Forecasting of the route network of ferry and cruise lines based on simulation and intelligent transport systems

• Autorzy: Maiorov Nikolai , Fetisov Vladimir , Krile Srećko , Miskovic Darijo

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.20858/tp.2019.14.2.10

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

According to statistics, the marine passenger transportation sectors (both cruise lines and ferry lines) show a significant increase of passenger traffic and the intensity of ship routes. But new features of the conditions for passenger traffic growth require the development of new methodological transport models for cruise and ferry networks and new practical forecasting methods. Changes are observed in the fleet composition, mostly in the direction of increased. New approach for forecasting has to be based on the interaction of such systems as ≪city‒sea passenger port‒cruise and ferry lines. This condition now determines new need to describe the principles and forms of organization of maritime ferry networks and changes under the influence of the external environment. The object of the research is the Baltic Sea region and the existing route networks of cruise and ferry lines. Exploring this system, the usage of new mathematical apparatus based on correspondence matrices and agent-based simulation was justified for estimating the workload on transport infrastructure around the passenger port and for the existing ferry or cruise route network. The practical results of new simulation model, on the one hand, justify the need for a comprehensive study of the conditions for the formation of ferry and cruise route networks in changing conditions. On the other hand, these new results could improve the quality of decision-making process in forecasting the route network on the basis of the research of passenger traffic between systems city‒sea terminal-cruise line or ferry line.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

transport processes; mathematical modeling; simulation; ferry network; cruise network

PL

procesy transportowe; modelowanie matematyczne; symulacja; sieć transportu promowego; sieć morskiej turystyki wycieczkowej

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej
• Czasopismo: Transport Problems
• Rocznik: 2019
• Tom: T. 14, z. 2
• Strony: 111--121
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 17 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Maiorov Nikolai

• Saint-Petersburg State University of Aerospace Instrumentation 67, Bolshaya Morskaia, Saint-Petersburg, 190000, Russia

autor

Fetisov Vladimir

• Saint-Petersburg State University of Aerospace Instrumentation 67, Bolshaya Morskaia, Saint-Petersburg, 190000, Russia

autor

Krile Srećko

• University of Dubrovnik, Electrical Engineering and Computing Department Cira Carica 4, 20 000 Dubrovnik, Croatia

autor

Miskovic Darijo

• University of Dubrovnik, Electrical Engineering and Computing Department Cira Carica 4, 20 000 Dubrovnik, Croatia

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2020).