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The Role of Climatic Variables for Estimating Probability of Abundance of Tree Species

Antúnez P., Wehenkel C., López-Sánchez C. A., Hernández-Díaz J. C.

Polish Journal of Ecology

2017

Vol. 65, nr 3

324--338

We analyzed the influence of climatic variables on the abundance of native tree species in 1,490 sampling plots systematically distributed in the Sierra Madre Occidental (state of Durango, Northwestern Mexico, 26°50′ and 22°17′N and 107°09′ and 102°30′W). We used the Weibull distribution and the finite Gaussian mixture model to study the climatic limits of 15 tree species in relation to seven variables thought to affect species abundance. We found that although they may occur in the same geographical region, some species display a wider range of ecological tolerance than others. Of the 15 species under study, only two (Quercus magnoliifolia and Q. arizonica) can be considered generalists in relation to some climatic variables, while the other 13 species behaved as specialists, implying a narrower range of distribution. The analytical techniques used enabled us to demarcate the zones in which the probability of abundance of each species is highest in relation to the climate variables considered. The findings could be used to help define climate for the 15 studied tree species of economic and ecological interest.

Effect of climate and physiography on the distribution of trees and shrubs species in northwest Mexico

Martínez-Antúnez P., Wehenkel C., Hernández-Díaz J. C., González-Elizondo M., Corral-Rivas J., Pinedo-Álvarez A.

Polish Journal of Ecology

2013

Vol. 61, nr 2

283--295

In order to understand the environmental variables that may impact more on the distribution of species of trees and shrubs, a correlation analysis applying the Covariation (C) of Gregorius was conducted among 14 variables of climate and physiography, and the number of individuals of 72 species, which were found in 1804 sampling plots (covering about 123,317 km2) of the National Forests and Soils Inventory (INFyS) developed by the National Forest Commission in Mexico (CONAFOR). Among the studied species there are several of the genera Quercus, Pinus and Junniperus, which are mainly distributed in the Sierra Madre Occidental, where they stand out for their abundance. The results show that the density of 88% of the studied species have a significant correlation (P <0.025) with at least five of the 14 variables analyzed. Seven of the variables showed significant correlation (P <0.025) with at least 74% of the studied species: ‘Julian date of last spring frost’ with an average value of covariation (C) equal to 0.71, ‘average duration of the frost-free period’ with average value of C = 0.71’, degree days above 5°C’ with covariation of 0.69, ‘altitude above sea level’ with C = 0.66; ‘mean temperature in the coldest month’, ‘mean temperature in the warmest month’ and ‘mean annual temperature’, with average values of C = 0.65 for each of these last three variables. The ‘geographic orientation of the ground’ was the least correlated with the density of the species, since only 10% of them showed significant correlation with this variable.