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Tytuł artykułu

Using Artificial Neural Networks to Establish a Customer-cancellation Prediction Model

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
PL
Model anulowania klientów, oparty na sztucznych sieciach neuronowych
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
In the past, judgments concerning customer cancellations relied primarily on managers’ experience. Prediction errors can cause surpluses or insufficient service capacity. Data mining technology can improve prediction and judgment accuracy. This study applies back propagation neural networks and general regression neural networks to establish a customer-cancellation prediction model. The empirical results showed that both prediction models possessed good predictive abilities and can aid in service capacity scheduling.
PL
W artykule opisano zastosowanie sieci neuronowych o propagacji wstecznej (ang. BPNN) oraz regresji generalnej (ang. GRNN) w budowie modelu anulowania klientów. Działanie to zwykle opiera się na doświadczeniu manager’a, co może doprowadzić do błędnych decyzji. Rezultaty badań empirycznych dowodzą dobrych własności przewidywania i możliwej użyteczności w określaniu potencjalnych działań z klientem opracowanych modeli.
Rocznik
Strony
178--180
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 27 poz., rys., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
  • Yu Da University
autor
  • Chinese Culture University
autor
  • Chinese Culture University
Bibliografia
  • [1] Liberman, V., Yechali, U., On the Hotel Overbooking Problem- An Inventory System with Stochastic Cancellations, Management Science, 24(1978), 1117-1126.
  • [2] Toh, R. S., An Inventory Depletion Overbooking Model for the Hotel Industry, Journal of Travel Research. 23(1985), No. 4, 24-31.
  • [3] Kimes, S., Yield Management: A Tool for Capacity Constrained Service Firms, Journal Operations Management, 8(1989), 348-363.
  • [4] N. W. Kuo, Information Technology Applications for Geriatric Consultation Services in Taiwan, International Journal of Advancements in Computing Technology, 3(2011), No. 1, pp. 44-52.
  • [5] Richard, E. C., Multi-Period Airline Overbooking with Multiple Fare Classes, Naval Research Logistics, 43(1996), 603-612.
  • [6] Toh, R. S., DeKay, F., Hotel Room-Inventory Management: An Overbooking Model, Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, 43(2002), No 4, 79-91.
  • [7] Huang, H. C., Using Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Restaurant Industry Service Recovery, International Journal of Advancements in Computing Technology, 4(2012), No. 10, 315-321.
  • [8] Babu G., Bhuvaneswari T., A Data Mining Technique to Find Optimal Customers for Beneficial Customer Relationship Management, Journal of Computer Science, 8(2012), No.1, 89-98.
  • [9] Yeh, J. B., Tung C. F., Chang W. H., The Application of the Neural Network to the Forecasting of Missed Hospital Appointments, Taiwan Journal of Public Health, 28(2009), No.5, 361-373.
  • [10] Keyvan Vahidy Rodpysh, Model to Predict the Behavior of Customers Churn at the Industry, International Journal of Computer Applications, 49(2012), No. 15, 12-16.
  • [11] Berry, M. J. A., Gordon, G. S., Mastering Data Mining, Jon Wiley & Sons, INC., Canada, 2000.
  • [12] Liu, H., CAO, Y. H., The Research of Machine Learning Algorithm for Intrusion Detection Techniques, International Journal of Digital Content Technology and its Applications, 6(2012), No. 1, 343-347.
  • [13] Ji, J. C., Zhou, C. G., Bai, T., Zhao, J., Wang, Z., A Novel Fuzzy K-Mean Algorithm with Fuzzy Centroid for Clustering Mixed Numeric and Categorical Data, Advances in Information Sciences and Service Sciences, 4(2012), No. 7, 256-264.
  • [14] Huang, H. C., Research on the Influential Factors of Customer Satisfaction and Post-Purchase Behavior for Hotels, Advances in Information Sciences and Service Sciences, 4(2012), No. 10, 442-450.
  • [15] Chen C. F., Yang W. G., Tu Y. C., Lee, S. S., What Is the Main Impact Factor for Baseball Fans to Purchase Intention of Team Accessory Products?, Journal of Sport and Recreation Management, 9(2012), No. 1, 52-72.
  • [16] Wang, W. L., Lin W. C., Chao, C. W., Chen, C. C., Lin, H. C., Exploring Characteristics of Ambulatory Patients Who Fail to Show for Appointments and Related Problems in a Medical Center, 5(2003), No. 4, 309-320.
  • [17] Anjana Bhardwaj, Manish, Arora A. K., A Comparison of the SOFM with LVQ, SOFM without LVQ and Statistical Technique, International Journal of Engineering and Advanced Technology, 1(2012), No. 6, 40-44.
  • [18] Cheng, J. J., Liu, Y., Cheng, H., Zhang, Y. C., Si, X. M., Zhang, C. L., Growth Trends Prediction of Online Forum Topics Based on Artificial Neural Networks, Journal of Convergence Information Technology, 6(2011), No. 10, 87-95.
  • [19] Zhou, R. J., Ren, G. Z., Zhang, Z., Application of Probabilistic Neural Network in Bonding Quality Ultrasonic Detection of Composite Material, Journal of Next Generation Information Technology,1(2010), No. 1, 39-46.
  • [20] Werbos, P. J., Beyond Regression: New Tools for Prediction and Analysis in the Behavioral Sciences, PhD thesis, Harvard University, 1974.
  • [21] Parker, D.B., Learning-logic : Casting the Cortex of the Human Brain in Silicon, Technical Report TR-47, Center for Computational Research in Economics and Management Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1985.
  • [22] Zin, B., Jin, W. D., Radar Emitter Signal Recognition Based on EMD and Neural Network, Journal of Computers, 7(2012), No. 6, 1413-1420.
  • [23] Yeh, I. C., Yang, Y. H., Jang, W. J., ARIMA-BPN Times Series Neural Networks, Journal of Technology, 24(2009), No. 1, 77- 86.
  • [24] Wang, H., Application of BPN with feature-based models on cost estimation of plastic injection products, Computers and Industrial Engineering, 53(2007), 79-94.
  • [25] Donald F. Specht, Probabilistic neural networks, Neural Networks, 3(1990), No. 1, 109-118.
  • [26] Merry Cherian, S. Paul Sathiyan, Neural Network Based ACC for Optimized Safety and Comfort, International Journal of Computer Applications, 42(2012), No. 14, 1-4.
  • [27] Huang, M. L., Chen, H. Y., Chen, K. L., Lee, Y. W., "Construction of Medical Diagnosis Classification Model through Artificial Neural Networks", International Symposium of Quality Management, Taichung, Taiwan, 2006, pp. 1-10.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-efad8705-498a-472e-90c8-abb03b75904d
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