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„BRICS” jako kreator bezpieczeństwa w środowisku międzynarodowym : rola Federacji Rosyjskiej w świetle kryzysu krymskiego

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EN
BRICS : a security's creator in the international environment : the role of the Russian Federation against the background of the Crimea Crisis
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
EN
In November 2001, an analyst at Goldman Sachs economist Jim O'Neill for group of the four largest emerging markets with high economic potential has created the acronym “BRIC”. These markets belong to the Federative Republic of Brazil , the Russian Federation, the Republic of India and the People's Republic of China. In February 2011, the group was expanded to include South Africa, causing a change in the name of the group to „BRICS”. According to Goldman Sachs' forecasts, in the near future the world's economies, in particular, equity markets will depend on the economic development of this group of countries. In addition , in 2050 the total value of the BRICS economies will exceed the value of the G-7 economies . Such predictions seem quite reasonable, taking into account the fact that the BRICS countries have a significant amount of resources. For example, China is a source of cheap labor , both Russia and South Africa have large stocks of natural resources , agro-industry in Brazil is very highly developed , while India has cheap intellectual resources. So today is not only the BRICS group of countries with considerable economic potential , but also has a number of general political interest , which allow members of the BRICS to conduct a coordinated policy and acting as a strong player in the international arena. A total of BRICS occupy 26 % of the territory of the world, nearly 2.83 billion population represents almost half of the total population entourage (42% ), while the combined nominal GDP ( 15,434 trillion ) is 14.6 % of global GDP ratio. This study refers to the facts and development forecasts for this group of countries. In this paper the author tries to define the directions of economic development of the „rising giants”, their investment position in the world , the power supply of the „engine of the global economy”, their political views , but also the most important views on strengthening economic and military new alliances. Due to the ensuing new military- political situation in the region of Eastern Europe (Crimea) and sustained in the course of writing the author tries to develop in a very marginal way to show how these events will affect the configuration of the world economy, and influence on the military- economic situation of the globe.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
148--174
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 32 poz., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
  • Wydział Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego AON
Bibliografia
  • [1] Soule-Kohndou, F. 2013. Le role des Forums IBAS et BRICS dans la diplomatie d’émergent de l’Inde. 12ème Congrès Association Française de Sciences Politiques. 9 Juillet 2013. Paris.
  • [2] Hirst, M. 2012. Emerging powers and global governance. http://www.udesa.edu.ar/files/UAHUMANIDADES/EVENTOS/PAPERHIRST11112.PDF. Access 01/06/2013.
  • [3] Soule-Kohndou, F. 2013. Le role des Forums IBAS et BRICS dans la diplomatie d’émergent de l’Inde. 12ème Congrès Association Française de Sciences Politiques. 9 Juillet 2013. Paris.
  • [4] Fourcade, M., 2013. The material and symbolic construction of the BRICs: Reflections inspired by the RIPE Special Issue. Review of International Political Economy 20, 256–267.
  • [5] BRICS, 2012, The BRICS Report: a study of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa with special focus on synergies and complementarities, OUP India, 21 June 2012.
  • [6] Jayan, P. A., 2013. BRICS: Advancing Cooperation and Strengthening Regionalism. India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs 68, 363–384.
  • [7] eThekwini Declaration, http://www.brics5.co.za/fifth-brics-summit-declaration-and-actionplan/, 20/05/2013.
  • [8] RFI, 2013, Sommet des BRICS: une nouvelle «ruée vers l’Afrique»?, http://www.rfi.fr/afrique/20130327-afrique-sud-brics-vers-une-nouvelle-ruee-versafrique-bresil-inde-chine-russie, 20/05/2013.
  • [9] Le Monde, 2013, “Chinafrique”, les questions qui dérangent, http://www.lemonde.fr/asiepacifique/article/2013/03/29/chinafrique-les-questions-quiderangent_3150304_3216.html, 20/05/2013.
  • [10] Boillot Jean-Joseph, “La montée de la “Chindiafrique” and le pionnier du développement A. O. Hirschman”, Revue Tiers Monde, 2011/4 n°208, p. 121-138. DOI: 10.3917/rtm.208.0121.
  • [11] Lafargue François, “L’Afrique du Sud et la Chine. Un mariage de raison?”, Afrique contemporaine, 2012/2 n° 242, p. 11–28.
  • [12] Eyben, R., Savage, L., 2013. Emerging and Submerging Powers: Imagined Geographies in the New Development Partnership at the Busan Fourth High Level Forum. Journal of Development Studies 49, 457–469.
  • [13] Elder, Miriam, and Leahy, Joe, et al., Who's who: Bric leaders take their place at the top table, Financial Times, London, September 25, 2008.
  • [14] Firzli, M. Nicolas, “Forecasting the Future: The BRICs and the China Model”, JTW/USAK Research Center, Mar 9 2011.
  • [15] Kateb, Alexandre, Les nouvelles puissances mondiales. Pourquoi les BRIC changent le monde” (The new global powers. Why the BRIC change the world) (in French), Paris: Ellipses, 2011, 272 p. ISBN 978-2-7298-6473-6.
  • [16] O'Neill, Jim, BRICs could point the way out of the Economic Mire, Financial Times, London, September 23, 2008, p. 28.
  • [17] Mark Kobayashi-Hillary 'Building a Future with BRICs: The Next Decade for Offshoring’ (Nov 2007). ISBN 978-3-540-46453-2.
  • [18] James D. Sidaway (2012) 'Geographies of Development: New Maps, New Visions?', The Professional Geographer, 64:1, 49-62.
  • [19] J. Vercueil, Les pays émergents. Brésil-Russie-Inde-Chine... Mutations économiques et nouveaux défis (Emerging Countries. Brazil – Russia – India – China... Economic Transformations and new Challenges) (in French), Paris: Bréal, 2010, 207 p. ISBN 978-2-7495-0957-0.
  • [20] Paulo Borba Casella, „BRIC: Brésil, Russie, Inde, Chine et Afrique du Sud – A l'heure d'un nouvel ordre juridique international, éd. A.Pedone, Paris, Sept. 2011, EAN ISBN:978-2-233-00626-4.
  • [21] SAFPI, 2013, BRICS Academic Forum: speech by SA Foreign Minister, http://www.safpi.org/news/article/2013/brics-academic-forum-speech-sa-foreign-minister, 20/05/2013.
  • [22] Hurrel, 2012, Récits d’émergence: la fin du Tiers Monde?, Critique internationale 2012/3 (N° 56).
  • [23] Lafargue François, “L’Afrique du Sud et la Chine. Un mariage de raison?”, Afrique contemporaine, 2012/2 n° 242, p. 11–28.
  • [24] Laïdi Zaki, “Les BRICS: un cartel d’ambitions souverainistes”, Le Débat, 2011/5 n° 167, p. 50–59.
  • [25] Vieira de Jesus, 2013, Os principais pontos na agenda da Cúpula de Durban, BRICS Policy Center, http://www.bricspolicycenter.org/homolog/arquivos/Cupuladedurban.pdf, 20/05/2013.
  • [26] The BRICS Post – News website with a focus on the BRICS.
  • [27] BRICS Information Centre. University of Toronto. Retrieved 29 June 2013.
  • [28] „BRIC(S) nations have become growth markets for the world economy and are no longer emerging markets”. China Daily. 13 April 2011. Retrieved 17 June 2013.
  • [29] „BRICS flame continues to shine”. Indrus.in. 29 February 2012. Retrieved 17 June 2013. „Goldman's O'Neill: Time to move beyond BRICs”. MarketWatch.com. 21 November 2011. Retrieved 17 June 2013.
  • [30] „United States should learn from emerging powers such as India and Brazil in the economic arena”. Reuters. 14 October 2011. Retrieved 17 June 2013.
  • [31] „BRICS – Multi-format Cooperation”. Russian Business Council for Cooperation with India. 2011. Retrieved 17 June 2013.
  • [32] James D. Sidaway (2012) 'Geographies of Development: New Maps, New Visions?', The Professional Geographer, 64:1, 49-62. Retrieved 8 August 2013.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-fe4a32c8-8482-49aa-a38d-e98420a4b0c3
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