A study on loan repayment options for power plant construction: a case study of the Son La hydropower plant, Vietnam

• Autorzy: Tu Le Tat , Phap Vu Minh , Huong Nguyen Thi Thu

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.33223/epj/163506

Warianty tytułu

PL

Badanie możliwości spłaty kredytu na budowę elektrowni: studium przypadku elektrowni wodnej Son La w Wietnamie

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Using loans is an effective solution for the investment and construction of energy works in general and power plants in particular, especially for developing countries. In economic and financial studies of the project investment preparation stage, the options of using capital and paying interest will be taken into account to minimize risks and increase the project’s ability to pay due debts. However, it is difficult to know which loan repayment option is the most beneficial for the project and when the risk is for the project in the context of debt repayment. The current economic and financial analysis of the project mainly focuses on determining the feasibility of the project through basic parameters, such as net present value (NPV), benefit – cost – ratio (B/C), internal rate of return (IRR), profitability index (PI) and payback period (PP). These parameters do not indicate the most difficult time to pay off the project’s loans. This paper analyzes two options for repayment of long-term loans in Vietnam using the case study of Son La hydropower plant to clarify the above difficult times and recommend a suitable repayment plan for the power project. The analytical method is used to actualize the cash flow of capital and interest during the construction and operation of the works. In Option 1, the debt is paid annually for interest and capital with a constant amount of money during the repayment period. In Option 2, the original dept without interest is paid with a constant amount of money during the repayment period, the interest (due to the remaining original capital) must be paid in the year when the interest is incurred. The study results show that the amount of the annual payment in option 1 is smaller than in Option 2 in the first four years (of ten years of debt repayment). Thus, capital and interest payment in Option 2 may be more detrimental than Option 1 in the first three years of debt repayment, and the amount of money from debt repayment is greater than the profit obtained from power generation. Thus, depending on the profit in the first years when the power plant comes into operation, the investor needs to decide on a reasonable way to repay the loan so that the project can self-finance.

PL

Korzystanie z kredytów jest skutecznym rozwiązaniem dla inwestycji i budowy zakładów energetycznych w ogóle, a w szczególności elektrowni, zwłaszcza w krajach rozwijających się. W analizach ekonomiczno-finansowych etapu przygotowania inwestycji projektu uwzględnione zostaną możliwości wykorzystania kapitału i spłaty odsetek w celu zminimalizowania ryzyka i zwiększenia zdolności projektu do spłaty wymaganych długów. Trudno jednak stwierdzić, która opcja spłaty kredytu jest najkorzystniejsza dla projektu i kiedy występuje ryzyko dla projektu w kontekście spłaty zadłużenia. Bieżąca analiza ekonomiczno-finansowa projektu koncentruje się głównie na określeniu wykonalności projektu poprzez podstawowe parametry, takie jak wartość bieżąca netto (NPV), stosunek korzyści do kosztów (B/C), wewnętrzna stopa zwrotu (IRR), wskaźnik rentowności (PI) i okres zwrotu (PP). Parametry te nie wskazują na najtrudniejszy czas na spłatę kredytów projektu. W niniejszym artykule przeanalizowano dwie opcje spłaty kredytów długoterminowych w Wietnamie na przykładzie elektrowni wodnej Son La, uwzględniając obecne trudne warunki i zalecając odpowiedni plan spłaty dla projektu energetycznego. Metoda analityczna służy do aktualizacji przepływów pieniężnych kapitału i odsetek w trakcie budowy i eksploatacji obiektu. W Wariancie 1 dług jest spłacany corocznie na odsetki i kapitał stałą kwotą w okresie spłaty. W Wariancie 2 pierwotny dług bez odsetek spłacany jest stałą kwotą w okresie spłaty, odsetki (należne od pozostałego kapitału pierwotnego) muszą być zapłacone w roku, w którym naliczone zostały odsetki. Wyniki badań wskazują, że wysokość rocznej spłaty w Wariancie 1 jest mniejsza niż w Wariancie 2 w pierwszych czterech latach (z dziesięciu lat spłaty zadłużenia). Zatem spłata kapitału i odsetek w Wariancie 2 może być bardziej szkodliwa niż w Wariancie 1 w pierwszych trzech latach spłaty zadłużenia, a kwota pieniędzy ze spłaty zadłużenia jest większa niż zysk uzyskany z produkcji energii. Zatem w zależności od zysku w pierwszych latach od uruchomienia elektrowni, inwestor musi zdecydować, jak rozsądnie spłacić kredyt, aby projekt mógł się sam sfinansować.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

economic effects; electric power system; hydropower plant; investment; NPV; IRR

PL

efekt ekonomiczny; system elektroenergetyczny; elektrownia wodna; inwestycja; NPV; IRR

• Wydawca: Instytut Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi i Energią PAN
• Czasopismo: Polityka Energetyczna
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: T. 26, z. 2
• Strony: 121--140
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 33 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Tu Le Tat

• Institute of Energy Science, Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology, Viet Nam

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-+-8735-4025

autor

Phap Vu Minh

• Institute of Energy Science, Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology, Viet Nam

• https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5230-6835

autor

Huong Nguyen Thi Thu

• Institute of Energy Science, Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology, Viet Nam

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4427-9707

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