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EN
Over the past few years, predicting species spatial distributions has been recognized as a powerful tool for studying biological invasions in conservation biology and planning, ecology, and evolutionary biology. Species spatial distribution models (SDMs) are used extensively for assessing the effects of changes in habitat suitability, the impacts of climate change, and the realignment of the existing conservation priorities. SDMs relate known patterns of species occurrences to a specific set of environmental conditions. Accordingly, we have used MaxEnt SDM tool in order to provide habitat suitability models of 5 keynote fish species: European sprat (Sprattus sprattus L.), red mullet (Mullus barbatus, L.), horse mackerel (Trachurus mediterraneus, L.), bluefish (Pomatomus saltatrix, L.) and whiting (Merlangius merlangus, L.), inhabiting the Bulgarian region of the Black Sea. Presence-only (PO) data collected by pelagic surveys performed between 2017 and 2019 was further utilized to link known species occurrence localities with selected abiotic factors, such as surface sea temperature and salinity, dissolved oxygen, and speed of currents. Biotic interactions were also considered for fitting the patterns of habitat suitability models. The SDMs, obtained from the present research study, prove to have satisfactory predictive accuracy to be further implemented for conservation measures and planning, stock management policy-making, or ecological forecasting.
2
Content available remote Predicting the potential invasive range of raccoon in the world
EN
Invasive alien species are considered to be one of the most important causes for the extinction and the reason for diminishing of the wild native species. Considering that nowadays the raccoon (Procyon lotor, Linnaeus 1758) is found in several European and Asian countries where it can amplification its ranges remarkably, but it is actually native to North and Central America. Here, we use the Maxent model to generate a preliminary map of the potential distribution of the raccoon around the world and enumerate its relative risk of invasion across all countries. In a study, MaxEnt predicted a significantly large area as the eco-climatically suitable habitat for the raccoon in the world. The predicted habitats are consistent with the wide-ranging habitat associations of the raccoon in its well-established sites. The results identified the hotspots of the raccoon invasion and indicated the possible dispersal pathways. Results also showed that both precipitation and temperature variables were strongly correlated with the raccoon distribution and the species would be absent in cold environments with average sub-zero temperatures.
EN
The management of invasive plant species (IPS) requires knowledge of areas susceptible to invasion and the origin of the invasive biotypes. Ecological niche models (ENMs) are useful for these purposes, but modeling results depend on the data sources. We propose a synthetic approach to determine the selection of data source areas considering the invasion status of an IPS and management objectives to deal with the IPS. We assessed the importance of data source for ENMs and their projections to invasive areas using Chromolaena odorata, a Neotropical weed, in South Africa where this IPS is invading. We used MaxEnt to perform ENMs using different datasets from C. odorata's native range and from South Africa. We employed reciprocal ENM projections to find the probable native region of the plants invading South Africa. ENMs varied depending on the native area selected as the hypothetical invasion source. The modeling approach using worldwide data was most appropriate for prevention purposes, whereas the modelling approach using data from the Americas was most suitable for estimating invasion-susceptible areas in South Africa. The South African ENM was useful for reciprocal modelling but not for prediction of areas susceptible to invasion. ENM projections from the Americas to South Africa and vice-versa identified two native areas as possible invasion sources (northern Mexico and southern tropical South America). Their concordance with the South African ENM can be useful to search for natural enemies of C. odorata's and to reinforce the identification of invasion-susceptible areas in South Africa. We suggest that the various ENM obtained with the synthetic approach in modeling with different data sources for C. odorata cover the scenarios that depend on management purpose and invasion status for this weed.
EN
Abstract It is demonstrated how to obtain the least biased description of a single particle spectra measured in all multiparticle production processes by using an information theory approach (known also as MaxEnt approach). The case of e+e annihilation in hadrons process is discussed in more detail as an example. Comparison between the MaxEnt approach and a simple dynamical model based on the cascade process is presented as well.
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