Analysis of the gas network failure and failure prediction using the Monte Carlo simulation method

• Autorzy: Tchórzewska-Cieślak B. , Pietrucha-Urbanik K. , Urbanik M.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.17531/ein.2016.2.13

Warianty tytułu

PL

Analiza awaryjności sieci gazowych oraz prognozowanie awarii z zastosowaniem symulacyjnej metody Monte Carlo

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The scope of the article includes the analysis of the gas network failure based on a material obtained from field tests covering the years 2004-2014, conducted on the gas network of 120 thousand city, allowing to specify the failure rate of the gas network with division into material, pressure and pipelines diameter and indicate the main causes of failure on gas networks. On the base of the results of this analysis the Monte Carlo method to predict failures in gas pipe network has been presented.

PL

Artykuł swoim zakresem obejmuje analizę awaryjności sieci gazowej na podstawie uzyskanego materiału z badań eksploatacyjnych obejmujących lata 2004-2014 prowadzonych na terenie Zakładu Gazowniczego w 120 tys. mieście, co pozwoliło na podanie intensywności uszkodzeń sieci gazowych z podziałem na materiał, ciśnienie i średnice rurociągów oraz podanie głównych przyczyn powstawania awarii na sieciach gazowych. Na podstawie wyników analizy zaprezentowano zastosowanie metody Monte Carlo do prognozowania awarii sieci gazowych.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

failure of gas network; Monte Carlo method; analysis of the failure structure; failure prediction

PL

awaryjność sieci gazowej; metoda Monte Carlo; analiza struktury awaryjności; prognozowanie awaryjności

• Wydawca: Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne
• Czasopismo: Eksploatacja i Niezawodność
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: Vol. 18, no. 2
• Strony: 254--259
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 34 poz., rys. tab.

Twórcy

autor

Tchórzewska-Cieślak B.

• Department of Water Supply and Sewerage Systems Rzeszow University of Technology Al. Powstancow Warszawy, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland

autor

Pietrucha-Urbanik K.

• Department of Water Supply and Sewerage Systems Rzeszow University of Technology Al. Powstancow Warszawy, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland

autor

Urbanik M.

• Department of Water Supply and Sewerage Systems Rzeszow University of Technology Al. Powstancow Warszawy, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland

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