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Sequence of events and probability of sinking of German battleship Bismarck (short communication)

Opyrchal Leszek, Bąk Aleksandra

Safety and Reliability of Systems and Processes

2022

Summer Safety and Reliability Seminar 2022

227--230

“Rheinübung” was one of the most important war operations of the Second World War. It was carried out in May 1941. The German battleships Bismarck and Prinz Eugen were to sail to the Atlantic Ocean and attack convoys with supplies from the United States to Great Britain in May 1941. The breaking of supplies would force Britain to surrender. The mission was unsuccessful. The largest battleship of the world, Bismarck, was sunk. This short communication discusses the sequence of events that led to the sinking of the ship. The calculations show that the probability of sinking is 0.00137. This is one hundred times less than the probability of a fatal accident in deep-sea fishing, which is 0.104.