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Global aerospace industry risks

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Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The global Aerospace industry is expected to improve in 2018 as its revenue is predicted to rise by 4.1% , doubling last year’s 2.1% growth. The recovery of global gross domestic product (GDP), stable commodity prices, and increased passenger travel demand are likely to ramp up growth in the commercial aircraft sector in 2018. This article reviews the performance of the aerospace industry in 2017 and 2018 and speculates its growth in the incoming years. It also outlines the performance across the major aerospace markets and discusses trends that will impact the industry. The article forecasts the mergers and acquisitions activity in 2018 that lays the foundation for further growth in this space. Key findings are: • Commercial aircraft sector revenues are expected to grow by 4.8% as production levels are likely to be robust while the defence sector revenues are likely to record 3.6% growth as the US defence budget recovers after experiencing multi-year declines. • The spiralling demand for passenger travel is driving commercial aircraft production and is responsible for the record high backlog of 14,215 units at the end of 2017. • In 2018, global Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) activity is expected to remain strong in the aerospace sector, being driven by pricing pressures from aircraft OEMs and their expansion of high-margin aftermarket services. This has pushed suppliers to consolidate for scale and cost-effectiveness.
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
05--27
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 22 poz.
Twórcy
autor
  • Faculty of Transport, The Silesian University of Technology, Krasińskiego 8 Street, 40-019 Katowice, Poland
Bibliografia
  • 1. Airbus 2016 annual report.
  • 2. Airbus 2017 annual report.
  • 3. Airbus achieves targets proving ramp-up readiness in 2016. Airbus website. Available at: http://airbus.com/presscentre/pressreleases/pressrelease-detail/detail/airbus-achieves-targetsproving-ramp-up-readiness-in-2016/.
  • 4. Airbus approved supplier list. Airbus website. Available at: http://airbus.com/fileadmin/media_gallery/files/suppl y_world/Airbus-Approved-Suppliers-ListJul2016.pdf.
  • 5. Boeing 2016 annual report.
  • 6. Boeing 2017 annual report.
  • 7. Bombardier 2015 financial report.
  • 8. Bombardier 2016 financial report.
  • 9. CAPA. “LCCs reach 10% market share in domestic Japan. Partnerships become likely - but complex”. July 2017. Available at: http://centreforaviation.com/insights/analysis/lccs-reach-10-market-share-in-domestic-japan-partnerships-become-likely---butcomplex-351499.
  • 10. Current Market Outlook 2016-2035. Boeing website. Available at: http://boeing.com/resources/boeingdotcom/ commercial/about-ourmarket/assets/downloads/cmo_print_2016_fin al_updated.pdf.
  • 11. Deloitte analysis based on data from Boeing – available at: http://http://www.boeing.com/commercial. Airbus – available at: http://http://www.airbus.com/company/market/orders-deliveries/. Bombardier – available at: http://http://www.bombardier.com/en/media/commercial-aircraft-status-reports.html. Flightglobal – available at: http://https://www.flightglobal.com/.
  • 12. Deloitte analysis of data from Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) Military Expenditure Database. Available at: http://https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex.
  • 13. Deloitte analysis of the following data: The Boeing Company. Current Market Outlook (2017–2036), July 2017. Available at: http://www.boeing.com/commercial/market/current-market-outlook-2017/.
  • 14. Enabling talent to drive innovation in A&D. EY website. Available at: http://ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EYenabling-talent-in-aerospace-anddefense/$FILE/EY-enabling-talent-in-aerospaceand-defense.pdf.
  • 15. Global Market Forecast – Mapping demand 2016/2035. Airbus website. Available at: http://airbus.com/company/market/globalmarket-forecast-2016-2035/.
  • 16. IATA. Industry Statistics. December 2017. Available at: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/fact_sheets/Documents/fact-sheet-industry-facts.pdf.
  • 17. Jacyna-Golda I., M. Wasiak, M. Izdebski et al. 2016. “The Evaluation of the efficiency of supply chain configuration”. 20th International Scientific Conference on Transport Means. Juodkrante, Lithuania. October 05-07, 2016. Proceedings of the 20th International Scientific Conference Transport Means 2016. Transport Means - Proceedings of the International Conference. P. 953-957.
  • 18. Kowalski M. 2012. “Phase mapping in the diagnosing of a turbojet engine”. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics 50(4): 913-921.
  • 19. Kozakiewicz A., M. Kowalski. 2013. “Unstable operation of the turbine aircraft engine”. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics 51(3): 719-727.
  • 20. Orders & Deliveries. Airbus website. Available at: http://airbus.com/company/market/ordersdeliveries/.
  • 21. Orders and deliveries. Boeing website. Available at: http://boeing.com/commercial/#/orders-deliveries.
  • 22. Zieja M., P. Golda, M. Zokowski et al. 2017. „Vibroacoustic technique for the fault diagnosis in a gear transmission of a military helicopter”. Journal of Vibroengineering 19(2): 1039-1049.
Uwagi
PL
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2020).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-ea792446-d518-4860-ac42-f3348bce2075
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