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Bimodality and Long-Term Trends of the Extreme Values of Air Temperature

Pekar Jan, Pekarova Pavla, Miklanek Pavol

Inżynieria Mineralna

2024

Vol. 1, no. 1

217--227

Histograms of air temperature with a bimodal shape are commonly observed in many regions of the world. In this study, we investigate the causes of bimodality in the histograms of daily temperature series (minimum, average, and maximum) for selected climatological stations in Slovakia. Our findings suggest that in the Central European region, the bimodal shape of air temperature histograms is mainly due to the latent heat of freezing, as the surface of snow and ice and the air are thermally coupled. The asymmetry in the air temperature histograms is due to the lower mass heat capacity of ice compared to water and air. The energy-intensive latent heat of conversion of ice to water (and vice versa) results in the more frequent occurrence of ground-layer air temperatures around the freezing point, leading to the formation of the observed local maximum. This has farreaching implications, such as the calculation of the annual mean air temperature at climatological stations. When calculating the average air temperature, negative temperatures should be given less weight than positive temperatures. Temperatures around 0-6°C should be given higher weight. This may also explain why Arctic regions are experiencing more significant warming than equatorial regions. In the second part of this paper, we analyze the long-term trends of selected temperature indices for the climatological station at Hurbanovo (Slovakia) from 1871 to 2020. Our results indicate statistically significant changes in all temperature indices, with indices related to cold temperatures increasing more significantly than those associated with high temperatures. Finally, study examines theoretical probability distributions to estimate T-year temperatures for temperature indices at the Hurbanovo climate station in Slovakia. The analysis includes three time periods (1901–1960, 1961– 2020, and 1991–2020) and reveals significant changes in temperature indices at the Hurbanovo station. The 100-year temperature of TN,min was –35.75°C in 1901–1960, –28.69°C in 1961–2020, and –26.52°C in 1991–2020. The 100-year temperature of TX,max was 39.4°C in 1901–1960 and 39.63°C in 1961–2020. TN,min showed the most significant changes, with the 100-year temperature increasing by up to 7.06°C in 1961–2020 and up to 9.23°C in 1991–2020.

Study on energy distributions of strong seismic events in the USCB

Bracławska A., Idziak A. F.

Contemporary Trends in Geoscience

2017

Vol. 6, iss. 1

41--56

The paper presents the statistical analysis of energy distribution of strong seismic shocks (energy E ≥ 105 J) occurred in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin which is one of the most seismically active mining areas in the world. In the USCB tremor epicenters do not occur uniformly throughout the whole basin but group in several regions belonging to different structural units and are separated by regions where strong shocks are not observed. The aim of the studies was to determine the modality of the energy distributions and to compare the modal types in regions of the USCB where the shocks epicenters cluster. An analysis was made for shocks with energies equal to or greater than 105 J recorded by Upper Silesian Regional Seismological Network operated by Central Mining Institute (CMI), which took place between 1987 – 2012. The analysis has proven the bimodality of seismic energy distribution in the three of five studied areas of the Upper Silesian Coal Basin. The Gumbel’s distribution II type best fit the experimental energy distribution for almost all studied tectonic units except the main syncline area, where the Gumbel’s distribution I type matched better the low-energy mode. This is due to too short time window, causing a shortage of the strongest shocks in seismic catalogue.