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Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
In project risk management many firms use bubble diagrams to get a graphical presentation of a project’s most uncertain attributes. The bubble diagrams and procedures used to put attributes into these diagrams are seen to provide a rational framework for managing risks. In this paper we review and discuss the use of these diagrams and procedures. Special attention is given to the way safety is treated. We show that the standard use of bubble diagrams is not adequate for identification and follow up critical activities that affect safety. The main problem is that the present structure means that the uncertainty is not properly taken into account. In this paper a reformulated bubble diagram is suggested that better reflects safety related uncertainties. The offshore oil and gas industry is the starting point, but the discussion is to large extent general.
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
1--5
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 12 poz., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
- University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
autor
- University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
Bibliografia
- [1] Aven, T. (2007). A unified framework for risk and vulnerability analysis and management covering both safety and security. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 92: 745-754.
- [2] Aven, T. (2008). A semi-quantitative approach to risk analysis, as an alternative to QRAs. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, to appear.
- [3] Aven, T. & Vinnem, J. E. (2007). Risk management, with applications from the offshore oil and gas industry. Springer Verlag.
- [4] Cabinet Office. (2002). Risk: improving government’s capability to handle risk and uncertainty. Strategy unit report. UK.
- [5] Chapman, C. & Ward, S. (1997). Project risk management: Processes, techniques and insights. Second edition. Chichester: Wiley.
- [6] Cooper, D., Grey, S., Raymond, G. & Walker, P. (2005). Project risk management guidelines – Managing risk in large projects and complex procurements. Chichester: Wiley.
- [7] ISO. (2002). Risk management vocabulary. ISO/IEC Guide 73.
- [8] Iversen, R. S. (2007). Uncertainty management for the operational phase (in Norwegian). Master thesis. University of Stavanger.
- [9] Project Management Institute. (2004). A guide to the project management body of knowledge. Third edition. US.
- [10] Renn, O. (2005). Risk Governance. White paper no. 1. International Risk Governance Council. Geneva.
- [11] Surdal, J. (2002). Uncertainty management in Statoil: Risk and opportunity management. Presentation for the Norwegian research program in HSE: Decision support tools.
- [12] Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan: The impact of the highly improbable. London: Penguin.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
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