Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Wpływ bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych i zarządzania publicznego na gospodarkę nieformalną w krajach rozwijających się w Azji
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
This study investigates the influence of public administration and foreign direct investment (FDI) on the magnitude of the unobserved economy within emerging Asian economies. Employing a panel data regression methodology, supplemented by a two-step Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to address potential model limitations, the research analyzes data from 2002 to 2020. The selected economies comprise China, India, Indonesia, Iran, Malaysia, Thailand, Saudi Arabia, the Philippines, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Vietnam. The novelty of the study is the simultaneous consideration of the impact of both public administration and FDI variables on the size of the unobserved economy in this region. The findings indicate a robust negative correlation between public administration quality and FDI inflows and the size of the unobserved economy within this group of nations. Furthermore, GDP per capita and trade openness exhibit negative associations with the unobserved economy, while unemployment and inflation demonstrate positive correlations. Based on these findings, the study proposes policy recommendations aimed at enhancing the management of the unobserved economy through improvements in public administration effectiveness and the implementation of strategic FDI attraction policies.
Niniejsze badanie analizuje wpływ administracji publicznej i bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych (BIZ) na wielkość nieobserwowanej gospodarki w rozwijających się gospodarkach azjatyckich. Wykorzystując metodologię regresji danych panelowych, uzupełnioną dwuetapową uogólnioną metodą momentów (GMM) w celu uwzględnienia potencjalnych ograniczeń modelu, w badaniu przeanalizowano dane z lat 2002-2020. Wybrane gospodarki obejmują Chiny, Indie, Indonezję, Iran, Malezję, Tajlandię, Arabię Saudyjską, Filipiny, Zjednoczone Emiraty Arabskie (ZEA) i Wietnam. Nowatorski charakter badania polega na jednoczesnym uwzględnieniu wpływu zarówno zmiennych związanych z administracją publiczną, jak i BIZ na wielkość gospodarki nieobjętej statystykami w tym regionie. Wyniki wskazują na silną ujemną korelację między jakością administracji publicznej a napływem BIZ a wielkością gospodarki nieobjętej statystykami w tej grupie krajów. Ponadto PKB na mieszkańca i otwartość handlu wykazują ujemną korelację z gospodarką nieobserwowalną, podczas gdy bezrobocie i inflacja wykazują korelacje dodatnie. Na podstawie tych ustaleń w badaniu zaproponowano zalecenia polityczne mające na celu poprawę zarządzania gospodarką nieobserwowalną poprzez zwiększenie skuteczności administracji publicznej i wdrożenie strategicznych polityk przyciągania BIZ.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
300--318
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 50 poz., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, PhD Candidate, University of Finance - Marketing, Vietnam
autor
- University of Finance - Marketing, Vietnam
Bibliografia
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- 2.Ali, M., Bohara, A. K., (2017). How does FDI respond to the size of the shadow economy: an empirical analysis under a gravity model setting. International Economic Journal, 31(2), 159-178.
- 3.Alm, J., Embaye, A., (2013). Using Dynamic Panel Methods to Estimate Shadow Economies Around the World, 1984-2006. Public Finance Review, 41, 510-543.
- 4.Amendola, A., Dell’Anno, R., (2010). Institutions and Human Development in the Latin American Shadow Economy. Estudios en Derecho y Gobierno, 3(1), 9-25.
- 5.Arsić, M., Arandarenko, M., Radulović, B., Ranđelović, S. and Janković, I., (2015). Causes of the shadow economy. Formalizing the Shadow Economy in Serbia: Policy Measures and Growth Effects, 21-46.
- 6.Ball, L., Mankiw, N. G. and Romer, D., (2019). The new Keynesian economics and the output-inflation trade-off. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 157, 45-60.
- 7.Bayar, Y., Remeikiene, R., Androniceanu, A., Gaspareniene, L. and Jucevicius, R., (2020). The Shadow Economy, Human Development and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows. Journal of Competitiveness, 12(1), 5-21
- 8.Bernardelli, M., Próchniak, M. and Witkowski, B., (2021). Time stability of the impact of institutions on economic growth and real convergence of the EU countries: implications from the hidden Markov models analysis. Equilibrium Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 16(2), 285-323.
- 9.Binaj, I., (2015). An Evaluation of the Impact of Corruption, Tax Burden, and Income on the Size of the Shadow Economy. International Journal of Accounting and Taxation, 3(2), 15-27.
- 10.Blanchard, O., Cerutti, E. and Summers, L. H., (2021). Inflation and unemployment: A reappraisal. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 13(3), 1-30.
- 11.Broto, C., Díaz-Cassou, J. and Erce, A., (2011). Measuring and explaining the volatility of capital flows to emerging countries. Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(8), 1941-1953.
- 12.Buehn, A., Schneider, F., (2012). Corruption and the Shadow Economy: Like Oil and Vinegar, Like Water and Fire? International Tax and Public Finance, 19, 172- 194.
- 13.Canh P. N., Christophe, S. and Thanh, S. D., (2020). Economic Fluctuations And The Shadow Economy: A Global Study. Global Economy Journal, 20(03), 1-24
- 14.Choi, J. P., Thum, M., (2005). Corruption and the shadow economy. International Economic Review, 46(3), 817-836.
- 15.Cieślik, A., Hien Tran, G., (2019). Determinants of outward FDI from emerging economies.Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 14(2), 209-231.
- 16.Dao, T. B. T., Khuc, V. Q., Dong, M. C. and Cao, T. L., (2023). How Does Foreign Direct Investment Drive Employment Growth in Vietnam’s Formal Economy? Economies, 11(11), 266.
- 17.Dell’ Anno R., (2010). Institutions and Human Development in the Latin American. Informal Economy Constitutional of Political Economy, 21(3), 207-230.
- 18.Dreher, A., Schneider, F., (2009). Corruption and the Shadow Economy: An Empirical Analysis, Public Choice, 144(2), 215-277.
- 19.Elgin, C., Öztunali, O., (2019). Institutions, informal economy, and economic development. Journal of Economic Development, 44(3), 47-74.
- 20.Gaspareniene, L., Remeikiene, R. and Navickas, V., (2016a). The Concept of Digital Shadow Economy: Consumer’s Attitude. Procedia Economics and Finance, 39, 502-509.
- 21.Giles, D. E., Tedds, L. M. and Werkneh, G., (2002). The Canadian underground and measured economies: Granger causality results. Applied Economics, 34(18), 2347-2352.
- 22.Ginevicius, R., Kliestik, T., Stasiukynas, A. and Suhajda, K., (2020). The impact of national economic development on the shadow economy. Journal of Competitiveness, 12(4), 39-55.
- 23.Herzer, D., (2018). Outward FDI and economic growth: New insights on the role of financial development. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 150, 216-233.
- 24.Huynh, C. M., Nguyen, V. H. T., Nguyen, H. B. and Nguyen, P. C., (2020). One-way effect or multiple-way causality: foreign direct investment, institutional quality and shadow economy? International Economics and Economic Policy, 17(1), 219-239.
- 25.Johnson, S., Kaufmann, D., McMillan, J. and Woodruff, C., (2001). Why do firms hide? Bribes and unofficial activity after communism. Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, 76(3), 495-520.
- 26.Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A. and Mastruzzi, M., (2003). Governance Matters III: Governance Indicators for 1996-2002.World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3106.
- 27.Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A. and Mastruzzi, M., (2011). The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Methodology and Analytical Issues1. Hague Journal on the rule of law, 3(2), 220-246.
- 28.Kevin, H. Z, Shunfeng, S., (2001), Promoting exports: the role of inward FDI in China, China Economic Review, 11(4), 385-396
- 29.La Porta, R., Lopez-De-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A. and Vishny, R. W., (1997), Legal Determinants of External Finance. The Journal of Finance, 52, 1131-1150.
- 30.Lama, S., Kumar, G., (2022). Impact of FDI on Employment, Economy, and Informal Sector: A Systematic Literature Review. FOCUS: Journal of International Business, 9(2 ), 97-116.
- 31.Navickas, M., Juščius, V., and Navickas, V. (2019). Determinants of shadow economy in Eastern European countries. Scientific annals of economics and business, 66(1), 1-14.
- 32.Nguyen, C. P., Ai Nguyen, N., Schinckus, C. and Dinh Su, T., (2018). The Ambivalent Role of Institutions in the CO2 Emissions: The Case of Emerging Countries. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 8(5), 7-17.
- 33.Nguyen, M. T., (2022). Foreign direct investment and economic growth: The role of financial development. Cogent Business and Management, 9(1), 2127193.
- 34.Nguyen, M. T., Doan, T. T. and Bui, T. N., (2021). The impact of macroeconomic and control of corruption on foreign direct investment inflows. Polish Journal of Management Studies, 24(1), 236-249.
- 35.Nikopour, H., Habibullah, M. S., Schneider, F. and Law, S. H., (2009). Foreign direct investment and Shadow Economy: A causality analysis using panel data. (Munich Personal RePEc Archive, No.14485).
- 36.Nikopour, H., Muzafar, S. H., Schneider, F. and Siong H. L., (2009), Foreign Direct Investment and Shadow Economy: A Causality Analysis Using Panel Data, MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
- 37.Ouédraogo, I., (2017) Governance, Corruption, and the Informal Economy. Modern Economy, 8, 256-271.
- 38.Ray, B., Nigel, P., (1997). Foreign Direct Investment, Technological Change, and Economic Growth within Europe. Economic Journal, 107, (445), 1770-86
- 39.Razmi, M. J., Falahi, M. A. and Montazeri, S., (2013). Institutional quality and underground economy of 51 OIC member countries. Universal Journal of Management and Social Sciences, 3(2), 1-14.
- 40.Remeikiene, R., Gaspareniene, L., (2021). The nexus between unemployment and the shadow economy in Lithuanian regions during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of International Studies, 14(3), 59-72.
- 41.Schneider, F., (2002). Size and measurement of the informal economy in 110 countries around the world. Workshop of Australian National Tax Centre.
- 42.Schneider, F., Dominik, H. E., (2000). Shadow Economies: Size, Causes, and Consequences. Journal of Economic Literature, 38(1),77-114.
- 43.Schneider, F., Williams, C. C., (2013). The Shadow Economy. Institute of Economic Affairs, London.
- 44.Smith, P., (1994). Assessing the Size of the Underground Economy: the Canadian Statistical Perspectives. Canadian Economic Observer, 11, 16-33.
- 45.Tanzi, V. (1983). The underground economy in the United States: Annual estimates, 1930-80 (L'économie clandestine aux Etats-Unis: Estimations annuelles, 1930-80)(La" economía subterránea" de Estados Unidos: Estimaciones anuales, 1930-80). Staff Papers-International Monetary Fund, 283-305.
- 46.Teobaldelli, D., (2011). Federalism and the Shadow Economy, Public Choice, 146(3)269-269.
- 47.Tiutiunyk, I., Cieśliński, W., Zolkover, A. and Vasa, L., (2022). Foreign direct investment and shadow economy: One-way effect or multiple-way causality? Journal of International Studies, 15, 196-212
- 48.Vessah Mbouombouo, S.-A., Toukam, D.-H., (2024). Shadow Economy in Africa: Is E-Government an Answer? Revue D’économie Du Développement, 32(2), 49-94.
- 49.Virta, H., (2007). Corruption and Shadow Economy: Differences in the Relationship between Countries. Helsinki Center of Economic Research, 171, 1- 26.
- 50.Yilmaz, B., (2016). Public Governance and shadow economy in Central and Eastern European countries, Revista Administratie Si Management Public, (27), 62-73.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-cdbae24e-4c15-4df2-98b0-ed7a96bb7ee2
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