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Game Theory and Effectiveness of Logistic Processes Under Uncertainty and Risk Conditions

Tymiński M., Kochanowski J.

Logistyka

2015

nr 6

477--481, CD

The paper deals with the process of taking logistic decisions in supply chain for the army. The armaments company which secures supplies for the army is considering three forecasting variants of extra supplies. Producing the supplies requires an increased industrial efficiency which is obtained through investments in fixed assets ( production plants, warehouses). Howev-er, these variants cannot be implemented in the normal course of action ( i.e. in deterministic situations) as they deal with fu-ture orders. They may only be implemented in future under uncertainty conditions to determine extra production profitability. An analysis of economic effectiveness is conducted by the company so that the optimum variant is selected. The analysis in-cludes some elements of game theory which proves most useful in uncertainty situations.