Rankingi ryzyka portfela projektów w świetle badań empirycznych

Hofman, M.

doi:10.29119/1641-3466.2017.102.7

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Rankingi ryzyka portfela projektów w świetle badań empirycznych

Autorzy

Hofman M.

Treść / Zawartość

Pełne teksty:

Pobierz

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.29119/1641-3466.2017.102.7

Warianty tytułu

An empirical investigation on the projects portfolio risk rankings

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Zarządzanie ryzykiem portfela projektów jest obecnie przedmiotem zainteresowania badaczy, jak również praktyków. Wymaga holistycznego spojrzenia oraz odpowiednich kompetencji. Niniejszy artykuł jest próbą opracowania rankingów ryzyka dla hipotetycznego portfela projektów. Przeprowadzane prace badawcze zmierzały do opracowania rankingów, w ramach dwóch zmiennych, którymi było prawdopodobieństwo wystąpienia ryzyka oraz wpływ ryzyka na cele portfela. Zastosowaną procedurą statystyczną był test Friedmana.

Project portfolio risk management is currently of interest to both researchers and practitioners. It requires a holistic view as well as appropriate competencies. This paper focuses on risk ranks calculations for the project portfolio. Empirical investigation was focused on risk rankings development within the framework of two variables, i.e. risk likelihood and risk impact on the portfolio objectives. As a statistical procedure, Friedman repeated measures analysis of variance by ranks, has been applied.

Słowa kluczowe

zarządzanie ryzykiem portfel projektów identyfikacja ryzyka

risk management project portfolio risk identification

Wydawca

Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej

Czasopismo

Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska

Rocznik

2017

Tom

z. 102

Strony

81--97

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 63 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Hofman M.

mariusz.hofman@umcs.lublin.pl

UMCS w Lublinie Katedra Zarządzania Jakością i Wiedzą

Bibliografia

1. Anavi-Isakow S., Golany B., 2003, Managing multi-project environments through constant work-in-process, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 21 (1), pp. 9-18.
2. Archer N., Ghasemzadeh F., 1999, An integrated framework for project portfolio selection, "International Journal of Project Management, Vol. 17 (4), pp. 207–216.
3. Archer N., Ghasemzadeh F., 2004, Project portfolio selection and management, [in:] Morris, P.W.G., Pinto, J.K. (Eds.), The Wiley Guide to Managing Projects, John Wiley & Sons Inc, New York, pp. 237–255,
4. Aritua B., Smith N., Bower D., 2009, Construction client multi-projects: a complex adaptive systems perspective, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 27 (1), pp. 72–79.
5. Baccarini D., Archerv R., 2001, The risk ranking of projects: a methodology, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 19 (3), 2001, p. 139-145.
6. Beringer C., Jonas D., Kock A., 2013, Behavior of internal stakeholders in project portfolio management and its impact on success, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 31 (6), pp. 830–846.
7. Blichfeldt B., Eskerod P., 2008 Project portfolio management – There’s more to it than what management enacts, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 26 (4), pp. 359-363.
8. Blomquist T., Müller R., 2006, Practices, roles and responsibilites of middle managers in program and portfolio management, "Project Management Journal", Vol. 37 (1), pp. 52– 66.
9. Caron F., Fumagalli M., Rigamonti A., 2007, Engineering and contracting projects: A value at risk based approach to portfolio balancing, "International Journal of Project Management". Vol. 25 (6), pp. 569–578.
10. Cooper R., Edgett S., Kleinschidit E., 2002, New problems, New solutions. Making portfolio management more effectiwe, [in:] (eds. Pennypacker J., Dye L.,) Managing multiple projects, Marcel Dekker Inc, New York - Basel.
11. Cooper R., Edgett S., Kleinschmid, E., 2001, Portfolio management for new product development: results of an industry practices study, "R&D Management", Vol. 31 (4), pp. 361–380.
12. Chapman C., Ward S., 2004, Why risk efficiency is a key aspect of best practice projects, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 22 (8), pp. 619–632.
13. De Bakker K., Boonstra, A., Wortmann, H., 2011. Risk management affecting IS/IT project success through communicative action. Project Management Journal 42 (3), pp. 75–90.
14. De Meyer A., Loch H., Pich T., 2002, Managing project uncertainty. From variation to chaos. "MIT Sloan Management Review", Vol. 43 (2), pp. 60–67.
15. De Reyck B., Grushka-Cockayne Y., Lockett M., Calderini S., Moura M., Sloper A., 2005, The impact of project portfolio management on information technology projects, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 23(7), pp. 524–537.
16. Elonen S., Artto K., 2003, Problems in managing internal development projects in multi-project environments, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 21 (6), pp. 395–402.
17. Fricke S., Shenhar A., 2000, Managing multiple engineering projects in a manufacturing support environment, "IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management", Vol. 47 (2), pp. 258–268.
18. Friedman M., 1937, The Use of Ranks to Avoid the Assumption of Normality Implicit in the Analysis of Variance, "Journal of the American Statistical Association", Vol. 32 (200), pp. 675- 701.
19. Ghim Hwee N., Tiong R., 2002, Model on cash flow forecasting and risk analysis for contracting firms, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 20 (5), pp. 351– 363.
20. Hofman M., Grela G., 2015, Project portfolio risk identification - application of Delphi method, "Journal of Business and Economics", Vol. 6 (11), pp. 1857-1867.
21. IPMA International Project Management Association, International Competence Baseline Version 3.0, Van Haren Publishing NL, 2006, s. 47.
22. Jaafari A., 2001, Management of risks, uncertainties and opportunities on projects: time for a fundamental shift, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 19 (2), pp. 90-91.
23. Jonas D., 2010, Empowering project portfolio managers. How management involvement impacts project portfolio management performance, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 28 (1), pp. 818–831.
24. Jun L., Qiuzhen W., Qingguo M., 2011, The effects of project uncertainty and risk management on IS development project performance. A vendor perspective, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 29 (7), pp. 923–933.
25. Kendall G., Rollins S., 2003, Advanced project portfolio management and the PMO, J. Ross Publishing, Florida 2003, 3-448.
26. Kliem R., Ludin I., Reducing Project Risk, Gower Aldershot, UK 1997.
27. Korhonen T., Laine T., Martinsuo M., 2014, Management Control of Project Portfolio Uncertainty: A Managerial Role Perspective, "Project Management Journal" Vol. 45 (1). pp. 21-37.
28. Kutsch E., Hall M., 2009, The rational choice of not applying project risk management in information technology projects, "Project Management Journal", Vol. 40 (3), pp. 72–81.
29. Lee K., Lee N., Li H., 2009, A particle swarm optimization-driven cognitive map approach to analyzing information systems project risk, "Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology", Vol. 60 (6), pp. 1208–1221.
30. Linstone H., Turoff M., 2011, Delphi: A brief look backward and forward, "Technological Forecasting & Social Change", Vol., 78, pp 1712–1719.
31. Linstone H., Turoff M. (Eds.), 1975, The Delphi Method — Techniques and Applications, Addison-Wesley, Reading, pp. 229–235.
32. Marcelino-Sádaba S., Pérez-Ezcurdia A, Echeverría Lazcano A., Villanueva P., 2014, Project risk management methodology for small firms, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 32 (2), pp. 327–340.
33. Markowitz H., Portfolio selection: efficient diversification of investments, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 1959.
34. Martinsuo M., Korhonen T., Laine T., 2014, Identifying, framing and managing uncertainties in project portfolios, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 32 (1), pp. 732–746.
35. Martinsuo M., Lehtonen P., 2007, Role of single-project management in achieving portfolio management efficiency, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 25 (1), pp. 56–65.
36. Martinsuo, M., Poskela, J., 2011, Use of evaluation criteria and innovation performance in the front end of innovation, "Journal of Product Innovation Management", Vol. 28 (6), pp. 896–914.
37. McFarlan F., 1981, Portfolio approach to information systems, "Harvard Business Review", Vol. 59 (5), pp. 142–150.
38. Meskendahl S., 2010, The influence of business strategy on project portfolio management and its success — A conceptual framework, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 28 (8), pp. 807–817.
39. Müller R., Martinsuo M., Blomquist T., 2008. Project portfolio control and portfolio management performance in different contexts, "Project Management Journal", Vol. 39 (3), pp. 28–42.
40. Olsson R., 2007, In search of opportunity management. Is the risk management process enough?, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 25 (8), pp. 745–752.
41. Olsson R., 2008, Risk management in a multi-project environment. An approach to manage portfolio risks, "International Journal of Quality &Reliability Management", Vol. 25 (1), pp. 60–71.
42. Olsson R., 2008, Risk management in a multi-project environment. An approach to manage portfolio risks, "International Journal of Quality &Reliability Management", Vol. 25 (1), pp. 60–71.
43. Payne H., 2009, Management of multiple simultaneous projects. A state-of-the-art review, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 27 (1), pp. 72–79.
44. Pellegrinelli S., 1997, Programme management: Organising project-based change, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 15 (3), pp. 141–149.
45. Pender S., 2001, Managing incomplete knowledge. Why risk management is not sufficient, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 19 (2), pp. 79–87.
46. Pennypacker J., Dye L., 2002, Portfolio management and managing multiple projects. Planning, Scheduling and Allocating Resources for Competitive Advantage, [in:] (eds. Pennypacker J., Dye L.,) Managing multiple projects, Marcel Dekker Inc, New York - Basel, pp. 1-10.
47. Perminova O., Gustafsson M., Wikström K., 2008, Defining uncertainty in projects: A new perspective, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 26 (1), pp. 73–79.
48. Patanakul P., Milosevic D., 2009, The effectiveness in managing a group of multiple projects: Factors of influence and measurement criteria, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 27 (3), pp. 216-233.
49. Petit Y., Hobbs B., 2010, Project portfolios in dynamic environments: sources of uncertainty and sensing mechanisms, "Project Management Journal", Vol. 41 (4), pp. 46– 58.
50. Petit, Y., 2012. Project portfolios in dynamic environments: organizing for uncertainty, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 30 (5), pp. 539–553.
51. PMI Project Management Institute, 2008, The Standard for Portfolio Management - Second Edition, Newton Square, Pennsylvania.
52. PMI Project Management Institute, 2004, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK© Guide) Third Edition, Newton Square PA, p. 242-252.
53. Rajegopal S., McGuin P., Waller J., 2007, Project Portfolio Management, Palgrave Macmillan, London, pp. 134-136.
54. Raz T., Michael E., 2001, Use and benefits of tools for project risk management, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 19 (1), 2001, pp. 9-17.
55. Sanchez H., Robert B., Pellerin R., 2008, A project portfolio risk-opportunity identification framework, "Project Management Journal", Vol. 39 (3), p. 97-109.
56. Spalek S., 2014, Does Investment in Project Management Pay Off?, “Industrial Management & Data Systems”, Vol. 114 (5), pp. 832-856.
57. Taroun A., Towards a better modelling and assessment of construction risk: Insights from a literature review, "International Journal of Project Management", Vol. 32 (1), 2014, pp. 101-115.
58. Teller J., Kock A., 2013, An empirical investigation on how portfolio risk management influences project portfolio success, "Journal of Project Management", Vol. 31 (6), pp. 817-829.
59. Teller J., Kock A., Gemünden H., 2013, Risk Management in Project Portfolios Is More Than Managing Project Risks: A Contingency Perspective on Risk Management, "Project Management Journal", Vol. 45, (4), pp. 67–80.
60. Teller J., 2013, Portfolio Risk Management and Its Contribution to Project Portfolio Success: An Investigation of Organization, Process and Culture, "Project Management Journal" Vol. 44 (2). pp. 36-51.
61. Teller J., Unger B., Kock A., Gemünden H., 2012, Formalization of project portfolio management. The moderating role of project portfolio complexity, "Journal of Product Innovation Management", Vol. 30 (5), pp. 559-600.
62. Wheelwright S., Clark K., 1992, Creating project plans to focus product development, "Harvard Business Review", Vol. 70 (2), pp. 67–83.
63. Von der Gracht H., 2012, Consensus measurement in Delphi studies. Review and implications for future quality assurance, "Technological Forecasting & Social Change", Vol., 78 (8), p. 1532.

Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2018)

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

bwmeta1.element.baztech-de5da0db-7523-4d02-bbe1-df269fc46c4b