Estimation of inter-city travel demand for public road transport in Nigeria

• Autorzy: Dike D. N. , Ibe C. C. , Ejem A. E. , Erumaka O. , Chukwu O. E.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.14254/jsdtl.2018.3-3.7

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This research develops an urban travel demand model for 19 directional O-D city-pair from Owerri Urban. Using revealed preference data from the period of 2014 to 2016 operated by sixteen transport companies in Owerri, Imo State. Other empirical findings include that; overall fares elasticities are low, so that increases in fare levels will almost always lead to increases in revenue. An empirical model to assess the viability of intercity passenger transport operation in Nigeria was formulated. This study will help the operators in business to do a sensitivity analysis based of changes in the intercity passenger travel markets in Nigeria.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

inter-city; demand; transport; elasticities; passenger

• Wydawca: Fundacja Centrum Badań Socjologicznych ; Scientific Publishing House "SciView"
• Czasopismo: Journal of Sustainable Development of Transport and Logistics
• Rocznik: 2018
• Tom: Vol. 3, No. 3
• Strony: 88--98
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 30 poz., rys., tab., wzory

Twórcy

autor

Dike D. N.

• Department of Transport Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria

autor

Ibe C. C.

• Department of Transport Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria

autor

Ejem A. E.

• Department of Transport Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria

autor

Erumaka O.

• Department of Transport Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria

autor

Chukwu O. E.

• Department of Transport Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria

Bibliografia

• Bourbonnais, R. (2004). Econométrie. Dunod, 5ème Edition.
• Brand, D., Parody, T. E., Hsu, P. S., & Tierney, K. F. (1992). Forecasting high-speed rail ridership. Transportation Research Record, (1341).
• Bresson, G., Dargay, J., Madre, J. L., & Pirotte, A. (2003). The main determinants of the demand for public transport: a comparative analysis of England and France using shrinkage estimators. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 37(7), 605-627.
• Bresson, G., Dargay, J., Madre, J. L., & Pirotte, A. (2004). Economic and structural determinants of the demand for public transport: an analysis on a panel of French urban areas using shrinkage estimators. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 38(4), 269-285.
• Button, K., Ngoe, N., & Hine, J. (1993). Modelling vehicle ownership and use in low income countries. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 51-67.
• Camagni, R., Gibelli, M. C, & Rigamonti, P. (2002). Urban mobility and urban form: the social and environmental costs of different patterns of urban expansion. Ecological economics, 40(2), 199-216.
• Dargay, J. M., & Hanly, M. (2002). The demand for local bus services in England. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (JTEP), 36(1), 73-91.
• Davidson, W., Donnelly, R., Vovsha, P., Freedman, J., Ruegg, S., Hicks, J.,... & Picado, R. (2007). Synthesis of first practices and operational research approaches in activity-based travel demand modeling. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 41(5), 464-488.
• Evans, A. W., & Mogridge, M. J. H. (1970). The Prediction of Car Ownership (Comment and Rejoinder). Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 4(1), 89-106.
• Gakenheimer, R. (1999). Urban mobility in the developing world. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 33(7-8), 671-689.
• Garcia-Ferrer, A., Bujosa, M., de Juan, A., & Poncela, P. (2006). Demand forecast and elasticities estimation of public transport Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 40(1), 45-67.
• Giuliano, G., & Dargay, J. (2006). Car ownership, travel and land use: a comparison of the US and Great Britain. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 40(2), 106-124.
• Greene, W. H. (1993). Econometric Analysis. Prentice Hall, Second Edition.
• Holmgren, J. (2007). Meta-analysis of public transport demand. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 41(10), 1021-1035.
• Jansson, J. O. (1989). Car demand modelling and forecasting: a new approach. Journal of transport Economics and Policy, 23(2), 125-140.
• Kain, J. F., & Fauth, G. R. (1977). The effects of urban structure on automobile ownership and journey to work mode choices. Transportation research record, 658, 9-17.
• Koppelman, F. S., & Hirsch, M. (1989). Intercity Travel Choice Behaviour: Theory and Empirical Analysis. In Travel behaviour research: Fifth International Conference on Travel Behavior, Institut National De Recherche Sur Les Transports Et Leur Securite, Aix-En-Provence, France, (pp. 227-244).
• Limtanakool, N., Dijst, M., & Lanzendorf, M. (2003, January). International comparison of long-distance travel: the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. Presentation of 82nd Annual Meeting of the Transport Research Board.
• Maddala, G. S. (2008). Introduction to Econometrics. Wiley and Sons, Third Edition.
• Mcfadden, D. (1974). The Measurement of Intercity Travel Demand. Journal of Public Economics, 3, 303-328.
• Medlock, K. B., & Soligo, R. (2002). Car ownership and economic development with forecasts to the year 2015.Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (JTEP), 36(2), 163-188.
• Mogdridge, M. (1967). The Prediction of Car Ownership, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 1(1), 55-74.
• Mogridge, M. J. (1989). The prediction of car ownership and use revisited: the beginning of the end?. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 55-74.
• Orturzar, J. De D., & Willumsen, L. G. (2006). Modelling Transport. John Wiley and Sons, 3th Edition.
• Oum, T. H., Waters, W. G., & Yong, J. S. (1992). Concepts of price elasticities of transport demand and recent empirical estimates: an interpretative survey. Journal of Transport Economics and policy, 26(2), 139-154.
• Paulley, N., Balcombe, R., Mackett, R., Titheridge, H., Preston, J., Wardman, M.,... & White, P. (2006). The demand for public transport: The effects of fares, quality of service, income and car ownership. Transport Policy, 13(4), 295-306.
• Peers, J. B., & Bevilacqua, M. (1976). Structural travel demand models: an intercity application. Transportation Research Record, 569, 124-135.
• Schafer, A., & Victor, D. G. (2000). The future mobility of the world population. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 34(3), 171-205.
• van de Coevering, P., & Schwanen, T. (2006). Re-evaluating the impact of urban form on travel patterns in Europe and North-America. Transport policy, 13(3), 229-239.
• Wardman, M. (2004). Public transport values of time. Transport policy, 11(4), 363-377.

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).