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Random processes related to accidents on Baltic Sea waters and ports

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Konferencja
14th Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars - SSARS 2020, 26-30 September 2020, Ciechocinek, Poland
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
A crucial role in construction of the models related to accidents on the Baltic Sea water and ports play nonhomogeneous Poisson and nonhomogeneous compound Poisson process. The model of consequences and connected to it model of accidents number on sea and seaports are here presented. Moreover some procedures of the models parameters identification are presented in the chapter. Estimation of model some parameters was made based on data from reports of HELCOM and Interreg project Baltic LINes.
Twórcy
  • Polish Naval Academy, Gdynia, Poland
Bibliografia
  • [1] Bernaciak, K. 2005. Multicriterial optimization of semi-Markov processes with discount. Advances in Safety and Reliability, 171-178.
  • [2] Boussemart, M., Bicard, T. & Limnios, N. 2001. Markov decision processes with aconstraint on the average asymptotic failure rate. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability 3(2), 199-214.
  • [3] Beutler, F. & Ross, K. 1986. Time-average optimal constrained semi-Markov decision processes. Advances in Applied Probability 18, 341-359.
  • [4] Boussemart, M & Limnios, N. 2004. Markov decision processes with aconstraint on the average asymptotic failure rate. Communication in Statistics - Theory and Methods 33(7), 1689-1714.
  • [5] Feinberg, E. 1994. Constrained semi-Markov decision processes with average rewards. ZOR - Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 39, 257-288.
  • [6] Gertsbakh, I. B. 1969. Models of Preventive Service. Sovetskoe radio. Moscow (in Russian).
  • [7] Grabski, F. 2009. Application of the Functions of Random Arguments in Reliability, Safety and Logistic Problems. Wydawnictwo Komunikacji i Łączności, Warszawa (in Polish: Funkcje o losowych argumentach w zagadnieniach niezawodności, bezpieczeństwa i logistyki), 344.
  • [8] Grabski, F. 2015. Semi-Markov Processes: Applications in Systems Reliability and Maintenance. Elsevier, Amsterdam - Boston - Heidelberd - London - New York - Oxford - Paris - San Diego - San Francisco - Sidney - Tokyo.
  • [9] Grabski, F. 2018. Optimization problem of reliability subject to constraint of availability in semi-Markov models of operation. AIP Conference Proceedings. Data Analysis and Applicaions 4: financial data analysis and methods 6; Big Data, Artificial Intelligence and Mata Analysis SET. Editors: Makrides A., Karagrigoriou A., Skidas C. H. London, ISTE LTD 2020, 103-118.
  • [10] Grabski, F. 2017. Nonhomogeneous Poisson process application to modelling accidents number at Baltic waters and ports. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminars 8(1), 39-46.
  • [11] Limnios, N. & Oprisan, G. 2001. Semi-Markov Processes and Reliability, Boston, Birkhauser.
  • [12] Shiryayev, A. N. 1984. Probability. Springer - Verlag, New York, Berlin, Heidelberg, Tokyo.
  • [13] Baltic LINes. 2016. Shipping in the Baltic Sea - Past, Present and Future Developments Relevant for Maritime Spatial Planning. Project Report I, 35.
  • [14] HELCOM. 2014. Annual Report on Shipping Accidents in the Baltic Sea Area During 2012, 43.
  • [15] HELCOM. 2014. Annual Report on Shipping Accidents in the Baltic Sea in 2013.
  • [16] Howard, R. A. 1960. Dynamic Programing and Markov Processes. Cambridge, Massachusetts, MIT Press.
  • [17] Howard, R. A. 1964. Research of semi-markovian decision structures. Journal of Operations Research Society 6, 163-199.
  • [18] Howard, R. A. 1971. Dynamic probabilistic system. Semi-Markow and Decision Processes 2. New York - London - Sydney - Toronto, Wiley.
  • [19] Jewell, W. S. 1963. Markov-renewal programming. Operation Research 11, 938-971.
  • [20] Korolyuk, V. S. & Turbin, A. F. 1976. Semi-Markov Processes and their Applications (in Russian), Kiev, Naukova Dumka.
  • [21] Limnios, N & Oprisan, G. 2001. Semi-Markov Processes and Reliability. Boston, Birkhauser.
  • [22] Mine, H. & Osaki, S. 1970. Markovian Decision Processes. New York, AEPCI.
  • [23] Silvestrov, D. C. 1980. Semi-Markov Processes with a Discrete State Space (in Russian), Moscow, Sovetskoe Radio.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-e97761fd-8a05-452e-bb5c-9d0d7367ab17
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