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1 Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

1 2012

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Quantitative assessment of risk to ship traffic in the fehmarnbelt fixed link project

Rasmussen F. M., Glibbery K. A. K., Melchild K., Hansen M. G., Jensen T. K., Lehn-Schiøler T., Randrup-Thomsen S.

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2012

Vol. 3, No. 1

123--134

Rambøll is on behalf of Femern A/S carrying out navigational studies of the vessel traffic conditions in the Fehmarnbelt in connection with the establishment of a future Fehmarnbelt fixed link, a 19 km long bridge or immersed tunnel connection crossing the Fehmarnbelt. The focus is on documenting safety and efficiency for the vessel traffic when a fixed link is crossing the Fehmarnbelt. Rambøll has developed the ShipRisk software package to perform the quantitative risk assessments in the Fehmarnbelt fixed link project. Focus in this article is on describing the background for estimating frequencies of ship accidents in ShipRisk and describe factors influencing the accident scenarios and present the work performed for testing and verifying the model.