Wyniki wyszukiwania - BazTech

1

Niepewność w dowodzeniu

Redziak Z.

Zeszyty Naukowe AON

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2014

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nr 2(95)

257-291

EN

This article features the implementation of decision-making criteria under conditions of uncertainty during the Military Decision Making Process at the tactical level of the Polish Army. It is primarily intended for theorists and practitioners who deal with the optimisation of the decision-making process. The content of the article is focused on the Military Decision Making Process and implementation of its decision criteria such as: Wald’s pessimism, Hurwicz’s optimism, Savage’s regret, Szaniawski s caution and Laplace’s equal likelihood. The paper presents an example of using some quantitative tools which support decision-making processes and when used competently, may facilitate the making of optimal decisions by commanders.

2

Ryzyko w podejmowaniu decyzji

Redziak Z.

Zeszyty Naukowe AON

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2013

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nr 1(90)

211-226

EN

This article presents selected aspects of risk in decision-making. It is meant for both those focused more on theory and on practice who deal with optimization of decision-making effectiveness. It defined the notion of risk through the analysis of the relation between risk and uncertainty. The issues of making risky decisions includes discussion of an individual scale of preferences, distortions which appear in the course of assessing the probability of certain states of things or phenomena and finally the principle of maximization of expected utility. The article is concluded with a presentation of the Perspective Theory. General assumptions linked with risk taking were followed by examples of their usage. The author also discussed the quantitative tools supporting decision-making processes and whose able usage may facilitate making resolutions of risky decisions.

3

Niepewność w podejmowaniu decyzji

Redziak Z.

Zeszyty Naukowe AON

|

2013

|

nr 2(91)

102-130

EN

This article addresses selected aspects of uncertainty in decision-making. It is meant for theoreticians and practitioners who deal with the optimization of decision-making process. The content is focused on the notion of uncertainty and such criteria of decision making in uncertainty conditions as: Wald’s pessimism, Hurwicz’s optimism, Savage’s regret, Szaniawski’s caution and Laplace’s equal likelihood. The paper presents the example of using some quantitative tools which support decision-making processes and when used competently may facilitate making optimal decisions.