and climate models. The segmentations can considerably simplify the parametrization schemes when expressed as linear functions. Moreover, the usefulness of non-parametric automatic detection of data segments of similar statistical properties shall be more apparent when dealing with relatively long time series data.

Ocean Fronts detection over the Bay of Bengal using changepoint algorithms : A non-parametric approach.

Reddem Venkat Shesu, Muthalagu Ravichandran, Bekkam Venkateswara Rao, Eluri Pattabhi Rama Rao, Jampana Venkata, Nimit Kumar

Oceanologia

2021

No. 63 (4)

438--447

Oceanic fronts are regions over the oceans where a significant change in the characteristics of the water masses is observed. Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) satellite imagery over the Bay of Bengal shows regions that are populated by frontal structures. Over the Bay of Bengal, some of the strongest gradients in temperature and salinity are observed. In recent years, there has been a tremendous growth in the availability of satellite imagery and the necessity of automated fast detection of the frontal features is needed for services like potential fishing zones over open oceans. In this article, an algorithm to infer oceanic fronts over the Bay of Bengal is described using changepoint analysis. The changepoint algorithm is combined in a novel way with a contextual median filter to detect frontal features in AVHRR imagery. The changepoint analysis is a non-parametric technique that does not put thresholds on the gradients of brightness temperatures of the satellite imagery. In the open oceans, the gradients of temperature and salinity are not sharp and changepoint analysis is found to be a useful complementary technique to the existing front detecting methods when combined with contextual median filters.