The risk of additional branch works in the construction of railway projects

• Autorzy: Leśniak Agnieszka , Janowiec Filip , Rueda Benavides Jorge

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/ace.2024.149886

Warianty tytułu

PL

Ryzyko dodatkowych prac branżowych przy budowie inwestycji kolejowych

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Every decision or action taken as part of a construction project involves risk. Unforeseen branch works that may occur during the construction investment are the so-called additional work. They cause risk, both for the contractor and the investor. Skilful management of this risk may lead to minimizing the change in the investment duration or minimizing the change in the cost of the contractual amount. The work proposes a method of analysing the risk of industrial works that may occur during additional works in railway construction investments. A constructed Bayesian network based on the risk component of industrial works was used for the analysis. Bayesian networks are listed as one of the 31 techniques suggested for risk analysis in accordance with the ISO 31010 standard, which enables the correct analysis of the examined problem with satisfactory accuracy. During the construction of the network, historical data was obtained from completed and settled railway infrastructure construction projects, and 125 unique records corresponding to additional works were identified. The created Bayesian network combines technological aspects resulting from the specificity of the implementation of branch works in railway construction projects with a practical assessment of their risk. The proposed network model allows for risk analysis by defining various event scenarios, and has high application capacity resulting from the ease of applying its results in practice in the implementation of railway investments.

PL

Elementy infrastruktury kolejowej mogą zostać zakwalifikowane do kilkunastu różnych kategorii, a o ich finalnym sklasyfikowaniu decyduje projektant odpowiadający za sporządzenie dokumentacji technicznej. Wobec dużej różnorodności podejść projektantów stosuje się w praktyce podział robót budowlanych ze względu na branże, odpowiadające zakresom prac. Podział robót budowlanych na branże oraz zrozumienie charakterystyk prac branżowych może poprawić opis powszechnych zjawisk pojawiających się podczas realizacji przedsięwzięcia budowlanego. Jednym z przykładów podziału prac wydają się być roboty dodatkowe, które w przedsięwzięciach budowlanych są zjawiskiem powszechnym, występującym w trakcie realizacji wielu rodzajów obiektów budowlanych. Charakter tych prac, ich częstość występowania, a także skutki zależą od specyfiki oraz otoczenia inwestycji. Sposób opisu ryzyka został rozwinięty przez autorów pracy we wcześniejszych publikacjach poprzez zastosowanie sieci bayesowskich, a także stworzeniu komponentu zarządzania ryzykiem wg normy PN-EN ISO 31000:2018. Opracowany model dał satysfakcjonujące wyniki i pozwolił na stosowanie metody w praktyce. W niniejszym artykule zaprezentowano sposób tworzenia nowego fragmentu sieci, zawierającego charakterystykę robót branżowych w robotach dodatkowych, powstających podczas trwania przedsięwzięć budowy infrastruktury kolejowej w Polsce. Do budowy rozszerzenia sieci bazowej zostaną wykorzystane dane historyczne, pochodzące z zakończonych inwestycji kolejowych.

• Wydawca: Komitet Inżynierii Lądowej i Wodnej PAN ; Politechnika Warszawska, Wydział Inżynierii Lądowej
• Czasopismo: Archives of Civil Engineering
• Rocznik: 2024
• Tom: Vol. 70, nr 2
• Strony: 643--659
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 37 poz., il., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Leśniak Agnieszka

• Cracow University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Cracow, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4811-5574

autor

Janowiec Filip

• Cracow University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Cracow, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1627-7181

autor

Rueda Benavides Jorge

• Auburn University, College of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Auburn, USA

• https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0334-6499

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