Trends and challenges of forecasting in the airline industry research

• Autorzy: Dewi Oki Anita Candra , Masruroh Nur Aini , Wibowo Budhi Sholeh

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.2478/emj-2025-0010

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This study aims to comprehensively review aviation forecasting research by identifying its bibliometric trends, evolving research areas, and thematic developments. It focuses on understanding the aviation industry’s research gaps, highlighting emerging trends, and offering insights into future forecasting innovations. A systematic literature review in the Scopus database used Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) and bibliometric analysis. It identified key patterns, influential publications, and emerging topics. A science mapping analysis was executed to pinpoint research trends in airline forecasting using Biblioshiny to visualise the network analysis and thematic evolution keywords mapping. The study categorised research trends and identified underexplored areas for future investigation. The findings reveal significant shifts in aviation forecasting research, with three distinct phases of publication growth and a surge in output from 2016 onwards. Passenger demand forecasting remains the most researched topic, though its growth has stabilised. Emerging issues such as customer behaviour, financial forecasting, and dynamic pricing have gained prominence, driven by advancements in machine learning and big data analytics. The study also highlights transitioning from traditional statistical methods to more advanced predictive techniques, emphasising real-time decision-making and operational efficiency. Established research areas, such as air cargo forecasting and f leet scheduling, have become more standardised, reducing the need for further innovation.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

airline; forecasting; bibliometric analysis; PRISMA

PL

linie lotnicze; prognozowanie; analiza bibliometryczna; PRISMA

• Wydawca: Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Białostockiej
• Czasopismo: Engineering Management in Production and Services
• Rocznik: 2025
• Tom: Vol. 17, no. 2
• Strony: 23--36
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 53 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Dewi Oki Anita Candra

• Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Grafika Street No. 2, Sinduadi, Mlati District, Sleman Regency, Special Region of Yogyakarta, Indonesia
• Universitas Internasional Semen Indonesia PT Semen Indonesia Complex, Veteran Street, Gresik, East Java, Indonesia

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6690-0453

autor

Masruroh Nur Aini

• Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Grafika Street No. 2, Sinduadi, Mlati District, Sleman Regency, Special Region of Yogyakarta, Indonesia

• https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0171-7620

autor

Wibowo Budhi Sholeh

• Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Grafika Street No. 2, Sinduadi, Mlati District, Sleman Regency, Special Region of Yogyakarta, Indonesia

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0448-8045

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