Selected problems of risk evaluation of change in certified civil aviation organisations

• Autorzy: Markiewicz Telesfor Marek , Markowski Piotr

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.20858/sjsutst.2022.114.7

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This article presents some of the generalised results of this research conducted in the form of a diagnostic survey among Safety Managers and a review of safety risk management procedures, including the rules of change risk evaluation, applied in selected civil aviation organisations subject to the survey. This publication aimed to put them under the discussion of experts interested in the issues. Important problems resulting from the necessity to meet general guidelines standardising processes of risk management, formulated in international law regulations [2], as well as in advisory materials of the International Civil Aviation Organisation [6-8], and others [3, 4], including national ones [11], in confrontation with the need for their practical application, were described. Concerning the general rule of risk evaluation described there, inconsistencies in interpretation of the scale of probability and frequency indices and their influence on the evaluation context were pointed out. A model, considering the time aspect in Event Tree Analysis - ETA procedures based on [5, 9], was proposed. Perceived threats to the results of change risk evaluation caused by applying the "the worst foreseeable situation" principle were described. A different approach in the evaluation of change risk based on a comprehensive assessment of the impact of all identified risks on the defined effect was also proposed. Proposals were made to eliminate the disadvantage resulting from the definition of the probability index value – "extremely improbate".

Słowa kluczowe

EN

safety risk; risk of change; aviation safety management system

PL

ryzyko bezpieczeństwa; ryzyko zmian; system zarządzania bezpieczeństwem lotniczym

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej
• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe. Transport / Politechnika Śląska
• Rocznik: 2022
• Tom: z. 114
• Strony: 79--89
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 11 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Markiewicz Telesfor Marek

• War Studies University, Chrusciela 103 street, Warsaw 01-910, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6085-5906

autor

Markowski Piotr

• War Studies University, Chrusciela 103 street, Warsaw 01-910, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3045-3495

Bibliografia

• 1. Plucinska A., E. Plucinski. 2004. “Probabilistyka. Procesy stochastyczne, statystyka matematyczna, rachunek prawdopodobienstwa”. [In Polish: “Probabilistic. Stochastic processes, mathematical statistics, calculus probabilities”]. Warsaw: WNT. ISBN: 978-83-7926-287-8.
• 2. Annex 19 to the convention on international civil aviation - “Safety management”. ISBN: 978-92-9249-965-5.
• 3. CAA, DOC. “Safety management systems – Guidance to organisations”. Safety Regulation Group, Civil Aviation Authority. 2010. Available at: https://www.caa.gov.pl/sms-w-ato/sms_wytyczne_dla_organizacji.doc.
• 4. CAAN. “Safety management system implementation guidance material”. Civil Aviation Safety Regulation Directorate. Civil Aviation Authority of Nepal. 2019.
• 5. Gihman I., A.V. Skorochod. 1968. “Wstęp do teorii procesów stochastycznych”. [In Polish: “Introduction to the theory of stochastic processes”]. Warsaw: PWN.
• 6. ICAO. DOC 9859. “Safety management manual”. Third edition. 2013.
• 7. ICAO. DOC 9859. “Safety management manual”. Four edition. 2018. Available at: https://www.bazl.admin.ch+›+icao-doc-9859.
• 8. ICAO. DOC 9859. “Safety management manual”. Second edition. 2009.
• 9. Modarres M., Mark P. Kaminskiy, Vasiliy Kristosov. 2017. “Reliably engineering and risk analysis”. Great Britain, Cornwall: TJ International LTD. ISBN: 9781498745871.
• 10. Makowski P. 2020. “Issues of brand capital loss risk analysis, humanities and social sciences”. Humanities and social sciences HSS, Vol. XXV, 27(2): P. 109-121. DOI: 10.7862/RZ.2020.HSS.20. Publishing House Of Rzeszow University of Technology.
• 11. ULC, “Krajowy program bezpieczeństwa”. Second Edition. 2020. [In Polish: “State safety program”]. Available at: https://www.ulc.gov.pl/_download/bezpieczenstow_lotow/program-bezpieczenstwa/kpbwlc_-_wydruk.pdf.

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).