Estimation of Sea Level Rise in Santos Port (Brazil)

• Autorzy: Alfredini P. , Arasaki E.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.12716/1001.13.02.25

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Santos Port is located in São Paulo State Coast (Brazil), in an estuarine area inside Santos Bay named Baixada Santista. The currents behavior is forced by tides. The resulting tidal level variability (high tide, mean sea level and low tide) recorded from Santos Dock Company tide gauge (1940 to 2014), the longest series of continuous record of tides in Brazil, shows a consistent increasing trend. The estimation about the magnitude of mean sea level rise (MSLR) in recommendations, guidelines or requirements issued by different countries and agencies from 1990 provide examples of different approaches used around the world in comparison with the local trends obtained for Santos Port. It is concluded that MSLR will have a considerable impact upon the port, with approximately 1.0 m rise estimated from 1990 to 2100. Baixada Santista is a lowland situated a few meters upper from the sea level and some areas are possible to be submerged in the end of this century. Other two locations in São Paulo State Coast, Cananeia and Ubatuba, respectively to the SE and NW of Santos, were also compared with the port tidal data to evaluate the consistency of the trends.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

oceanology; hydrology; 1-2-3 Rule; São Paulo State Coast; mean sea level rise (MSLR); mean sea level (MSL); Santos Dock Company; tide gauge

• Wydawca: Faculty of Navigation, Gdynia Maritime University
• Czasopismo: TransNav : International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation
• Rocznik: 2019
• Tom: Vol. 13, no. 2
• Strony: 453--458
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 11 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Alfredini P.

• Sao Paulo University, São Paulo, Brazil 

autor

Arasaki E.

• Sao Paulo University, São Paulo, Brazil

Bibliografia

• 1. Alfredini, P.; Arasaki, E., and Pezzoli, A., 2015. The impact of sea level rise in Santos Port (Brazil) for the next decades. Proceedings of 36th Congress of the International Association of Hydraulic Research (The Hague, The Netherlands), Paper 84810.
• 2. Alfredini P., Arasaki E.: Estimation and Impacts of Sea Level Rise in Santos Port and Adjacent Areas (Brazil). TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 12, No. 4, doi:10.12716/1001.12.04.13, pp. 739-744, 2018
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• 5. FEMAR – Fundação de Estudos do Mar, 2000. Catálogo de Estações Maregráficas Brasileiras. Rio de Janeiro.
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• 8. Nicholls, R.J.; Hanson, S., Herweijer, C., Patmore, N., Hallegatte, S., Corfee-Morlot, J., Château, J. and Muir-Wood, R., 2008. Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate Extremes: Exposure Estimates. Paris: OECD Publishing, OECD Environment Working Papers 1, 63p. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/011766488208 - doi:10.1787/011766488208
• 9. PIANC – The World Association for Waterborne Transport Infrastructure, 2014. Countries in Transition (CIT) Coastal Erosion Mitigation Guidelines. Brussels, Belgium: Cooperation Commission (CoCom), PIANC Report 123.
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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).