The paper presents the reasons for the need to differ the notions of: diagnosis likelihood and diagnosis rightness at making operating decisions. The formula of probability for formulating the right diagnosis, as the measure of diagnosis likelihood, has been herein derived. For deriving this formula the theory of semi-Markov processes and the Bayes’ formula of conditional probability have been applied. Other probabilistic measures of diagnosis likelihood have also been provided. These measures have been referred to technical state of such important systems as e.g. main engines of sea-going ships. However, they can be useful for determining the technical state of other transport means.
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.