Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
Tytuł artykułu

Estimation of Sea Level Rise in Santos Port (Brazil)

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Santos Port is located in São Paulo State Coast (Brazil), in an estuarine area inside Santos Bay named Baixada Santista. The currents behavior is forced by tides. The resulting tidal level variability (high tide, mean sea level and low tide) recorded from Santos Dock Company tide gauge (1940 to 2014), the longest series of continuous record of tides in Brazil, shows a consistent increasing trend. The estimation about the magnitude of mean sea level rise (MSLR) in recommendations, guidelines or requirements issued by different countries and agencies from 1990 provide examples of different approaches used around the world in comparison with the local trends obtained for Santos Port. It is concluded that MSLR will have a considerable impact upon the port, with approximately 1.0 m rise estimated from 1990 to 2100. Baixada Santista is a lowland situated a few meters upper from the sea level and some areas are possible to be submerged in the end of this century. Other two locations in São Paulo State Coast, Cananeia and Ubatuba, respectively to the SE and NW of Santos, were also compared with the port tidal data to evaluate the consistency of the trends.
  • Sao Paulo University, São Paulo, Brazil 
  • Sao Paulo University, São Paulo, Brazil
  • 1. Alfredini, P.; Arasaki, E., and Pezzoli, A., 2015. The impact of sea level rise in Santos Port (Brazil) for the next decades. Proceedings of 36th Congress of the International Association of Hydraulic Research (The Hague, The Netherlands), Paper 84810.
  • 2. Alfredini P., Arasaki E.: Estimation and Impacts of Sea Level Rise in Santos Port and Adjacent Areas (Brazil). TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, Vol. 12, No. 4, doi:10.12716/1001.12.04.13, pp. 739-744, 2018
  • 3. Cartacho, D. L. Análise probabilística chuva-maré para a Bacia do Rio Santo Antônio em Caraguatatuba (SP). São Paulo, 2013. Dissertação (Mestrado apresentado ao Depar¬tamento de Engenharia Hidráulica e Sanitária da Escola Politécnica da Universidade de São Paulo).
  • 4. DEFRA – Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs of the UK Government, 2010. Defra’s Climate Change Plan 2010.
  • 5. FEMAR – Fundação de Estudos do Mar, 2000. Catálogo de Estações Maregráficas Brasileiras. Rio de Janeiro.
  • 6. Franco, A. S., 2009. Marés: Fundamentos, Análise e Previsão. Niteroi, Diretoria de Hidrografia e Nave¬gação, Niteroi.
  • 7. IPCC, 2013. Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  • 8. Nicholls, R.J.; Hanson, S., Herweijer, C., Patmore, N., Hallegatte, S., Corfee-Morlot, J., Château, J. and Muir-Wood, R., 2008. Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate Extremes: Exposure Estimates. Paris: OECD Publishing, OECD Environment Working Papers 1, 63p. - doi:10.1787/011766488208
  • 9. PIANC – The World Association for Waterborne Transport Infrastructure, 2014. Countries in Transition (CIT) Coastal Erosion Mitigation Guidelines. Brussels, Belgium: Cooperation Commission (CoCom), PIANC Report 123.
  • 10. PIANC – The World Association for Waterborne Transport Infrastructure, 2014. Sustainable Ports, A Guide for Port Authorities. Brussels, Belgium: IAPH EnviCom Report Working Group 150, PIANC Report 150.
  • 11. Rahmstorf, S., 2007. A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science, 315, 368-370. - doi:10.1126/science.1135456
Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).
Typ dokumentu
Identyfikator YADDA
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.