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Assessing logistic factors and forecasting their impact on economic growth: the example of Kazakhstan

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Języki publikacji
EN
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EN
This article assesses the impact of the development of logistics systems (LS) on the efficiency of the economy. A multi-level methodology for assessing the impact of LS on the economy consisting of six stages (transport, investment, economic, information, material and technical, labor and infrastructure) is proposed using a dynamic structural model for a group of macroeconomic logistical factors for the period 2009-2020 for the republic and the regions of Kazakhstan. Their close relationship with economic growth has been established. Based on the results of factorial and index methods of analysis, mechanisms of differentiation in the management of the regional economy are proposed based on the level of development of logistics and their impact on the growth of the regional economy. Four groups of regions are identified according to the level of development of logistics and their impact on the economy, and directions for their further development are proposed. The forecast is based on the studied factors up to 2030. In particular, it has been established that for the long-term development of the economy of Kazakhstan, the development of agriculture and industry, investment in fixed assets, freight turnover, the availability of vehicles, wages, communication services, and the density of the railway network are important factors.
Słowa kluczowe
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Strony
41--54
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 17 poz.
Twórcy
  • L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University; 2 Satpaev St., Astana, 010010 Kazakhstan
  • L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University; 2 Satpaev St., Astana, 010010 Kazakhstan
  • L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University; 2 Satpaev St., Astana, 010010 Kazakhstan
  • Al-Farabi Kazakh National University; 71 Al-Farabi Ave., 050040 Almaty, Kazakhstan
  • Silesian University of Technology; Krasiński 8, 40-019, Katowice, Poland
Bibliografia
  • 1. Tan, A.W.K. & Hilmola, O.-P. Future of transshipment in Singapore. Ind. Manag. Data Syst. 2012. Vol. 112. No. 7. P. 1085-1100. DOI: 10.1108/02635571211255032.
  • 2. Nguyen, C.D.T. & Luong, B.T. & Hoang, H.L.T. The impact of logistics and infrastructure on economic growth: empirical evidence from Vietnam. The Journal of Asian Finance. Economics and Business. 2021. Vol. 8. Iss. 6. P. 21-28. DOI: 10.13106/JAFEB.2021.VOL8.NO6.0021.
  • 3. Sevgi Sezer & Tezcan Abasiz the impact of logistics industry on economic growth: an application in OECD countries. Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences. 2017. Vol. 5. No. 1. P. 11-23.
  • 4. Lan, S.L. & Zhong, R.Y. Coordinated development between metropolitan economy and logistics for sustainability. Resources, Conservation and Recycling. 2018. Vol. 128. P. 345-354.
  • 5. Zhang, Z. & Figliozzi, M.A. A Survey of Chinese Importers and Exporters: Chinas Logistics Industry Developments and the Impacts of Transportation System Performance on Supply Chain Costs and Operations. 2010. Available at: http://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/cengin_fac.
  • 6. Lean, H. Hooi & Huang, W. & Hong, J. Logistics and economic development: experience from China. Transp. Policy. 2014. Vol. 32. P. 96-104. DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2014.01.003.
  • 7. Lan, S. & Yang, C. & Huang, G.Q. Data analysis for metropolitan economic and logistics development. Adv. Eng. Informatics. 2017. Vol. 32. P. 66-76. DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2017.01.003.
  • 8. Raimbekov, Zh. & Syzdykbayeva, B. & Baimbetova, A. & Rakhmetulina, Zh. Evaluation of the influence of logistics infrastructure on the functioning and development of regional economy. Economic Annals-ХХI. 2016. Vol. 160. Vol. 7-8. P. 100-104. DOI: 10.21003/ea.V160-20.
  • 9. Vilko, J. & Karandassov, B. & Myller, E. Logistic infrastructure and its effects on economic development. China-USA Business Review. 2011. No. 11. P. 1152-1167.
  • 10. Meyer, D.F. An assessment of the impact of logistics and related infrastructure on the economy: a comparative analysis of the visegrad countries. Polish Journal of Management Studies. 2020. Vol. 22. Iss. 1. P. 295-309. DOI: 10.17512/pjms.2020.22.1.19.
  • 11. Raimbekov, Z. & Syzdykbayeva, B. Assessing the impact of transport and logistics on economic growth in emerging economies: a case study for the conditions of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Transport Problems. 2021. Vol. 16. No. 2. Р. 199-212. DOI: 10.21307/tp-2021-035.
  • 12. Wang, Y.M. & Xin, L. The impact of China’s trade with economies participating in the belt and road initiative on the ecological total factor energy efficiency of China’s logistics industry. Journal of Cleaner Production. 2020. Vol. 276. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124196.
  • 13. Bensassi, S. & Márquez-Ramos, L. & Martínez-Zarzoso, I. & Suárez-Burguet, C. Relationship between logistics infrastructure and trade: Evidence from Spanish regional exports. Transp. Res. Part A Policy Pract. 2015. Vol. 72. P. 47-61. DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2014.11.007.
  • 14. Фрейдман, О.А. Методы критериальной оценки логистического потенциала региона. Российское предпринимательство. 2013. Vol. 3. No. 225. P. 127-130. [In Russian: Methods for Criteria Assessment of the Region's Logistics Potential. Russian Entrepreneurship].
  • 15. Raimbekov, Zh.S. & Syzdykbayeva, B. & Sharipbekova, K. Assessment of the level of development of transport and logistics infrastructure in Kazakhstan. In: VII International symposium of Transport problems 2018. Katowice, Poland: Silesian University of Technology. 2018. Р. 917-926.
  • 16. University of Virginia library research data services + sciences. Using and Interpreting Cronbach’s Alpha. Available at: https://data.library.virginia.edu/using-and-interpreting-cronbachs-alpha/.
  • 17. Abdi, H. Factor Rotations in Factor Analyses. The University of Texas at Dallas. Available at: http://www.utdallas.edu/.
Uwagi
PL
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-c5bc2db3-0778-4d98-a1c9-7fdd16e74d6f
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