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Research on relationship between carbon dioxide emissions, imports, exports, and population in China

Jin Q.-Y., Zhang J., Gao Y.-Q., Su X., Fu Y.-S.

Environment Protection Engineering

2014

Vol. 40, nr 2

75--85

Empirical relationships between carbon dioxide emission, imports, exports, and population have been investigated. An empirical model with carbon dioxide emissions, structure and scale of import and exports, populations was built Using ridge regression analysis and observed data from 1985 to 2006 in China, we examined the relationship between each part of carbon dioxide emission and corresponding coefficients, including GIV (gross imports value), GXV (gross exports value), and P (populations). The results have shown that the increasing trend in TCOE (total carbon dioxide emissions) was determined by the exports, while its standard level is determined by population. Increasing the imports may reduce TCOE. Considering working to expand economy, the best ways for China to reduce TCOE are to introduce advanced technology and take actions to guarantee strict execution of cut-emission policy. Although the increasing imports also can reduce TCOE, it is not reasonable for the global cut-emission policy. To control population is not applicable as the immense population base, so government's publicity for low-carbon live is a necessary and feasible way to reduce carbon dioxide emission.