Effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the Pattern of Lake Ice Phenology in Poland

• Autorzy: Wrzesiński D. , Choiński A. , Ptak M. , Skowron R.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/acgeo-2015-0055

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This paper presents an analysis of the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the pattern of lake ice phenology in Poland. The research embraced 22 lakes in Poland over the period 1961-2010. Strong relations were found to hold between NAO and individual characteristics of ice phenology. In a negative NAO phase, one can observe a later appearance of ice phenomena and ice cover compared with the average values, ice cover persisting even 30 days longer and being thicker even by more than 10 cm. In turn, in a positive NAO phase the duration of ice phenomena and ice cover is shorter, the cover being less thick and solid. The observed spatial differences in the effect of NAO on the pattern of ice phenomena in Poland show this matter to be fairly complex. The most significant factor changes in climatic conditions, which manifest themselves in the continentality of the climate growing eastwards.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate change; ice cover; teleconnections

PL

zmiany klimatu; pokrywa lodowa; telekoneksja

• Wydawca: Instytut Geofizyki PAN ; Springer
• Czasopismo: Acta Geophysica
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: Vol. 63, no. 6
• Strony: 1664--1684
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 53 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Wrzesiński D.

• Institute of Physical Geography and Environmental Planning, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland

autor

Choiński A.

• Institute of Physical Geography and Environmental Planning, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland

autor

Ptak M.

• Institute of Physical Geography and Environmental Planning, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland

autor

Skowron R.

• Department of Hydrology and Water Management, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] Bai, X., J. Wang, C. Sellinger, A. Clites, and R. Assel (2012), Interannual variability of Great Lakes ice cover and its relationship to NAO and ENSO, J. Geophys. Res. 117, C3, C03002, DOI: 10.1029/2010JC006932.
• [2] Bednorz, E. (2011), Synoptic conditions of the occurrence of snow cover in central European lowlands, Int. J. Climatol. 31, 8, 1108-1118, DOI: 10.1002/ joc.2130.
• [3] Benson, B.J., J.J. Magnuson, O.P. Jensen, V.M. Card, G. Hodgkins, J. Korhonen, D.M. Livingstone, K.M. Stewart, G.A. Weyhenmeyer, and N.G. Granin (2012), Extreme events, trends, and variability in Northern Hemisphere lake-ice phenology (1855-2005), Climatic Change 112, 2, 299-323, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0212-8.
• [4] Blenckner, T., and D. Chen (2003), Comparison of the impact of regional and North Atlantic atmospheric circulation on an aquatic ecosystem, Climate Res. 23, 2, 131-136, DOI: 10.3354/cr023131.
• [5] Blenckner, T., M. Järvinen, and G.A. Weyhenmeyer (2004), Atmospheric circulation and its impact on ice phenology in Scandinavia, Boreal Environ. Res. 9, 5, 371-380.
• [6] Brown, L.C., and C.R. Duguay (2010), The response and role of ice cover in lakeclimate interactions, Prog. Phys. Geog. 34, 5, 671-704, DOI: 10.1177/0309133310375653.
• [7] Castro, A., M.I. Vidal, A.I. Calvo, M. Fernández-Raga, and R. Fraile (2011), May the NAO index be used to forecast rain in Spain? Atmósfera 24, 3, 251-265.
• [8] Choiński, A., and M. Ptak (2012), Variation in the ice cover thickness on Lake Samołęskie as a result of underground water supply, Limnol. Rev.12, 3, 133-138, DOI: 10.2478/v10194-012-0053-5.
• [9] Choiński, A., M. Ptak, and A. Strzelczak (2013), Areal variation in ice cover thickness on lake Morskie Oko (Tatra Mountains), Carpat. J. Earth Environ.Sci. 8, 3, 97-102.
• [10] Choiński, A., M. Ptak, and R. Skowron (2014), Trends to changes in ice phenomena in Polish lakes in the years 1951-2010, Prz. Geogr. 86, 1, 23-40, DOI: 10.7163/PrzG.2014.1.2 (in Polish).
• [11] Dąbrowski, M., W. Marszelewski, and R. Skowron (2004), The trends and dependencies between air and water temperatures in lakes in northern Poland in 1961-2000, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 8, 1, 79-87, DOI: 10.5194/hess-8-79-2004.
• [12] Dokulil, M.T. (2013), Impact of climate warming on European inland waters, Inland Waters 4, 1, 27-40, DOI: 10.5268/IW-4.1.705.
• [13] Futter, M.N. (2003), Patterns and trends in Southern Ontario lake ice phenology, Environ. Monit. Assess. 88, 1-3, 431-444, DOI: 10.1023/A:1025549913965.
• [14] George, D.G. (2007), The impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the development of ice on Lake Windermere, Climatic Change 81, 3-4, 455-468, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9115-5.
• [15] Gerten, D., and R. Adrian (2000), Climate-driven changes in spring plankton dynamics and the sensitivity of shallow polymictic lakes to the North Atlantic Oscillation, Limnol. Oceanogr. 45, 5, 1058-1066, DOI: 10.4319/lo.2000.45.5.1058.
• [16] Girjatowicz, J.P. (2003), The influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on ice conditions in coastal lakes of the Southern Baltic Sea, Ann. Limnol. - Int. J.Limnol. 39, 1, 71-80, DOI: 10.1051/limn/2003007.
• [17] Heape, R., J. Hirschi, and B. Sinha (2013), Asymmetric response of European pressure and temperature anomalies to NAO positive and NAO negative winters, Weather 68, 3, 73-80, DOI: 10.1002/wea.2068.
• [18] Hurrell, J. (1995), The Climate Data Guide: Hurrell North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA, https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/hurrell-north-atlanticoscillation-nao-index-station-based, last modified 20 October 2015.
• [19] Hurst, T.P. (2007), Causes and consequences of winter mortality in fishes, J. Fish Biol. 71, 2, 315-345, DOI: 10.1111/j.1095-8649.2007.01596.x.
• [20] Jensen, O.P., B.J. Benson, J.J. Magnuson, V.M. Card, M.N. Futter, P.A. Soranno, and K.M. Stewart (2007), Spatial analysis of ice phenology trends across the Laurentian Great Lakes region during a recent warming period, Limnol. Oceanogr. 52, 5, 2013-2026, DOI: 10.4319/lo.2007.52.5.2013.
• [21] Karetnikov, S.G., and M.A. Naumenko (2008), Recent trends in Lake Ladoga ice cover, Hydrobiologia 599, 1, 41-48, DOI: 10.1007/s10750-007-9211-1.
• [22] Korhonen, J. (2006), Long-term changes in lake ice cover in Finland, Nord. Hydrol. 37, 4-5, 347-363, DOI: 10.2166/nh.2006.019.
• [23] Leppäranta, M. (2014), Interpretation of statistics of lake ice time series for climate variability, Hydrol. Res. 45, 4-5, 673-683, DOI: 10.2166/nh.2013.246.
• [24] Leppäranta, M., A. Reinart, A. Erm, H. Arst, M. Hussainov, and L. Sipelgas (2003), Investigation of ice and water properties and under-ice light fields in fresh and brackish water bodies, Nord. Hydrol. 34, 3, 245-266, DOI: 10.2166/ nh.2003.015.
• [25] Livingstone, D.M. (1999), Ice break-up on southern Lake Baikal and its relationship to local and regional air temperatures in Siberia and to the North Atlantic Oscillation, Limnol. Oceanogr. 44, 6, 1486-1497, DOI: 10.4319/lo.1999.44.6.1486.
• [26] Livingstone, D.M. (2000), Large-scale climatic forcing detected in historical observations of lake ice break-up, Verh. Int. Verein. Theor. Angew. Limnol. 27, 5, 2775-2783.
• [27] Livingstone, D.M., R. Adrian, T. Blenckner, G. George, and G.A. Weyhenmeyer (2009), Lake ice phenology. In: G. George (ed.), The Impact of Climate Change on European Lakes, Aquatic Ecology Series, Vol. 4, Springer, Dordrecht, 51-61, DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-2945-4_4.
• [28] Livingstone, D.M., R. Adrian, L. Arvola, T. Blenckner, M.T. Dokulil, R.E. Hari, G. George, T. Jankowski, M. Järvinen, E. Jennings, P. Nõges, T. Nõges, D. Straile, and G.A. Weyhenmeyer (2010), Regional and supra-regional coherence in limnological variables. In: G. George (ed.), The Impact of Climate Change on European Lakes, Aquatic Ecology Series, Vol. 4, Springer, Dordrecht, 311-337, DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-2945-4_17.
• [29] Maher, O.A., C. Bertacchi Uvo, and L. Bengtsson (2005), Comparison between two extreme NAO winters and consequences on the thermal regime of Lake Vendyurskoe, Karelia, J. Hydrometeorol. 6, 5, 775-783, DOI: 10.1175/ JHM449.1.
• [30] Majewski, W. (2007), Flow in open channels under the influence of ice cover, Acta Geophys. 55, 1, 11-22, DOI: 10.2478/s11600-006-0041-8.
• [31] Marszelewski, W., and R. Skowron (2006), Ice cover as an indicator of winter air temperature changes: case study of the Polish Lowland lakes, Hydrol. Sci. J. 51, 2, 336-349, DOI: 10.1623/hysj.51.2.336.
• [32] Messyasz, B., M. Gąbka, J. Barylski, G. Nowicki, Ł. Lamentowicz, A. Goździcka- Józefiak, A. Rybak, R. Dondajewska, and L. Burchardt (2015), Phytoplankton, culturable bacteria and their relationships along environmental gradients in a stratified eutrophic lake, Carpath. J. Earth Environ. Sci. 10, 1, 41-52.
• [33] Mihu-Pintilie, A., G. Romanescu, and C. Stoleriu (2014), The seasonal changes of the temperature, pH and dissolved oxygen in the Cuejdel Lake, Romania, Carpathian J. Earth Environ. Sci. 9, 2, 113-123.
• [34] Novikmec, M., M. Svitok, D. Kočický, F. Šporka, and P. Bitušík (2013), Surface water temperature and ice cover of Tatra Mountains lakes depend on altitude, topographic shading, and bathymetry, Arct. Antarct. Alp. Res. 45, 1, 77-87, DOI: 10.1657/1938-4246-45.1.77.
• [35] Pasławski, Z. (1982), Ice conditions of the lakes in Poland, Prz. Geof. 27, 1-2, 79-92 (in Polish).
• [36] Pełechata, A., M. Pełechaty, and A. Pukacz (2015), Winter temperature and shifts in phytoplankton assemblages in a small Chara-lake, Aquat. Bot. 124, 10-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.aquabot.2015.03.001.
• [37] Pettersson, K. (1990), The spring development of phytoplankton in Lake Erken: species composition, biomass, primary production and nutrient conditions - a review, Hydrobiologia 191, 1, 9-14, DOI: 10.1007/BF00026033.
• [38] Pociask-Karteczka, J. (2006), River hydrology and the North Atlantic Oscillation: A general review, Ambio 35, 6, 312-314, DOI: 10.1579/05-S-114.1.
• [39] Ptak, M. (2013), Variability of temperature and ice phenomena on Łebsko and Gardno lakes, Parki Narodowe i Rezerwaty Przyrody 32, 2, 45-55 (in Polish).
• [40] Scaife, A.A., C.K. Folland, L.V. Alexander, A. Moberg, and J.R. Knight (2008), European climate extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation, J. Climate 21, 1, 72-83, DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1631.1.
• [41] Sharov, A.N., N.A. Berezina, L.E. Nazarova, T.N. Poliakova, and T.A. Chekryzheva (2014), Links between biota and climate-related variables in the Baltic region using Lake Onega as an example, Oceanologia 56, 2, 291-306, DOI: 10.5697/oc.56-2.291.
• [42] Sienkiewicz, E., and M. Gąsiorowski (2014), Changes in the trophic status of three mountain lakes - natural or anthropogenic process? Pol. J. Environ. Stud. 23, 3, 875-892.
• [43] Skowron, R. (2011), The Differentiation and the Changeability of Chosen Elements of the Thermal Regime of Water in Lakes on Polish Lowland, Wyd. Nauk. Uniwersytetu Mikołaja Kopernika, Toruń, 245 pp. (in Polish).
• [44] Soja, A.-M., K. Kutics, K. Maracek, G. Molnár, and G.Soja (2014), Changes in ice phenology characteristics of two Central European steppe lakes from 1926 to 2012 - influences of local weather and large scale oscillation patterns, Climatic Change 126, 1, 119-133, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1199-8.
• [45] Thomson, D.J. (2009), Climate change: Shifts in season, Nature 457, 7228, 391-392, DOI: 10.1038/457391a.
• [46] Toporowska, M., B. Pawlik-Skowrońska, D. Krupa, and R. Kornijów (2010), Winter versus summer blooming of phytoplankton in a shallow lake: Effect of hypertrophic conditions, Pol. J. Ecol. 58, 1, 3-12.
• [47] Vehmaa, A., and K. Salonen (2009), Development of phytoplankton in Lake Pääjärvi (Finland) during under-ice convective mixing period, Aquat. Ecol. 43, 3, 693-705, DOI: 10.1007/s10452-009-9273-4.
• [48] Weyhenmeyer, G.A. (2009), Do warmer winters change variability patterns of physical and chemical lake conditions in Sweden? Aquat. Ecol. 43, 3, 653-659, DOI: 10.1007/s10452-009-9284-1.
• [49] Witek, Z., and A. Jarosiewicz (2010), The oxygen budget of two closed, dimictic lakes in the vicinity of Bytów (West Pomeranian Lake District, northern Poland), Oceanol. Hydrobiol. Stud. 39, 2, 135-145, DOI: 10.2478/v10009-010-0022-8.
• [50] Wojciechowska, W., and T. Lenard (2014), Effect of extremely severe winters on under-ice phytoplankton development in a mesotrophic lake (Eastern Poland), Oceanol. Hydrobiol. Stud. 43, 2: 147-153, DOI: 10.2478/s13545-014-0127-x.
• [51] Wrzesiński, D., and R. Paluszkiewicz (2011), Spatial differences in the impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the flow of rivers in Europe, Hydrol. Res. 42, 1, 30-39, DOI: 10.2166/nh.2010.077.
• [52] Wrzesiński, D., M. Ptak, and A. Baczyńska (2013), Effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on ice phenomena on selected lakes in Poland over the years 1961-2010, Quaest. Geogr. 32, 3, 119-128, DOI: 10.2478/quageo-2013-0020.
• [53] Wrzesiński, D., A. Choiński, and M. Ptak (2015) Effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the thermal characteristics of lakes in Poland, Acta Geophys. 63, 3, 863-883, DOI: 10.1515/acgeo-2015-0001.