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Potencjał złożowy ordowicko-sylurskich łupków gazonośnych w Polsce : omówienie dotychczasowych raportów i propozycje udoskonalenia metodyki oceny zasobów gazu w raporcie w 2014 r.

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Warianty tytułu
EN
Ordovician-Silurian shale gas resources potential in Poland : evaluation of Gas Resources Assessment Reports published to date and expected improvements for 2014 forthcoming Assessment
Języki publikacji
PL
Abstrakty
EN
The paper comprises a brief history and results of Assessment Reports of shale gas resources for the Polish Ordovician-Silurian Basin. The Reports have been confronted in the context of used criteria of assessing. The comparison shows that the early, most optimistic assessments (Wood Mackenzie, ARI & EIA) were based on very generalized data and different assessment methods than those used in the PGI and USGS Reports. In turn, the PGI and USGS Reports, based on USGS assessment methodology, were not so diverse taking into account the presented extreme low values of recoverable gas resources and the used methods of shale gas occurrence probability. The terms EUR (Estimated Ultimate Recovery) and AU (Assessment Unit), used in the USGS methodology of shale gas and shale oil resources assessment are characterized. The paper also presents assessment methods of technically and economically recoverable shale gas, and the significance of "sweet spots " as areas with the greatest probability for shale gas productivity. Finally, proposals for the reconstruction of future work on the new assessment (at the turn of 2014) of recoverable shale gas resources for the Polish Ordovician-Silurian Basin are recommended. The future assessment of shale gas resources should be more detailed, not only due to new geological input data (including results of exploration wells), but also thanks to segmentation of the whole Ordovician-Silurian assessment area into five smaller regional assessment units. The paper presents the criteria of area segmentation and the characteristics of proposed assessment units. The key geological, geophysical and geochemical criteria, which should be taken into consideration in the methodology of new shale gas resources assessment, are compiled. Moreover, to better understand the peculiarity of the Polish Ordovician-Silurian shales and reservoir attributes, and to fit these to shale gas recovery technology, the lessons coming from the US shale basins are discussed. In summarizing, the authors, presenting the conclusions and recommendations, refer to future shale gas resources assessment that, in their opinion, would help particularize the results and thus make them more authenticated.
Rocznik
Strony
354--373
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 28 poz., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
  • Państwowy Instytut Geologiczny – Państwowy Instytut Badawczy, ul. Rakowiecka 4, 00-975 Warszawa
autor
  • Państwowy Instytut Geologiczny – Państwowy Instytut Badawczy, ul. Rakowiecka 4, 00-975 Warszawa
Bibliografia
  • 1. ARI (Advanced Resources International Inc). 2009 - Vello A. Kuuskraa, Scott H. Stevens, Advanced Resources International "Worldwide Gas Shales and Unconventional Gas: A Status Report, December 2009. Raport dla EIA (Energy Information Administration: Washington, DC.), Annual Energy Outlook, 2009.
  • 2. Assessment of shale gas and shale oil resources of the Lower Paleozoic Baltic-Podlasie-Lublin basin in Poland. First Report, 2012 - PIG-PIB.
  • 3. BENTLEY D. 2013 - Shale Exploration Evaluation Workflow Reservoir Quality & Completion Quality. Prezentacja na Europen Unconventional, Schlumberger, Ankara, February 21st, 2013. Źródło: Internet.
  • 4. CASE Raport 2012 - Ekonomiczny potencjał produkcji gazu łupkowego w Polsce w latach 2012-2025. Analiza scenariuszowa. Centrum Analiz Społeczno-Ekonomicznych. Fundacja Naukowa we współpracy z CASE-Doradcy. Warszawa.
  • 5. CASTILLO G., SENA A., CHESSER K., VOISEY S., ESTRADA J., CARCUZ J., CARMONA E. & HODGKINS P. 2012 - Integrated Approach for Shale Gas Reservoir Characterization: Stress Analysis and Sweet Spot Discrimination. Hampson-Russell Software and Services, CGGVeritas. Geoph. Soc. Houston J., 3: 10-14.
  • 6. CHARPENTIER R.R. & COOK T. 2010a - Applying probabilistic well-performance parameters to assessments of shale-gas resources: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2010-1151, s. 18.
  • 7. CHARPENTIER R.R. & COOK T.A. 2010b - Improved USGS Methodology for Assessing Continuous Petroleum Resources Using Analogs. Open-File Report 2010-1309, s. 29.
  • 8. CHARPENTIER R.R. & COOK T.A. 2011 - USGS Methodology for Assessing Continuous Petroleum Resources: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2011-1167.
  • 9. CIECHANOWSKA M., KASZA P., LUBAS J., MATYASIK I. & SUCH P. 2012 - Raport nt. uwarunkowania rozwoju wydobycia gazu z polskich formacji łupkowych, INiG, Forum Energetyczne Sopot 29.XI-1.XII, 2012.
  • 10. EIA 2011 - Analysis & Projections. World shale gas resources: An initial Assessment of14 regions outside the Unites States. U.S. Energy Information Administration.
  • 11. GAUTIER D.L., PITMAN J.K., CHARPENTIER R.R., COOK T., KLETT T.R. & SCHENK CH.J. 2012 - Potential for Technically Recoverable Unconventional Gas and Oil Resources in the Polish-U- krainian Foredeep, Poland, 2012. Ed. Stauffer P.H., U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey. Fact Sheet 2012-3102.
  • 12. GRACCEVA F., ZASTERA P., MCGLADE CH., SORRELL S., SPEIRS J., THONHAUSER G., ALECU C., ERIKSSON A., TOFT P & SCHUETZ M. 2012 - Unconventional Gas: Potential Energy Market Impacts in the European Union. Joint Research Center Scientific and Policy Reports.
  • 13. Halliburton White Paper 2008 - U.S. Shale Gas. An Unconventional Resource. Unconventional Challenges.
  • 14. HUGHES D. 2013 - Drill, Baby, Drill: Can Unconventional Fuels Usher in a New Era of Energy Abundance? Post Carbon Institute. Santa Rosa, California, USA.
  • 15. IEA (International Energy Agency) 2012 - Golden Rules for a Golden Age of Gas. World Energy Outlook. Special Report on Unconventional Gas.
  • 16. IHS (Information Handling Services) Inc. CERA: Cambridge, MA. JĘDRZEJOWSKA-TYCZKOWSKAH. 2012 - Metoda sejsmiczna. Rozdział III w Rzeczpospolita łupkowa. Studium wiedzy o gazie łupkowym. Praca zbiorowa. Pr. Nauk. INiG, 183.
  • 17. KIRSCHBAUM M.A., SCHENK CH.J., COOK T.A., RYDER R.T., CHARPENTIER R.R., KLETT T.R., GASWIRTH S.B. TENNYSON M.E. & WHIDDEN K.J. 2012 - Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas Resources of the Ordovician Utica Shale of the Appalachian Basin Province, 2012. USGS.
  • 18. KUUSKRAA V., STEVENS S., VAN LEEUWEN T. & MOODHE K. 2011 - World Shale Gas Resources: An Initial Assessment of 14 Regions Outside the United States. Vello Kuuskraa, Scott Stevens, Tyler Van Leeuwen i Keith Moodhe, Advanced Resources International, Inc. Arlington, VA USA. Wykonane dla: U. S. Energy Information Administration, Office of Energy Analysis, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC 20585, April 2011.
  • 19. LAINDA N. 2012 - Introduction To Shale Gas Formation Evaluation. Formation and Reservoir Solutions. Halliburton, 2012. Prezentacja. Źródło: Internet.
  • 20. LEŚNIAK G. 2012 - Rozdział VIII w Rzeczpospolita łupkowa. Studium wiedzy o gazie łupkowym. Praca zbiorowa. Pr. Nauk. INiG, 183. McKeon M. 2011 - Horizontal Fracturing in Shale Plays, Halliburton. Prezentacja: Źródło: Internet.
  • 21. MEDLOCK III K.B,. MYERS JAFFE A., & HARTLEY P.R. 2011 - Shale Gas and U.S. National Security. James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy. Rice University Houston, TX..
  • 22. POPRAWA P. 2010a - Wstępna ocena możliwości występowania akumulacji ropy naftowej w łupkach (shale oil) dolnego paleozoiku oraz innych łupkach macierzystych w Polsce. Niepublikowany Raport PIG-PIB, Departament Geologii i Koncesji Geologicznych MŚ, s. 21. POPRAWA P. 2010b - Potencjał występowania złóż gazu ziemnego w łupkach dolnego paleozoiku w basenie bałtyckim i lubelsko-podlaskim. Prz. Geol., 58: 226-249.
  • 23. POPRAWA P. 2010c - Analiza osadów ilasto-mułowcowych w Polsce pod kątem możliwości występowania w nich niekonwencjonalnych nagromadzeń gazu ziemnego. Biul. PIG, 439: 159-172.
  • 24. STAUB J. 2012 - Emerging Oil & Gas Supplies: Future Prospects for Oil & Gas Production. Prezentacja dla Bipartisan Policy Center: Understanding the New Energy Landscape June 27, 2012. Washington, DC. Źródło: Internet.
  • 25. SUCH P. 2012 - Przestrzeń porowa skał łupkowych. Nafta-Gaz, 9: 561-565.
  • 26. TARI G., POPRAWA P., KRZYWIEC P. 2012 - Silurian Lithofacies and Paleogeography in Central and Eastern Europe: Implications for Shale Gas Exploration. Society of Petroleum Engineers - SPE 151606. U.S. Geological Survey Oil and Gas Assessment Team, 2012 - Variability of distribution of well-scale estimated ultimate recovery for continuous (unconventional) oil and gas resources in the Unites States: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2012-1118, s. 18.
  • 27. WEIJERMARS R. & VAN DER LINDEN J. 2012 - Assessing the economic margins of sweet spots in shale gas plays. First Break, 30 (12): 99-106.
  • 28. WOOD MACKENZIE 2009 - Unconventional Gas Service. Analysis Poland/Silurian Shales, August 2009.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-dde2f4c6-a95b-44f1-8831-ab8ddc093f26
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