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1 TransNav : International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation

1 2020

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Monte Carlo simulation approach to determination of oil spill domains at port and sea water areas

Dąbrowska E., Kołowrocki K.

TransNav : International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation

2020

Vol. 14, no. 1

59--64

Monte Carlo simulation method of oil spill domains determination based on the probabilistic approach to the solution of this problem is proposed. A semi-Markov model of the process of changing hydro-meteorological conditions is constructed and its parameters are defined. The general stochastic model of oil spill domain movement for various hydro-meteorological conditions is described. Monte Carlo simulation procedure is created and applied to generating the process of changing hydro-meteorological conditions and the prediction of the oil spill domain movement impacted by these changes conditions.