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Neural network with single hidden layer for air traffic volume prediction in uncontrolled airspace

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EN
Abstrakty
EN
This article presents a model enabling more efficient air traffic management achieved by better data use . Appropriate resource allocation is possible if it is based on a high quality air traffic volume forecast. The proposed approach is inspired by procedures used in flow management in air traffic control. Staff planning in controlled airspace is easier because almost all operations are communicated in the submitted flight plan. Short-term prediction of the number of operations in uncontrolled airspace is a much more challenging task. It is correlated with weather parameters and moreover, it naturally fluctuates throughout the day and the season. The relationship between General Aviation (GA) traffic volume and meteorological conditions were modeled using neural network. The obtained results confirm that it is possible to use the decision support system to plan the number of operational sectors. The described results open a scientific discussion about designing tools predicting air traffic volume in uncontrolled air space. The accuracy of the model can be improved by processing data from additional sources, but it is associated with a significant increase in the complexity of the solution.
Rocznik
Strony
1--7
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 14 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
  • Department of Computer Science, Polish-Japanese Academy of Information Technology
autor
  • Department of Computer Science, Polish-Japanese Academy of Information Technology
Bibliografia
  • [1] Eurostat, “Air safety statistics 2021,” 11 2021.
  • [2] International Civil Aviation Organization, “Annex 11 to the convention on international civil aviation - air traffic services,” 2018.
  • [3] International Civil Aviation Organization, “Annex 6 to the convention on international civil aviation - air traffic services,” 2018.
  • [4] European Aviation Safety Agency, “Easy access rules for standardized european rules of the air (sera),” 2022.
  • [5] T. Li and A. A. Trani, “A model to forecast airport-level general aviation demand,” Journal of Air Transport Management, vol. 40, pp. 192–206, 8 2014.
  • [6] H. Liao, Z. Fang, C. Wang, and X. Liu, “Economic development forecast of china’s general aviation industry,” Complexity, vol. 2020, pp. 1–8, 6 2020.
  • [7] L. Giovanelli and F. Rotondo, “Determinants and strategies behind commercial airports’ performance in general aviation,” Research in Transportation Business & Management, vol. 43, p. 100795, 6 2022.
  • [8] Y. Almathami and R. Ammar, “Controlled airspace infringements and warning system,” pp. 45–50, 2016 IEEE International Symposium on Signal Processing and Information Technology (ISSPIT), 12 2016.
  • [9] D. Taurino, G. Frau, and J. V. C. Lancia, “Traffic predictions supporting general aviation,” 2014.
  • [10] A. Géron, Hands-On Machine Learing With Scikit-Learn & Tensor Flow. 2017.
  • [11] S. Osowski, Sieci Neuronowe. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Warszawskiej, 1994.
  • [12] R. Tadeusiewicz, Problemy Biocybernetyki. 1994.
  • [13] P. Fabian and et al., “Scikit learn: Machine learning in Python,” Journal of Machine Learning Research, vol. 12, pp. 2825–2830, 2011.
  • [14] IMGW, “synop.” Accessed: 2021-12-06.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-fca711b9-00ad-4d73-952f-172d3bcd1ff4
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