Data analysis-based time series forecast for managing household electricity consumption

• Autorzy: Bezzar Nour El-Houda , Laimeche Lakhdar , Meraoumia Abdallah , Houam Lotfi

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/dema-2022-0176

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Recently, electricity consumption forecasting has attracted much research due to its importance in our daily life as well as in economic activities. This process is seen as one of the ways to manage future electricity needs, including anticipating the supply-demand balance, especially at peak times, and helping the customer make real-time decisions about their consumption. Therefore, based on statistical techniques (ST) and/or artificial intelligence (AI), many forecasting models have been developed in the literature, but unfortunately, in addition to poor choice of the appropriate model, time series datasets were used directly without being seriously analyzed. In this article, we have proposed an efficient electricity consumption prediction model that takes into account the shortcomings mentioned earlier. Therefore, the database was analyzed to address all anomalies such as non-numeric values, aberrant, and missing values. In addition, by analyzing the correlation between the data, the possible periods for forecasting electricity consumption were determined. The experimental results carried out on the Individual Household Electricity Power Consumption dataset showed a clear superiority of the proposed model over most of the ST and/or AI-based models proposed in the literature.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

household energy consumption; electricity consumption forecasting; time series forecasting; data analysis; XGBoost

PL

zużycie energii; gospodarstwo domowe; zużycie energii elektrycznej; programowanie; prognozowanie szeregów czasowych; analiza danych; XGBoost

• Wydawca: De Gruyter
• Czasopismo: Demonstratio Mathematica
• Rocznik: 2022
• Tom: Vol. 55, nr 1
• Strony: 900--921
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 41 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Bezzar Nour El-Houda

• Laboratoire de Mines, Larbi Tebessi University, Tebessa, Algeria

autor

Laimeche Lakhdar

• Laboratory of Mathematics, Informatics and Systems (LAMIS), University of Larbi Tebessi, Tebessa, Algeria

autor

Meraoumia Abdallah

• Laboratory of Mathematics, Informatics and Systems (LAMIS), University of Larbi Tebessi, Tebessa, Algeria

autor

Houam Lotfi

• Laboratory of Mathematics, Informatics and Systems (LAMIS), University of Larbi Tebessi, Tebessa, Algeria

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).