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Turkey and Russia in Syrian war: Hostile friendship

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EN
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EN
This study considers Russian-Turkish relations within the context of the Syrian war. We elaborate on both Russia’s and Turkey’s strategies and their understanding of the Syrian War, and consider how the two countries have managed to stay on the same page despite conflictual strategies and geopolitical interests in Syria. The current literature does not address this question and does not thoroughly compare their actions and engagements in the field. This article aims to clarify Turkey-Russia relations in the Syria and provides evidence of how they are in conflict and cooperate at the same time. In this regard, it is argued that the available evidence indicates that Turkey-Russia relations in Syria operate on the “compartmentalisation” strategy. In order to test this argument, the qualitative research method based on secondary resources is used while the theoretical framework previously formulated by Onis and Yilmaz (2015) is adopted. They conceptualise Turkey-Russia relations as if they do “compartmentalise economic issues and geopolitical rivalries in order to avoid the negative spillover of certain disagreements into areas of bilateral cooperation.” Furthermore, they claim that compartmentalisation can be hindered if there are deepening security concerns in an area like Syria. However, this article underscores that compartmentalisation does not only work by separating the economic issue from geopolitical rivalries; it also makes Turkey and Russia able to cooperate and conflict in a specific and fundamentally conflictual geopolitical issue such as Syria. The convergences and divergences that occurred in the Syrian field are conceptualised under the strategy of compartmentalisation. In this context, the cooperation – the signed agreements and established mechanisms, conflicts, and clashes in the field, are acknowledged as the consequences of the compartmentalisation strategy in Syria. The compartmentalisation strategy is specifically used in Syria in order to avoid the negative impacts of direct clashes in bilateral cooperation and agreements. It can therefore be concluded that the deepening divergence in security related issue does not necessarily prevent compartmentalisation; on the contrary, compartmentalisation paves the way for stabilisation of such deepening divergence.
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Strony
77--92
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 33 poz.
Twórcy
  • International Relations, Cankiri Karatekin University, Turkey
  • International Relations, Bilkent University, Turkey
Bibliografia
  • 1. Aljazeera (2017) Astana joint statement by Iran, Russia, Turkey: in full, 10 November. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/news... (Accessed: 10 November 2020).
  • 2. Balanche, F. (2016) Rojava’s sustainability and the PKK’s regional strategy, 24 August. Available at: https://www. washingtoninstitute.org/policy... (Accessed: 28 May 2021).
  • 3. Bernier, P. (2018) Yevgeny Primakov’s operational code and Russian Foreign Policy, Master Thesis. Tampere: University of Tampere. Available at: http://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi:uta-2... (Accessed: 10 November 2020).
  • 4. Casula, P. and Katz, M. N. (2018) ‘The Middle East’, in Tsygankov A. P. (ed.), Routledge handbook of Russian Foreign policy. Oxon: Routledge, pp. 295–311.
  • 5. CIA (2002) Soviet relations with the Baathists in Iraq and Syria. Available at: https://www.cia.gov/library/re... (Accessed: 25 November 2020).
  • 6. Clarke, C.P. and Courtney, W. (2019) ‘Russia’s Risky Game Plan for Syria’, The National Interest, 29 October. Available at: https://nationalinterest.org/b... (Accessed: 15 November 2020).
  • 7. Duzgit, S.A., Balta, E. and O’Donohue, A. (2020) ‘Turkey, Russia, and the West: Reassessing persistent volatility, asymmetric interdependence, and the Syria Conflict’, Sabancı University Istanbul Policy Center, Available at: https://ipc.sabanciuniv.edu/Co... (Accessed: 15 April 2021).
  • 8. Freedman, R. O. (2010) ‘Russia and the Middle East under Putin’, Ortadoğu Etütleri, 2(3), pp. 9–55.
  • 9. Galpin, R. (2012) ‘Russian arms shipments Bolster Syria’s embattled Assad’, BBC News, 30 January. Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world... (Accessed: 12 December 2020).
  • 10. Hirst, S.J. and Isci, O. (2020) ‘Smokestacks and pipelines: Russian-Turkish relations and the persistence of economic development’, Diplomatic History, 44(5), pp. 834–859. doi: 10.1093/dh/dhaa046.
  • 11. Khlebnikov, A. (2020) Russia and Syrian Military Reform: Challenges and opportunities. Available at: https://carnegie-mec.org/2020/... (Accessed: 16 December 2020).
  • 12. Kofman, M. (2018) The Russian intervention in Syria: Policy options and exit strategies. Available at: https://warontherocks.com/2015... (Accessed: 15 November 2020).
  • 13. Köstem, S. (2020) ‘Russian-Turkish cooperation in Syria: geopolitical alignment with limits’, Cambridge Review of International Affairs. doi: 10.1080/09557571.2020.1719040.
  • 14. Lavrov, A. (2020) The efficiency of the Syrian armed forces: An analysis of Russian assistance. Available at: https://carnegie-mec.org/2020/... (Accessed: 16 December 2020).
  • 15. Melamedov, G. (2018) ‘Russia’s entrenchment in Syria Moscow’s Middle East resurgence’, Middle East Quarterly, 25(1), pp. 1-9.
  • 16. Ng, N. and Rumer, E. (2019) The West Fears Russia’s Hybrid Warfare. They’re missing the bigger picture. Available at: https://carnegieendowment.org/... (Accessed: 17 November 2020).
  • 17. Nissenbaum, D., Peker, E. and Marson, J. (2015) ‘Turkey shoots down Russian Military Jet’, The Wall Street Journal, 24 November. Available at: https://www.wsj.com/articles/t... (Accessed: 11 November 2020).
  • 18. Official Internet Resources of the President of Russia (2019) Memorandum of understanding between Turkey and the Russian Federation. Available at: http://en.kremlin.ru/supplemen... (Accessed: 28 January 2021).
  • 19. Office of the Historian Foreign Service Institute United States Department of State (no date) Milestones:1945–1952/Kennan and containment, 1947. Available at: https://history.state.gov/mile... (Accessed: 1 December 2020).
  • 20. Onis, Z. and Yilmaz, S. (2015) ‘Turkey and Russia in a shifting global order: cooperation, conflict and asymmetric interdependence in a turbulent region’, Third World Quarterly, 37(1), pp. 71–95. doi:10.1080/01436597.2015.1086638.
  • 21. Painter, D. (2010) ‘Oil, resources, and the Cold War, 1945–1962’, in Leffler, M. P. and Westad, O. A. (eds.) The Cambridge history of the Cold War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 486–507.
  • 22. Petkova, M. (2020) ‘What has Russia gained from five years of fighting in Syria?’, Aljazeera, 1 October. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/feat... (Accessed: 8 December 2020).
  • 23. Rumer, E. (2019) Russia in the Middle East: Jack of all trades, Master of none. Available at: https://carnegieendowment.org/... (Accessed: 9 December 2020).
  • 24. Sayigh, Y. (2020) Syrian politics trump Russian Military reforms. Available at: https://carnegie-mec.org/2020/... (Accessed: 14 December 2020).
  • 25. Semenov, K. (2020) Russia’s role in reforming Syrian special services. Available at: https://carnegie-mec.org/2020/... (Accessed: 16 December 2020).
  • 26. Suriye Gundemi (2020) Russia’s arms supply: Assad over Israel’s security. Available at: https://en.suriyegundemi.com/r... (Accessed: 9 December 2020).
  • 27. TASS (2017) More than 200 weapons tested in Syria prove to be highly effective. Available at: https://tass.com/defense/96205... (Accessed: 7 December 2020).
  • 28. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (2016) Joint Statement by the Foreign Ministers of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Russian Federation and the Republic of Turkey on Agreed Steps to Revitalize the Political Process to End the Syrian Conflict, Moscow, 20 December 2016. Available at: https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_... (Accessed: 22 January 2021).
  • 29. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (2017) Memorandum on the creation of de-Escalation areas in the Syrian Arab Republic. Available at: https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_... (Accessed: 11 January 2021).
  • 30. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (2020) Additional protocol to the memorandum on stabilization of the situation in the Idlib de-escalation zone of September 17, 2018. Available at: https://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_... (Accessed: 1 February 2021).
  • 31. The Moscow Times (2019) ‘Russia will be one-third Muslim in 15 years, Chief Mufti Predicts’, 5 March. Available at: https://www.themoscowtimes.com... (Accessed: 5 December 2020).
  • 32. Tok, L., Temizer, S. and Karacaoğlu, B. (2019) ‘Suriye iç savaşında ÖSO’dan Milli Orduya’, Anadolu Ajansı. Available at: https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/baris... (Accessed: 1 January 2021).
  • 33. Voltaire Network (2018) Memorandum on stabilization of the situation in the Idlib de-escalation area. Available at: https://www.voltairenet.org/ar... (Accessed: 25 January 2021).
Uwagi
„Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2021).”
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-cfdc176b-aaa0-4bc1-8eb5-126d1462c77f
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