Methods and algorithms for evaluating unknown parameters of operation processes of complex technical systems

• Autorzy: Kołowrocki K. , Soszyńska J.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper objectives are to present the methods and tools useful in the statistical identifying unknown parameters of the operation models of complex technical systems and to apply them in the maritime industry. There are presented statistical methods of determining unknown parameters of the semi-markov model of the complex technical system operation processes. There is also presented the chi-square goodness-of-fit test applied to verifying the distributions of the system operation process conditional sojourn times in the particular operation states. Applications of these tools to identifying and predicting the operation characteristics of a ferry operating at the Baltic Sea waters are presented as well.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

system operation process; semi-Markov model; sojourn time; distribution; estimation; maritime transport

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: Vol. 2
• Strony: 211--222
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 7 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Kołowrocki K.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Soszyńska J.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] Blokus-Roszkowska, A., Guze, S., Kolowrocki, K., Kwiatuszewska-Sarnecka, B. & Soszynska, J. (2008). Models of safety, reliability and availability evaluation of complex technical systems related to their operation processes. WP 4 – Task 3.1 – 31.05.2008. Poland-Singapore Joint Research Project, 2007-2010.
• [2] Blokus-Roszkowska, A., Guze, S., Kolowrocki, K., Kwiatuszewska-Sarnecka, B. & Soszynska, J. (2008). Models of safety, reliability and availability evaluation of complex technical systems related to their operation processes. WP 4 – Task 4.1 – 31.05.2008. Poland-Singapore Joint Research Project, 2007-2010.
• [3] Blokus-Roszkowska, A. Guze, S. Kolowrocki, K., Kwiatuszewska-Sarnecka, B., Milczek B. & Soszynska, J. (2009). Data Mining for Identification and Prediction of Safety and Reliability Characteristics of Complex Industrial Systems and Processes. WP 6 – Task 6.1. Methods-algorithms for evaluating unknown parameters of system operation processes, reliability and safety models. WP 6 - Task 6.1.2 – 16.03.2009. Poland-Singapore Joint Research Project, 2007-2010.
• [4] Grabski, F. (2002). Semi-Markov Models of Systems Reliability and Operations Analysis. Warsaw: Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Science.
• [5] Kolowrocki, K. & Soszynska, J. (2008). A general model of technical systems operation processes related to their environment and infrastructure. WP 2 – Task 2.1 – 31.05.2008. Poland-Singapore Joint Research Project, 2007-2010.
• [6] Soszynska, J., Kołowrocki, K., Kamiński, P., Jurdziński, M., Guze, S., Milczek, B., & Golik, P. (2009). Data Mining for Identification and Prediction of Safety and Reliability Characteristics of Complex Industrial Systems and Processes. WP 6– Task 6.2. Preliminary safety and risk analysis and evaluation of a Stena Baltica ferry in variable operation conditions. Sub-Task 6.2.5 - Sub-Task 6.2.5 – 16.03.2009. Poland-Singapore Joint Research Project, 2007-2010.
• [7] Kolowrocki, K. & Kwiatuszewska- Sarnecka, B. (2009). Data Mining for Identification and Prediction of Safety and Reliability Characteristics of Complex Industrial Systems and Processes. WP 6 – Task 6.1. Methodsalgorithms for evaluating unknown parameters of system operation processes, reliability and safety models – a preliminary study. WP 6 - Task 6.1.1 – 16.03.2009. Poland-Singapore Joint Research Project, 2007-2010.

Uwagi

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).