Impact of econometric modeling and perspectives of economic security of the cross-industry complex

• Autorzy: Liezina Anastasiia , Lavruk Alexandr , Matviienko Halyna , Ivanets Iryna , Tseluiko Oleksii , Kuchai Oksana

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.32933/ActaInnovations.47.7

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper presents a forecast of the economic security of the inter-industry complex through the construction of a simulation model. The authors considered the possibility of using an econometric model in predicting the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The goal was to form a definition of the "inter-industry complex", as well as to study the issues of conceptual and fundamental methods of econometric modeling and forecasting the development of regional industry markets in dynamics. A range of issues related to the main components of economic security in the inter-industry complex has been allocated for scientific work in order to analyze the impact of the components of economic security on the integral indicator. The paper uses a methodology for predicting the structural and spatial-temporal dynamics of interbranch complexes, which includes new and refined methods of modeling and forecasting. As a result, the authors proposed the definition of "inter-industry complex", "economic security in the inter-industry complex", as well as the general provisions of the methodology for econometric modeling and forecasting the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The paper presents a full-scale simulation model that allows you to set, evaluate and make a decision using large nonlinear data. This kind of system contains dynamic and retarded data, which makes it possible to apply econometric modeling in automatic calculation.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

economic security; intersectoral complex; econometric model; forecasting

PL

bezpieczeństwo ekonomiczne; model ekonometryczny; prognozowanie

• Wydawca: Centrum Badań i Innowacji Pro-Akademia ; Ukrainian Academy of Sciences - Research and Development Centre for Industrial Problems of Development
• Czasopismo: Acta Innovations
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: no. 47
• Strony: 73--83
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 20 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Liezina Anastasiia

• Department of Economics and Entrepreneurship, SHEE Kyiv National Economic University named after Vadym Hetman, 54/1 Peremogy ave., 03057 Kyiv, Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0516-6598

autor

Lavruk Alexandr

• Department of Public Administration, Management and Inclusive Economics Educational and rehabilitation institution of higher education, Kamianets-Podilskyi state institute, 13 Hodovantsia str., 32300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Khmelnytskyi region, Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7932-0036

autor

Matviienko Halyna

• Department of Finance and Accounting, V.I. Vernadsky Taurida National University, 33 John McCain str., 01042 Kyiv, Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5265-8379

autor

Ivanets Iryna

• Corporate Finance and Controlling Department, SHEE Kyiv National Economic University named after Vadym Hetman, 54/1 Peremogy ave., 03057 Kyiv, Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1468-1770

autor

Tseluiko Oleksii

• Department of the public administration, Classical Private University, 70-B Zhukovsky str., 69002 Zaporozhye

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9782-5011

autor

Kuchai Oksana

• Department of Psychology and Tourism, Kyiv National Linguistic University, 73 Velika Vasylkivska str., 03150 Kyiv, Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4201-7236

Bibliografia

• [1] K. Andriushchenko, V. Kovtun, L. Shergina, O. Rozhko, L. Yefimenko, Agro-based Clusters: A tool for effective management of regional development in the ERA of globalisation, TEM J. 9 (2020) 198–204. https://doi.org/10.18421/TEM91š]28.
• [2] A. Buriachenko, K. Zakhozhay, A. Liezina, V. Lysak, Sustainability and Security of Public Budget of the Visegrad Group Countries, Acta Innov. 2022 (2022) 71–88. https://doi.org/10.32933/ActaInnovations.42.6.
• [3] C. Anghelache, M.G. Anghel, Econometric methods and models used in the analysis of the factorial influence of the gross domestic product growth, Netw. Intell. Stud. 9 (2017) 67–78.
• [4] V. Krolivetskaya, E. Krolivetsky, Forecasting the effectiveness and economic security of organizations, branches of the national economy, E3S Web Conf. 135 (2019) 04032. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201913504032.
• [5] D. Shvaiba, The Essence and Content of Social and Economic Security, Bull. Sci. Pract. 5 (2019) 271–279. https://doi.org/10.33619/2414-2948/41/37.
• [6] V. Kovtun, K. Andriushchenko, N. Horbova, O. Lavruk, Y. Muzychka, Features of the management process of ambidextrous companies, TEM J. 9 (2020) 1–6. https://doi.org/10.18421/TEM91š]31.
• [7] M. Rudenko, I. Dolganova, Economic security of the regions: trends and prospects, in: Proc. Int. Sci. Conf. “bus. Coop. as a Resour. Sustain. Econ. Dev. Invest. Attract. (ISPCBC 2019), Atlantis Press, Paris, France, 2019. https://doi.org/10.2991/ispcbc-19.2019.35.
• [8] M. Popławski, A. Kuźnik, Forecasting of socio-economic security in the region on the example of Lower Silesia, Sci. J. Mil. Univ. L. Forces. 197 (2020) 714–728. https://doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0014.3965.
• [9] I. Petrunenko, B. Pohrishcuk, M. Abramova, Y. Vlasenko, V. Halkin, Development of the Agro-Industrial Complex for Improving the Economic Security of the State, Int. J. Comput. Sci. Netw. Secur. 21 (2021) 191–197. https://doi.org/10.22937/IJCSNS.2021.21.3.26.
• [10] O.Z. Redkva, Economic Security of Machine-Building Industry: Problems of Economic Potential Accumulation, Econ. Innov. 20 (2018) 168–175. https://doi.org/10.31520/ei.2018.20.2(67).168-175.
• [11] V. Kondarevych, K. Andriushchenko, N. Pokotylska, G. Ortina, O. Zborovska, L. Budnyak, Digital Transformation of Business Processes of an Enterprise, TEM J. 9 (2020) 1800–1808. https://doi.org/10.18421/TEM94-63.
• [12] S. Vasylishyn, O. Ulyanchenko, T. Bochulia, Y. Herasymenko, O. Gorokh, Improvement of analytical support of economic security management of the agricultural enterprises, Agric. Resour. Econ. 7 (2021) 123–141. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2021.07.03.08.
• [13] B. V. Samorodov, O. O. Sosnovska, M. O. Zhytar, J. V. Ananieva, Methodical Approach To the Quantification of Enterprise Financial Security Level, Financ. Credit Act. Probl. Theory Pract. 1 (2021) 269–277. https://doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v1i32.200521.
• [14] B. Dub, Current status and trends of agricultural holdings’ economic security in Ukraine, Agric. Resour. Econ. Int. Sci. E-Journal. 3 (2017) 94–107. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2017.03.01.08.
• [15] J. Junaidi, A. Amril, R. Hernando, Economic Coping Strategies and Food Security in Poor Rural Households, Agric. Resour. Econ. 8 (2022) 30–51. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2022.08.01.02.
• [16] K. Andriushchenko, O. Datsii, O. Aleinikova, A.M. Abdulla, A.M. Ali, Improvement of the water resources management system at the territorial level, Probl. Perspect. Manag. 17 (2019) 421–437. https://doi.org/10.21511/ppm.17(3).2019.34.
• [17] V. V. Akberdina, A.S. Sergeeva, Manifestation of the factor of regional median position, WSEAS Trans. Bus. Econ. 18 (2021) 171–178. https://doi.org/10.37394/23207.2021.18.18.
• [18] K. Andriushchenko, A. Liezina, S. Vasylchak, M. Manylich, T. Shterma, U. Petrynyak, Management of the Development of the Innovative Potential of the Region, TEM J. 11 (2022) 339–347. https://doi.org/10.18421/TEM111-43.
• [19] K. Andriushchenko, A. Liezina, V. Lavruk, L. Sliusareva, V. Rudevska, Intelligent Enterprise Capital Control Based on Markov Chain, Acta Innov. 2022 (2022) 18–30. https://doi.org/10.32933/ActaInnovations.45.2.
• [20] S.I. Ashmarina, G.R. Khasaev, Methodical estimation basic concepts of organization changes’ requirements level and enterprises’ readiness to their implementation, Rev. Eur. Stud. 7 (2015) 1–9. https://doi.org/10.5539/res.v7n2p1.

Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).