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Opady całkowite i stałe w Arktyce Kanadyjskiej i ich zmienność w okresie 1950-1995

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Warianty tytułu
EN
Total and solid precipitation in the Canadian Arctic and their variability from 1950 to 1995
Konferencja
X Seminarium Meteorologii i Klimatologii Polarnej, Toruń, 30 listopada 2000r.
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
EN
The main aims of this paper are i) to establish the trends in solid and total precipitation as well as in solid to total precipitation ratio (hereinafter SIC ratio) in the Canadian Arctic in recent decades. and ii) to investigate the influence of air temperature and circulation factors (atmospheric and oceanic) on the above-mentioned precipitation characteristics, Recently updated and adjusted data (see Mekis and Hogg 1999) from 16 stations located in the Canadian Arctic (fig. I) were used for the investigation. The southern boundary of the study area was taken after Atlas Arktiki (1985). In addition, the data from two sub-Arctic stations were also used. The majority of the data cover the period from 1950 to 1995. The relationship between air temperature and precipitation in the Canadian Arctic was investigated using i) the sets of 10 individual warmest and 10 individual coldest years chosen from the areally averaged annual Canadian Arctic temperature series, ii) the warmest and coldest l C-year blocks from the same Canadian Arctic series, and iii) the sets of years defined in points i) and ii) but chosen from the individual station temperature series. Next, in the case of the two first approaches, for each station the differences of solid and total precipitation as well as the S/C ratio were calculated between sets of warmest and coldest years. In the third approach, the differences were only computed for the station which was the basis for choosing the warmest and coldest years. The same method was used to investigate the relationships between circulation factors and precipitation in the Canadian Arctic. The precipitation and the SIC ratio differences were calculated here between the sets of years with high and low values of the best known indices (North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Southern Oscillation) characterizing atmospheric circulation or, in the case of the oceanic circulation, between the years with the opposite Arctic Ocean circulation regimes (cyclonic and anticyclonic, see e.g. Proshutinsky and Johnson 1997). The main results of the investigation were as follows: The corrected annual precipitation sums (after the influence of measured errors are deleted ) arc higher than uncorrected values by 26% to 58% depending on the analyzing station (see tab. 2). A statistically significant increase in all kinds of areally averaged seasonal and annual precipitation for the Canadian Arctic occurred over the period 1950 1995 (figs :2 and 3). On the other hand, the S/C ratio did not change significantly, except for summer values (fig. 5) and its behavior was also in accord with small variations noted in air temperature (fig. 4). Solid precipitation occurs usually in all seasons , but the S/C ratio maximum was observed in winter (98.7%) and the minimum in summer (12.5%). The areally averaged annual S/C ratio was 57,3%. An increase in air temperature in the Canadian Arctic most often led to the rise of all kinds of annual precipitation sums, but only when the warmest and coldest years were chosen based on the individual stations. The pattern of the relationship is significantly more complicated and can be even opposite to that presented above, when the sets of the warmest and coldest years are chosen based on the areally averaged annual temperature for the Canadian Arctic (see fig. 6). Significantly more stable results of changes occurred for the S/C ratio, which in warmer periods was usually lower (fig. 7). However, more detailed and reliable investigations of temperature-precipitation relations conducted for individual stations showed that the last statement is true, but only for the southern (warmer) part of the Canadian Arctic (<70°N). During the periods with high positive values of the NAO, a decrease in precipitation is observed in the south-eastern part of the Canadian Arctic (fig. 8), that is, in the area where a strong cooling was also observed (see fig. 12 in Przybylak 2000). During the El Niño events most of the Canadian Arctic had both greater precipitation and a higher SIC ratio than during the La Niña events (fig. 9). The most univocal results of precipitation and SC ratio changes were connected with changes of the Arctic Ocean circulation regimes. In almost the whole study area, a lower precipitation and a SC ratio was noted during the anticyclonic circulation regime in the Arctic Ocean (fig. 11).
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
13—40
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 17 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • Uniwersytet Mikołaja Kopernika, Instytut Geografii, Zakład Klimatologii, Toruń
Bibliografia
  • 1. Atlas Arktiki. 1985, Glavnoie Upravienie Geodezi i Kortografi, Moskva. ss. 204.
  • 2. Curtis 1., Wendler G., Stone R., Dutton L, 1998, Precipitation decrease in the western Arctic, v.ith special emphasis on Barrow: and Barter Island, Alaska. Int. J. Climatol. 18, s.1687-1707.
  • 3. Dickson R. R., Osborn T. J., Hurrell J. W., Meincke J., Blindheim J., Adlandsvik B., Vigne T., Alekseev G., Maslowski W., Cattle H., 1997, The Arctic ocean response to the North Atlantic Oscillation, [w:] Proceedings Conference on Polar Processes and Global Climate, Part II, Rosario, Orcas Island, 3-6 November, Washington, USA, s. 46-47.
  • 4. Foster J., Liston G., Koster R., Essery R., Behr H., Dumenil L., Verseghy D., Thompson S., Pollard D., Cohen J., 1996, Snow cover and snow mass intercomparisons of General Circulation Models and remotely sensed datasets, J. Climate 9, s. 409-426.
  • 5. Groisman P, Ya., Easterling D. R .. 1994, Variability and trends of total precipitation and snowfall over the United States and Canada. J. Climate 7. s. 184-205.
  • 6. Karl T R., Groisman P. Ya., Knight R. W., Heim Jr R. R., 1993, Recent variations of snow cover and snowfall in North America and their relation to precipitation and temperature variations, J. Climate 6, s.1327-1344.
  • 7. Mekis E., Hogg W. D., 1999, Rehabilitation and analysis of Canadian daily precipitation time series. Atmoshere-Ocean 37. s. 53-85.
  • 8. Palutikof J. P., Scenario construction for regional climatic change in a warmer world, [w:] Proceedings of a Canadian Climatic Program Workshop, March 3-5, Geneva Park, Ontario, s. 2-14.
  • 9. Palutikof J. P., Wigley T. M. L. and Lough J. M., 1984, Seasonal climate scenarios for Europe and North America in a high-CO2 warmer world. U. S. Dept. of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Res. Division, Tech. Report TRO12, ss. 70 .
  • 10. Polyakov I. V., Proshutinsky A. Y., Johnson M. A., 1999, Seasonal cycles in two regimes of Arctic climate. J Geophys. Res. 104, s. 25761-25788 .
  • 11. Proshutinsky A. Y, Johnson M. A., 1997, Two circulation regimes of the wind-driven Arctic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res. 102, s. 12493-12514.
  • 12. Proshutinsky A. Y, Polyakov I. V., Johnson M. A., 1999, Climate states and variability of Arctic ice and water dynamics during 1946-1997, Pol. Polar Res. 18, s. 135-142.
  • 13. Przybylak R., 1995, Scenarios of Arctic air temperature and precipitation in a warmer world based on instrument al data, [w:] International Conference On Past, Present and Future Climate, Proceedings of the SILMU conference held in Helsinki, Finland. 22-25 August 1995, s. 298-301.
  • 14. Przybylak R., 1996, Zmienność temperatury powietrza i opadów atmosferycznych w okresie obserwacji instrumentalnych w Arktyce, Wydawnictwo UMK, Toruń, s. 280.
  • 15. Przybylak R., 2000, Temporal and sputial variation of air temperature over the period of instrumental observations in the Arctic, Int. J. Climatol. 20, s. 587-614.
  • 16. Ye H., Mather J. R., 1997, Polar snow cover changes and global warming, Int. J. Climatol. 17, s. 155-162.
  • 17. Zhang X., Vincent L. A., Hogg W. D., Niitsoo A., 2000, Temperature and precipitation trends in Canada during the 20th century, Atmosphere-Ocean 38, s. 395-429.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-df67a830-4ac1-4bac-bdaf-83953e5c1459
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