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Tytuł artykułu

Application of Godet’s Scenario Methodology to the Turkish Apparel Industry

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Warianty tytułu
PL
Zastosowanie metody Godeta dla analizy tureckiego przemysłu odzieżowego
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The value of Turkish textile and apparel trade has shown steady growth since the 1980s, making this one of the indispensable sectors for the Turkish economy. However, especially after 2000, the dramatic effects of globalisation and liberalisation began to be felt in world textile and apparel trade, subsequently changing the dynamics. Companies working in the textile business were compelled to make strategic adjustments in order to determine their future opportunities. Scenario planning enables managers to better analyse the future environment than when using other techniques. In this study, Godet’s scenario planning methodology was applied to the Turkish apparel industry in order to determine future perspectives the industry would face.
PL
Obroty tureckiego handlu tekstylno-odzieżowego wykazywały stały wzrost od 1980 roku, co czyni go jednym z niezbędnych sektorów tureckiej gospodarki. Jednak, zwłaszcza po roku 2000, dramatyczne skutki globalizacji i liberalizacji zaczęły być odczuwalne na światowych rynkach branży tekstylno-odzieżowej, zmieniając jej dynamikę. Firmy działające w sektorze tekstylnym zostały zmuszone do podejmowania strategicznych zmian w celu określenia ich przyszłych możliwości. Planowanie scenariuszowe umożliwia menedżerom lepiej przeanalizować przyszłe środowiska, niż przy użyciu innych technik. W tym badaniu metoda scenariuszowa Godeta została zastosowana dla tureckiego przemysłu odzieżowego w celu określenia jego przyszłych perspektyw.
Rocznik
Strony
7--12
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 26 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • Textile Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey
autor
  • Textile Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey
autor
  • Industrial Engineering Department, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey
  • College of Textiles, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, USA tile Technologies and Design
Bibliografia
  • 1. Neidik B, Gereffi G. Explaining Turkey’s emergence and sustained competitiveness as a full-package supplier of apparel. Environment and Planning 2006; 38: 2285-2303.
  • 2. ITKIB, Export Performance Evaluation Report of Textile Industry, 2000 – 2010.
  • 3. ITKIB, Export Performance Evaluation Report of Apparel Industry, 2000 – 2010.
  • 4. Bateman TS, Snell SA. Management Competing in the New Era. 5th ed. Mc Graw Hill Irwin, NY, USA, 2002.
  • 5. Mietzner D, Reger G. Advantages and Disadvantages of Scenario Approaches for Strategic Foresight. International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning 2005; 1; 2: 220-239.
  • 6. Jouvenel HD. A Brief Methodological Guide to Scenario Building, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2000; 65: 37-48.
  • 7. State Planning Agency, 9th Development Plan Specialized Commission Report: Textile, Leather and Clothing Industry (in Turkish), Ankara, 2007.
  • 8. ITKIB. Strategy Document for Textile, Apparel, Leather Industry and Products (in Turkish),Turkey, 2008.
  • 9. Turkish Clothing Manufacturers’ Association, Ufuk 2015, Turkish Clothing Industry Road Map, Istanbul, 2007.
  • 10. Ongut E. Turkish Textile and Clothing Industry’s Adaptation to the Changing Competitive Conditions (in Turkish). Thesis for Planning Expertise, State Planning Agency, Ankara, 2007.
  • 11. SME Research Center. Turkish Textile and Clothing Industry-A Competitive Analysis, Ankara University, Ankara, 2007.
  • 12. Taymaz E. Competitiveness of the Turkish Textile and Clothing Industries. The World Bank, 2002.
  • 13. Ozgur I. The Overview of Textile and Apparel Industry and The Competitiveness Strategies (in Turkish). Kadir Has University, Istanbul, 2006.
  • 14. Atilgan T. The Effects of the Textile and Clothing Sector on the Economy of Turkey. Fibres and Textiles in Eastern Europe 2006; 14, 4: 16-20.
  • 15. Temiroglu A. Observing and guiding of ready-made clothing sector (in Turkish). PhD Thesis, University of Sakarya, Sakarya, 2007.
  • 16. Jarke M, Bui XT, Carrol JM. Scenario Management: An Interdisciplinary Approach. Requirements Engineering 1998; 3: 155-173.
  • 17. Schoemaker PJH. Scenario Planning: A Tool for Strategic Thinking, Sloan Management Review 1995; 36, 2: 25-40.
  • 18. Bradfield R, Wright G, Burt G, Cairns G, Van der Heijden K. The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning. Futures 2005; 37: 795-812.
  • 19. Bergman J, Viljainen S, Kassi T, Partanen J, Laaksonen P. Managing the Exploration of New Operational and Strategic Activities Using the Scenario Method-Assessing Future Capabilities in the Field of Electricity Distribution Industry. International Journal of Production Economics 2006; 104: 46-61.
  • 20. Wollenberg E, Edmunds D, Buck L. Using Scenarios to Make Decisions about the Future: Anticipatory Learning for The Adaptive Co-management of Community Forests. Landscape and Urban Planning 2000; 47: 65-77.
  • 21. Varho V, Tapio P. Wind Power in Finland up to the Year 2025-Soft Scenarios Based on Expert Views. Energy Policy 2005; 33: 1930-1947.
  • 22. Dolek B. Scenario Planning of E-Commerce Activities in Turkey (in Turkish). M.Sc. Thesis, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, 2002.
  • 23. Polat S, Asan U. Scenario Based Competence Designation. Competence Perspectives on Managing Internal Processes, Advances in Applied Business Strategy 2005; 7: 51-77.
  • 24. Schoemaker PJH. When and How to Use Scenario Planning: A Heuristic Approach with Illustration. Journal of Forecasting 1991; 10; 6: 549-564.
  • 25. Huss WR, Honton EJ. Scenario Planning-What Styles Should You Use. Long Range Planning 1987; 20; 4: 21-29.
  • 26. Godet M. The art of scenarios and strategic planning: tools and pitfalls. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2000; 65: 3-22.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
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