Three months of “Cumbre Vieja” : analysis of consequences of volcano eruption

• Autorzy: Mazur Andrzej

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/aep.2022.142694

Warianty tytułu

PL

Trzy miesiące “Cumbre Vieja” : analiza skutków erupcji wulkanu

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The work describes the methodology and results of analysis for the consequences assessment of eruption from Cumbre Vieja volcano in Canary Islands. The preliminary analysis of dispersion of emitted pollutants was performed using Lagrangian trajectories model. To estimate long-term outcomes of eruption in terms of deposition and concentration of eruption products the Eulerian model of air dispersion was used. The model uses data from Global Forecasting System meteorological model launched at the NCEP-NOAA centre. The average concentration and deposition of sulfur compounds as well as the probability and time of the pollution cloud reaching all European capitals were examined. In 90 days a cloud of pollutants (SO2, volcanic ashes) spread over the northern hemisphere. Pollution reached Africa, North Sea and Europe. With an average emission of 15,000 tons of SO2/day, the maximum calculated deposition to the Earth’s surface reached 0.8g/m2, while overall deposition – 35 kilotons in the domain area.

PL

W pracy opisano metodykę i wyniki oceny skutków erupcji wulkanu Cumbre Vieja na Wyspach Kanaryjskich. Wstępną analizę dyspersji emitowanych zanieczyszczeń przeprowadzono z wykorzystaniem modelu trajektorii Lagrange’a. Do oszacowania długoterminowych skutków erupcji pod względem osadzania i koncentracji produktów erupcji wykorzystano eulerowski model dyspersji powietrza. W modelu wykorzystano dane z modelu meteorologicznego Global Forecasting System uruchomianego w ośrodku NCEP-NOAA. Zbadano średnie stężenie i depozycję związków siarki oraz prawdopodobieństwo i czas dotarcia chmury zanieczyszczeń do wszystkich stolic europejskich. W ciągu 90 dni chmura zanieczyszczeń (dwutlenek siarki, popioły wulkaniczne) rozprzestrzeniła się na półkuli północnej. Zanieczyszczenia dotarły do Afryki, Morza Północnego i Europy. Przy średniej emisji 15 000 ton dwutlenku siarki na dobę maksymalna wyliczona depozycja na powierzchni Ziemi osiągnęła 0,8 g na metr kwadratowy, a ogólna depozycja 35 kiloton w obszarze domeny.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

volcano eruption; atmospheric dispersion; Eulerian model; lagged-ensemble

PL

erupcja; wulkan; dyspersja; eulerowski model; powietrze; związki siarki; zanieczyszczenie powietrza atmosferycznego

• Wydawca: Institute of Environmental Engineering, Polish Academy of Sciences
• Czasopismo: Archives of Environmental Protection
• Rocznik: 2022
• Tom: Vol. 48, no. 3
• Strony: 99--108
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 24 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Mazur Andrzej

• Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Poland

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).