Theoretical Approaches for Safety Levels Measurements – Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT)

• Autorzy: Kharchenko V. , Bugayko D. , Antonova A. , Grigorak M. , Pawęska M.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The principles of civil aviation safety are considered. At present time, aviation is an ultra-safe system, (i.e. a system that experiences less than one catastrophic safety breakdown every one million production cycles). But, unfortunately, we can never state that aviation activities will be absolutely safe. In current conditions the increase of the civil aviation safety level is one of the principal objectives of the world air transport development. The paper pays special attention to the civil aviation threats and risks in the context of globalization processes. The investigation deals with problems of global implementation of Annex 19 to the Convention of the International Civil Aviation. Present research paper discusses new theoretical approaches to searching for methods to assess the “safety space” of civil aviation activity. Special attention is paid to an effective test, proposed by A. Wald.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

International Civil Aviation Organization; ICAO; Standards and Recommended Practices; SARPs; safety of aviation; safety management system; financial management; safety space; safety/protection boundary; hypothesis; theory; Sequential Probability Ratio Test; SPRT; accidents and incidents reports; audits; surveys; flight data analysis; FDA; voluntary reports; involuntary reports; confidential communications

• Wydawca: Międzynarodowa Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki i Transportu we Wrocławiu
• Czasopismo: Logistics and Transport
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: Vol. 34, No. 2
• Strony: 25--32
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 14 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Kharchenko V.

• National Aviation University, Ukraine

autor

Bugayko D.

• National Aviation University, Ukraine

autor

Antonova A.

• National Aviation University, Ukraine

autor

Grigorak M.

• National Aviation University, Ukraine

autor

Pawęska M.

• The International University of Logistics and Transport in Wroclaw, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] Chicago Convention, Annex 19 “Safety Management” ICAO, 2013.
• [2] Safety Management Manual (SMM): ICAO, Doc 9859 AN/460 , Canada, Montreal, : ICAO, 2013. – 325 p.
• [3] V.Kharchenko, D.Bugayko. Modern Trends of Aviation Logistics Development – Effectiveness, Safety and Security Aspects Logistics and Transport– Wroclaw: International School of Logistics and Transport in Wroclaw. – 2013. - №2(18). – P.17 – 23.
• [4] V.Kharchenko, D.Bugayko, M. Kulyk, O.Ilienko. Safety of Aviation in Global Context of the World Air Transport Development Prоceedings of the NAU. – К.: NAU, 2013. – №3. – P.112-117.
• [5] V.Kharchenko, D.Bugayko, Wang Bo. Safety Management System Like Key Instrument of International Civil Aviation Regulation, Materials of V International scientific conference "Legal science and practice, challenges" .- Kyiv: NAU, 2015. - V.3. - S. 10 - 13.
• [6] V.Kharchenko, D.Bugayko, Wang Bo. Fundamentals of Safety and Efficiency of the Next Generation Unmanned Aircraft Systems. Proceedings the six World Congress «Aviation in the XXI-st century», «Safety in Aviation and Space Technologies», 23–25 sept. 2014, Kyiv / NAU. – Kyiv, 2014. – V.2. – P. 2. 29 –2.35.
• [7] V.Kharchenko, D.Bugayko, Wang Bo. Safety and Security Issues of Aviation Logistics Development. Problems of professional training in logistics in the global competitive environment: Collection of reports - K.: Logos. 2013. - S. 589-594. :
• [8] V.Kharchenko, D.Bugayko. Safety and Security Integration of Unmanned Aircraft Systems into the World Aviation System: National Aviation University Experience. Proceedings the fifth World Congress «Aviation in the XXI-st century», «Safety in Aviation and Space Technologies», 25– 27 sept. 2012, Kyiv / NAU. – Kyiv, 2012. – V.2. – P. 2.10–2.12.
• [9] D.Bugayko. Safety and Effectiveness of Civil Aviation in Conditions of Air Traffic Globalization. Proceedings the fifth World Congress «Aviation in the XXI-st century», «Safety in Aviation and Space Technologies», 25–27 sept. 2012, Kyiv / NAU. – Kyiv, 2012. – V.2. – P. 3.1.26–3.1.28.
• [10] D.Bugayko, M. Kulyk, O.Ilienko. Safety of Aviation in Global Context of the World Air Transport Development. Prоceedings of the NAU. – К.: NAU, 2013. – №3. – P.112-117.
• [11] D.Bugayko, V.Kharchenko, A.Antonova. Aviation Safety Management System: Problem of Balanced Allocation of Resources Proceedings the seven World Congress «Aviation in the XXI-st century», «Safety in Aviation and Space Technologies», 19–21 sept. 2016, Kyiv / NAU. – Kyiv, 2016 –P.13.9 - 13.17.
• [12] D.Bugayko, M. Kulyk. International Airline Fares Regulations in Conditions of Air Market Globalization and Liberalization. Logistics and Transport– Wroclaw: International School of Logistics and Transport in Wroclaw. – 2009. - №2(9). – P.57-62.
• [13] Commercial Aviation Accidents 1958 – 2014. A Statistical Analysis. AIRBUS S.A.S. 31707 Blagnac Cedex, France, 2013.
• [14] Wald. Sequential Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, Inc, New York, 1947.

Uwagi

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).