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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
This study presents a comprehensive analysis of rainfall trends in the middle Euphrates region of Iraq, extending from 1980 to 2018, including wide region between the stations of Samawa, Al-Najaf, Karbala, Hilla, and Diwaniya. The research aims to fill a critical gap in the understanding of regional hydrological patterns and provide essential insights for sustainable water resource management. Using advanced statistical methods, such as the MannKendall test and Sen’s slope estimator, along with autocorrelation and cross-correlation analyses, we detected slight trends that were not previously reported. Principally, the Mann-Kendall test indicated no significant overall trends, while Sen’s slope estimator identified slight positive and negative trends at specific stations, highlighting local climatic variations. the findings reveal that all stations, except Samawa, indicated stationarity and homogeneity, with a particularly strong positive mutual correlation between Karbala and Hilla stations (0.7693 at lag 0). This research contributes new insights into rainfall variability in the Middle Euphrates, in Iraq, which presents significant data to improve water resource management strategies and inform future hydrological studies in the region.
Wydawca
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
347--358
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 19 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Babylon, Iraq
autor
- Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Babylon, Iraq
Bibliografia
- 1. Alam F., Salam M., Khalil N.A., Khan O., Khan M. 2021. Rainfall trend analysis and weather forecast accuracy in selected parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Pakistan. SN Appl. Sci. 3(575).
- 2. Amer R.A.M., Baahmed D., Cherif E.A., Iddou A.K. 2021. Trend detection of hydroclimatic parameters in central coastal basin of Oran in Algeria: is there any impact on water resources?. Arab J Geosci., 14, (1442).
- 3. Boyd D.W. 2001. Systems Analysis and Modeling: A Macro-to-Micro Approach with Multidisciplinary Applications. Academic Press.
- 4. Chen H.L and Rao A.R. 2002. Testing hydrologic time series for stationarity. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 7(2), 129–136.
- 5. Dawood S.H. 2009. Meteorological Estimations for selected stations in the North of Iraq. Al-Rafidain Engineering. 17(1), 91–106.
- 6. Djelloul B., Oudin L., Errih M. 2015. Current runoff variations in the Macta catchment (Algeria): is climate the sole factor?. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60, 7–8.
- 7. FAO. 2003. Towards sustainable agricultural development in Iraq: The Transition from Relief. Rehabilitation and Reconstruction to Development.
- 8. Feng S., Hu Q. and Qian W. 2004. Quality control of daily meteorological data in China, 1951–2000: a new dataset. International Journal of Climatology, 24(7).
- 9. Ganora D. 2010. Runoff estimation in data-scarce and ungauged basins with systematic use of morpho-climatic information. Ph.D. Dissertation in water and land management engineering, Politecnico Di Torino.
- 10. Gao F., Wang Y., Chen X., and Yang W. 2020. Trend analysis of rainfall time series in Shanxi Province. Northern China (1957–2019). Water, 12(2335).
- 11. Habibagahi H. and Pratschke J.L. 1972. A Comparison of the power of the Von Neumann Ratio, Durbin-Watson and Geary tests. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 54(2).
- 12. Jaafar A.J. and Al-Lami A.M. 2019. Quality control of precipitation measurement for selected stations in Iraq. Al-Mustansiriyah Journal of Science, 30(4).
- 13. Javari M. 2021. Rainfall random variability and its eects on ood risk management in Iran. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment. Online published.
- 14. Karamouz M., Szidarovszky F., and Zahraie B. 2003. Water Resources Systems Analysis. Lewis Publishers is an imprint of CRC Press LLC.
- 15. Machiwal D. and Jha M. 2008. Comparative evaluation of statistical tests for time series analysis: application to hydrological time series. Hydrological Sciences–Journal–des Sciences Hydrologiques, 53(2).
- 16. Osman Y., Al-Ansari N., Abdellatif M., Aljawad S.B., and Knutsson S. 2014. Expected future precipitation in Central Iraq using LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. Engineering, 6, 948–959.
- 17. Subramanya K. 2017. Engineering hydrology. 4th Edition. McGraw Hill Education (India) Private Limited, New Delhi.
- 18. Khan T., Mureed F., Anwar M., Khan O., Ali M., and Ullah W. 2023. Determination of suitable probability distribution of rainfall in Pakistan Considering Multiplicity. TEIEE, 1(1).
- 19. Walker D., Forsythe N., Parkin G., and Gowing J. 2016. Filling the observational void: Scientific value and quantitative validation of hydrometeorological data from a community-based monitoring programme. Journal of Hydrology, 538, 713–725.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-d2a05f24-8641-45eb-b6fb-365b481dc972
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