Some Probabilistic and Statistical Properties of the Seismic Regime of Zemmouri (Algeria) Seismoactive Zone

• Autorzy: Baddari K. , Bellalem F. , Baddari I. , Makdeche S.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/acgeo-2016-0049

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Statistical tests have been used to adjust the Zemmouri seismic data using a distribution function. The Pareto law has been used and the probabilities of various expected earthquakes were computed. A mathematical expression giving the quantiles was established. The extreme values limiting law confirmed the accuracy of the adjustment method. Using the moment magnitude scale, a probabilistic model was made to predict the occurrences of strong earthquakes. The seismic structure has been characterized by the slope of the recurrence plot γ, fractal dimension D, concentration parameter Ksr, Hurst exponents Hr and Ht. The values of D, γ, Ksr, Hr, and Ht diminished many months before the principal seismic shock (M = 6.9) of the studied seismoactive zone has occurred. Three stages of the deformation of the geophysical medium are manifested in the variation of the coefficient G% of the clustering of minor seismic events.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Pareto law; Fréchet law; forecasting; earthquake; seismic regime

PL

prawo Pareta; prawo Frécheta; prognozowanie; trzęsienie ziemi

• Wydawca: Instytut Geofizyki PAN ; Springer
• Czasopismo: Acta Geophysica
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: Vol. 64, no. 5
• Strony: 1275--1310
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 48 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Baddari K.

• Lab of Physics of the Earth, Université Mhamed Bougara Boumerdes, Algeria
• Laboratoire d’Informatique, de Modélisation, d’Optimisation et des Systèmes Électroniques, Université Mhamed Bougara Boumerdes, Algeria
• University of Bouira, Bouira, Algeria

autor

Bellalem F.

• Centre de Recherche en Astronomie, Astrophysique et Géophysique du Globe, Algiers, Algeria

autor

Baddari I.

• Laboratoire d’Informatique, de Modélisation, d’Optimisation et des Systèmes Électroniques, Université Mhamed Bougara Boumerdes, Algeria

autor

Makdeche S.

• University of Bouira, Bouira, Algeria

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