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Statistical approach for the estimation of watershed scale nitrate export : a case study from Melen watershed of Turkey

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Nutrient pollution such as nitrate (NO3−) can cause water quality degradation in rivers used as a source of drinking water. This situation raises the question of how the nutrients have moved depending on many factors such as land use and anthropogenic sources. Researchers developed several nutrient export coefficient models depending on the aforementioned factors. To this purpose, statistical data including a number of factors such as historical water quality and land use data for the Melen Watershed were used. Nitrate export coefficients are estimates of the total load or mass of nitrate (NO3−) exported from a watershed standardized to unit area and unit time (e.g. kg/km2/day). In this study, nitrate export coefficients for the Melen Watershed were determined using the model that covers the Frequentist and Bayesian approaches. River retention coefficient was determined and introduced into the model as an important variable.
Rocznik
Strony
44--51
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 36 poz., rys., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
  • Akdeniz University, Turkey Vocational School of Technical Sciences, Environmental Protection and Control
autor
  • Bogazici University, Turkey Department of Civil Engineering
Bibliografia
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  • [4]. Cowan, G. (2012). Topics in Statistical Data Analysis for HEP, Lhc Physics, USA, 341.
  • [5]. De Klein, J.J.M. & Koelmans, A.A. (2011). Quantifying seasonal export and retention of nutrients in west European lowland rivers at catchment scale, Hydrological Processes, 25 (13), pp. 2102–2111.
  • [6]. Dillon, P.J. & Kirchner, W.B. (1975). The effects of geology and land use on the export of phosphorus from watersheds, Water Research, 9, pp. 135–148.
  • [7]. Donohue, I., Styles, D., Coxon, C. & Irvine, K. (2005). Importance of spatial and temporal patterns for assessment of risk of diffuse nutrient emissions to surface waters, Journal of Hydrology, 304 (1–4), pp. 183–192.
  • [8]. DSI (State Hydraulic Works), (2011). 1995–2006 Stream Pollution Parameters Measurements in the Melen Watershed, Ankara, Turkey 2011. (Unpublished report).
  • [9]. Essahale, A., Malki, M., Marín, I. & Moumni, M. (2010). Bacterial diversity in Fez tanneries and Morocco’s Binlamdoune River, using 16S RNA gene based fingerprinting, Journal of Environmental Sciences, 22 (12), pp. 1944–1953.
  • [10]. Everitt, B.S. (2006). The Cambridge Dictionary of Statistics, Third Edition, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 432.
  • [11]. Fu, B., Wang, Y.K., Xu, P. & Yan, K. (2012). Modelling nutrient retention function of ecosystem – a case study in Baoxing County, China, Procedia Environmental Sciences, 13, pp. 111–121.
  • [12]. Gardner, M. (2012). Improving the interpretation of ‘less than’values in environmental monitoring, Water and Environment Journal, 26 (2), pp. 285–290.
  • [13]. Gelman, A. (2006). Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper), Bayesian Analysis, 1 (3), pp. 515–534.
  • [14]. Hogan, D.M., Labiosa, W., Pearlstine, L., Hallac, D., Strong, D., Hearn, P. & Bernknopf, R. (2012). Estimating the cumulative ecological effect of local scale landscape changes in South Florida, Environmental Management, 49 (2), pp. 502–515.
  • [15]. Huang, S.J. & Yu, J. (2010). Bayesian analysis of structural credit risk models with microstructure noises, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34 (11), pp. 2259–2272.
  • [16]. Izagirre, O., Argerich, A., Martí, E. & Elosegi, A. (2013). Nutrient uptake in a stream affected by hydropower plants: comparison between stream channels and diversion canals, Hydrobiologia, 712(1), pp. 105–116.
  • [17]. Konomi, B.A., Dhavala, S.S., Huang, J.Z., Kundu, S., Huitink, D., Liang, H., Ding, Y. & Mallick, B. K. (2013). Bayesian object classification of gold nanoparticles, The Annals of Applied Statistics, 7(2), pp. 640–668.
  • [18]. Law, A.M. & Kelton, W.D. (1991). Simulation Modeling and Analysis, McGraw-Hill, Inc., New York 1991.
  • [19]. Lee, P.M. (2012). Bayesian Statistics: An Introduction, 4th Edition, Wiley, USA 2012.
  • [20]. Lele, S.R., Dennis, B. & Lutscher, F. (2007). Data cloning: easy maximum likelihood estimation for complex ecological models using Bayesian markov chain monte carlo methods, Ecology Letters, 10, pp. 551–563.
  • [21]. Loehlin, J.C. (2013). Latent variable models: An introduction to factor, path, and structural equation analysis, Psychology Press 336.
  • [22]. Mallick, B.K. (2013). Bayesian object classification of gold nanoparticles, The Annals of Applied Statistisc, 7(2), pp. 640–668.
  • [23]. Meer, M.H., Horne, J.B., Gardner, M.G., Hobbs, J.P.A., Pratchett, M. & Herwerden, L. (2013). Limited contemporary gene flow and high self-replenishment drives peripheral isolation in an endemic coral reef fish”, Ecology and Evolution, 3(6), pp. 1653–1666.
  • [24]. Morris, W.K., Vesk, P.A. & McCarthy, M.A. (2012). Profiting from pilot studies: Analysing mortality using Bayesian models with informative priors, Basic and Applied Ecology, 14(1), pp. 81–89.
  • [25]. Nichols, J.M., Judd, K.P., Olson, C.C., Waterman, J.R. & Nichols, J.D. (2013). Estimating detection and identification probabilities in maritime target acquisition, Applied Optics, 52 (12), pp. 2531–2545.
  • [26]. O’Reilly, J.X., Jbabdi, S. & Behrens, T.E. (2012). How can a Bayesian approach inform neuroscience?, European Journal of Neuroscience, 35 (7), pp. 1169–1179.
  • [27]. Ozturk, I., Tanık, A., Cokgor, E.U., Gurel, M., Mantas, E.P., Insel, G. & Ozabali, A. (2008). Buyuk Melen Watershed Integrated Protection and Water Management Master Plan, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey 2008.
  • [28]. Peterson, B.J., Wollheim, W.M., Mulholland, P.J., Webster, J.R., Meyer, J.L., Tank, J.L., Marti, E., Bowden, W.B., Valett, H.M., Hershey, A E., McDowell, W.H., Dodds, W.K., Hamilton, S.K., Gregory, S. & Morrall, D.D. (2001). Control of nitrogen export from watersheds by headwater streams, Science, 292, pp. 86–90.
  • [29]. Ramirez, J.G. & Sanz, R. (2013). On the limitations of standard statistical modeling in biological systems: a full Bayesian approach for biology, Progress in Biophysics and Molecular Biology, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pbiomolbio.2013.03.008.
  • [30]. Rast, W. & Lee, G.F. (1983 Nutrient loading estimates for lakes, Journal of the Environmental Engineering Division ASCE, 109, pp. 502–517.
  • [31]. Sumer, B., Ileri, R., Samandar, A. & Sengorur, B. (2001). Water quality in Buyuk Melen and its branches, Ekoloji, 10 (39), pp. 13–18.
  • [32]. Vsetickova, L., Adamek, Z., Rozkosny, M. & Sedlacek, P. (2012). Effects of semi-intensive carp pond farming on discharged water quality, Acta Ichthyologica Et Piscatoria, 42 (3), pp. 223–231.
  • [33]. Wickham, J.D., Wade, T.G. & Riitters, K.H. (2008). Detecting temporal change in watershed nutrient yields, Environmental Management, 42, pp. 223–231.
  • [34]. Wickham, J.D., Riitters, K., Wade, T.G. & Jones, K. (2005). Evaluating the relative roles of ecological regions and land-cover composition for guiding establishment of nutrient criteria, Landscape Ecology, 20 (7), pp. 791–798.
  • [35]. Yang, G., Best, E.P., Whiteaker, T., Teklitz, A. & Yeghiazarian, L. (2014). A screening-level modeling approach to estimate nitrogen loading and standard exceedance risk, with application to the Tippecanoe River watershed, Indiana, Journal of environmental management, 135, pp. 1–10.
  • [36]. Zobrist, J. & Reichert, P. (2006). Bayesian estimation of export coefficients from diffuse and point sources in Swiss watersheds, Journal of Hydrology, 329 (1), pp. 207–223.
Uwagi
Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-e20a1638-e8b1-4979-9c55-3206d91e7ff6
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