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Purpose: Managing a pandemic in individual countries is a concern not only of governments but also of WHO and the entire international community. The pandemic knows no bounds. In this context, India is a special country - with a huge population and a very large diversity of cultural, geographic, economic, poverty levels, and pandemic management methods. In this work, we try to assess the sum of the impact of these factors on the state of the epidemic by creating a ranking of Indian states from the least to the most endangered. Design/methodology/approach: As a method of creating such a ranking, we take into account two very, in our opinion, objective variables - the number of deaths and the number of vaccinations per million inhabitants of the region. In order not to make the usually controversial ascribing of weights to these factors, we relate them to the selected reference region - here to the capital city - Delhi. We apply a logical principle - the more vaccinations, the better and the more deaths - the worse. Findings: The results are rather surprising. Many small regions are safe regions, such as Andaman, Tripura or Sikkim, many large or wealthy states are at the end of this ranking, such as Delhi, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and Tamil Nadu. What was found in the course of the work? This will refer to analysis, discussion, or results. Originality/value: The method enables an indirect assessment of the quality of pandemic management in a given region of the country. It can be used for any country or even a group of countries or a continent. According to this criterion, the best state/region is intuitively the safest for residents. A small number of deaths and a large number of vaccinations may positively indicate the state of public health and good management of the fight against the pandemic by local and/or central authorities.
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Tom
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707--723
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 48 poz.
Twórcy
autor
- WSB University in Gdansk, Gdansk Poland
autor
- Netaji Subhas University of Technology, East Campus, New Delhi, India
autor
- Netaji Subhas University of Technology, East Campus, New Delhi, India
Bibliografia
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- 19. Jamwal, A., Bhatnagar, S., Sharma, P. (2020). Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): Current literature and status in India.
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- 26. Mahajan, M., (2021). Casualties of preparedness: the Global Health Security Index and COVID-19. International Journal of Law in Context, Vol. 17, Special Iss. 2: Numbers in an emergency: The many roles of indicators in the COVID-19 crisis, pp. 204-214, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1744552321000288.
- 27. Mazurek, J., Neničková, Z. (2020). Predicting the number of total COVID-19 cases in the USA by a Gompertz curve, DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.19841.81761.
- 28. Mazurek, J. et al. (2020). Forecasting the number of total CO VID-19 cases and deaths in the World, UK, Russia and Turkey by the Gompertz curve, DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.11336.88321.
- 29. Murhekar, M., Moolenaar, R., Hutin, Y., Broome, C. (2009). Investigating outbreaks: practical guidance in the Indian scenario. The National medical journal of India, 22(5), 252-256.
- 30. Nicola, M., Alsafi, Z., Sohrabi, C., Kerwan, A., Al-Jabir, A., Iosifidis, C., Agha, R. (2020). The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus and COVID-19 pandemic: a review. International Journal of Surgery.
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- 32. Roy, S., Bhattacharya, K.R. (2020). Spread of COVID-19 in India: A Mathematical Model, DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.15878.52802.
- 33. Sardar, T., Nadim, S.S., Chattopadhyay, J. (2020). Assessment of 21 days lockdown effect in some states and overall India: a predictive mathematical study on COVID-19 outbreak. arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.03487.
- 34. Senbeto, D.L., Hon, A.H. (2020). The impacts of social and economic crises on tourist behaviour and expenditure: an evolutionary approach. Current Issues in Tourism, 23(6), 740-755.
- 35. Shereen, M.A., Khan, S., Kazmi, A., Bashir, N., Siddique, R. (2020). COVID-19 infection: Origin, transmission, and characteristics of human coronaviruses. Journal of Advanced Research.
- 36. Sinha, D., Klahn, N. (2020). Mathematical Modeling Study of the 2020 CoVID-19 Outbreak in the United States. SSRNElectronic Journal, Jan. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3573877.
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- 44. Wilinski, A., Kupracz, Ł., Senejko, A., Chrzastek, G. (2022). COVID-19: average time from infection to death in Poland, USA, India and Germany. Quality & Quantity, 56, 4729-4746. Springer, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-022-01340-w.
- 45. Wilinski, A., Szwarc, E. (2021). A classification of countries and regions by degree of the spread of coronavirus based on statistical criteria. Expert Systems With Applications. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.114654.
- 46. Wiliński, A. (2021). COVID-19: Model for the spread of the epidemic in a given country allowing determining the phase of its advancement. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.26951.42403.
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Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-dd62eb1f-7100-46a4-a8c4-d70844d8d1b8