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Spline-Extrapolation Method in Traffic Forecasting in 5G Networks

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This paper considers the problem of predicting self-similar traffic with a significant number of pulsations and the property of long-term dependence, using various spline functions. The research work focused on the process of modeling self-similar traffic handled in a mobile network. A splineextrapolation method based on various spline functions (linear, cubic and cubic B-splines) is proposed to predict selfsimilar traffic outside the period of time in which packet data transmission occurs. Extrapolation of traffic for short- and long-term forecasts is considered. Comparison of the results of the prediction of self-similar traffic using various spline functions has shown that the accuracy of the forecast can be improved through the use of cubic B-splines. The results allow to conclude that it is advisable to use spline extrapolation in predicting self-similar traffic, thereby recommending this method for use in practice in solving traffic prediction-related problems.
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
8--16
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 22 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
  • O. S. Popov Odessa National Academy of Telecommunications, Kuznechnaya, 1, 65029 Odessa, Ukraine
  • O. S. Popov Odessa National Academy of Telecommunications, Kuznechnaya, 1, 65029 Odessa, Ukraine
  • O. S. Popov Odessa National Academy of Telecommunications, Kuznechnaya, 1, 65029 Odessa, Ukraine
Bibliografia
  • [1] 3GPP “Study on Scenarios and Requirements for Next Generation Access Technologies”, ETSI TR 38.913, V14.3.0, 2017 [Online]. Available: https://www.etsi.org/deliver/etsi tr/138900 138999/ 138913/14.02.0060/tr 138913v140200p.pdf
  • [2] 3GPP “Study on Architecture for Architecture for Next Generation System”, TR 23.799 V14.0.0, 2016 [Online]. Available: https://portal.3gpp.org/desktopmodules/Specifications/ SpecificationDetails.aspx?specificationId=3045
  • [3] V. V. Krylov and S. S. Samohvalova, Teoriya teletrafika i ee prilozheniya (Teletraffic Theory and Its Applications). St. Petersburg: BHV-Petersburg, 2005, p. 288 (in Russian).
  • [4] O. I. Sheluhin, A. V. Osin, and S. M. Smolski, Samopodobie i Fraktaly. Telekommunikatsionnye Prilozheniya (Self-Similarity and Fractals. Telecommunication Applications). Moscow: Fizmatlit, 2008 (in Russian).
  • [5] I. V. Strelkovskaya, I. N. Solovskaya, N. V. Severin, and S. A. Paskalenko, “Spline approximation-based restoration for selfsimilar traffic”, Eastern-Eur. J. of Enterprise Technol., vol. 3/4 (87), pp. 45–50, 2017 (doi: 10.15587/1729-4061.2017.102999).
  • [6] I. V. Strelkovskaya, I. N. Solovskaya, and N. V. Severin, “Modeling of self-similar traffic”, in Proc. of 4th Int. Conf. on Appl. Innov. in IT ICAIIT-2016, Koethen, Germany, 2016, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 61–64 (doi: 10.13142/KT10004.23).
  • [7] V. V. Popovsky and I. V. Strelkovskaya, “Accuracy of filtration procedures, extrapolation and interpolation of random processes”, Problems of Telecommunications, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 3–10, 2011 [Online]. Available: http://pt.journal.kh.ua/2011/1/1/ 111 popovsky estimation.pdf (in Russian).
  • [8] I. Strelkovskaya, I. Solovskaya, and A. Makoganiuk, “Predicting characteristics of self-similar traffic”, in Proc. of 3rd Int. Conf. on Inform. and Telecommun. Technol. and Radio Electronics UkrMiCo’2018), Odessa, Ukraine, 2018.
  • [9] J. V. Lambers and A. C. Sumner, Explorations in Numerical Analysis. World Scientific Publishing Company, 2018 (ISBN: 978-981-3209-96-1).
  • [10] A. Messaoudi, R. Sadoka, and H. Sadok, “New algorithm for computing the Hermite interpolation polynomial”, Numerical Algorithms, vol. 77, no. 4 ppl. 1069–1092, 2018 (doi: 10.1007/s11075-017-0353-6).
  • [11] I. Farago, A. Havasi, and Z. Zlatev, “Efficient implementation of stable Richardson Extrapolation algorithms, Comp. & Mathem. with Appl., vol. 60, no. 8, pp. 2309–2325, 2010 (doi: 10.1016/j.camwa.2010.08.025).
  • [12] J. H. Ahlberg, E. N. Nilson, and J. I. Walsh, The Theory of Splines and Their Applications, 1st ed. Academic Press, 1967 (ISBN-13: 978-1483209524).
  • [13] P. Sarigiannidis, K. Aproikidis, M. Louta, P. Angelidis, and T. Lagkas, “Predicting multimedia traffic in wireless networks: a performance evaluation of cognitive techniques”, in Proc. 5th Int. Conf. on Inform., Intell., Sys. and Appl. IISA-2014, Chania, Greece, 2014, pp. 341–346 (10.1109/IISA.2014.6878802).
  • [14] V. Kumar and L. Vanajakshi, “Short-term traffic flow prediction using seasonal ARIMA model with limited input data”, Eur. Transport Res. Review., vol. 7, no. 21, pp. 9-21 (doi: 10.1007/s12544-015-0170-8).
  • [15] C. Li, Y. Han, Z. Sun, and Z. Wang, “A novel self-similar traffic prediction method based on wavelet transform for satellite Internet”, EAI Endorsed Trans. on Ambient Syst., vol. 4. no. 14, pp. 1–7 (doi: 10.4108/eai.28-8-2017.153306).
  • [16] T. H. H. Aldhyani and M. R. Joshi, “An integrated model for prediction of loading packets in network traffic”, in Proc. 2nd Int. Conf. on Inform. and Commun. Technol. for Competitive Strateg. ICTCS’16, Udaipur, India, 2016 (doi: 10.1145/2905055.2905236).
  • [17] M. Oravec, M. Petras, and P. Pilka, “Video traffic prediction using neural networks”, Acta Polytech. Hungarica, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 59–78, 2008 [Online]. Available: https://www.uni-obuda.hu/journal/ Oravec Petras Pilka 16.pdf
  • [18] F. C. Pereira, C. Antoniou, J. A. Fargas, and M. Ben-Akiva, “A metamodel for estimating error bounds in real-time traffic prediction systems”, IEEE Trans. on Intell. Transport. Syst., vol. 15, no. 3, pp. 1310–1322 (doi: 10.1109/TITS.2014.2300103).
  • [19] I. Klevecka, “Forecasting network traffic: a comparison of neural networks and linear models”, in Abstracts of the 9th International Conference ‘Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication”, Latvia, Riga, 21-24 Oct., 2009. Riga: Transport and Telecommunication Institute, 2009, pp. 36–36 (ISBN: 978-9984-818-22-1).
  • [20] Yu. S. Zavyalov, B. I. Kvasov, and V. L. Miroshnichenko, Methods of Spline Functions. Moscow: Nauka, 1980 (in Russian).
  • [21] I. Strelkovskaya, “Application of cubic B-splines for synthesis of selective signals”, Telecommun. and Radio Engin., vol. 66, no. 12, pp. 1047–1056, 2007 (doi: 10.1615/TelecomRadEng.v66.i12.10).
  • [22] D. I. Comer, Internetworking with TCP/IP. Pearson Education Limited, 2013.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-fdc1f087-79ab-440f-a444-c4a4bfe46c85
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