Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system

• Autorzy: Jakusik E. , Kołowrocki K. , Kuligowska E. , Soszyńska-Budny J. , Torbicki M.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate-weather change process; semi-Markov model; extreme weather hazard states; port oil transportation syste

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: Vol. 7, No. 3
• Strony: 31--40
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 33 poz., rys., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Jakusik E.

• Institute of Meteorology and Water Management - NRI, Warsaw, Poland

autor

Kołowrocki K.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Kuligowska E.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Soszyńska-Budny J.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Torbicki M.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

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