Monte Carlo simulation of climate-weather change process at maritime ferry operating area

• Autorzy: Kuligowska E.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper presents a computer simulation technique applied to generating the climate-weather change process at Baltic Sea restricted waters and its characteristics evaluation. The Monte Carlo method is used under the assumption of semi-Markov model of this process. A procedure and an algorithm of climate-weather change process’ realizations generating and its characteristics evaluation are proposed to be applied in C# program preparation. Using this program, the climate-weather change process’ characteristics are predicted for the maritime ferry operating area. Namely, the mean values and standard deviations of the unconditional sojourn times, the limit values of transient probabilities and the mean values of total sojourn times for the fixed time at the climate-weather states are determined.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Monte Carlo simulation; climate-weather change process; critical infrastructure operating area

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Warmińsko-Mazurskiego w Olsztynie
• Czasopismo: Technical Sciences / University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn
• Rocznik: 2018
• Tom: nr 21(1)
• Strony: 5--17
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 16 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Kuligowska E.

• Katedra Matematyki, Akademia Morska, ul. Morska 83, 81-225 Gdynia

Bibliografia

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